Originally Posted by Muttley76
I think what you have to remember is that it was only the directors in the academy who shortlist for best director, while all academy members vote for the winner, and that actors make up by far the biggest block of voters overall....
I think that is massively significant in this case. Plus Argo has built up so much momentum in recent weeks while Lincoln has none.
Plus Argo winning Best Picture is a much more effective way of them saving face, if it doesn't they only look more out of touch than ever....
Of course, I'd forgotten about that. Much more likely for Argo to win then, the actors may well choose to support one of their own.
I really wouldn't mind being wrong in my prediction for Best Picture now.