Do illegal immigrants harm the economy ?

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IT’S THE ECONOMY
Do Illegal Immigrants Actually Hurt the U.S. Economy ?

By ADAM DAVIDSON
Published: February 12, 2013
THE NEW YORK TIMES

In 2002, Pedro Chan left his Guatemalan village for a long trip through Mexico and, with the help of a smuggler, across the Texas border. In 2004, he made it to Brooklyn, where his uncle helped him find work on small construction crews.

These days, Chan helps skilled (and fully documented) carpenters, electricians and stucco installers do their jobs by carrying heavy things and cleaning the work site. For this, he earns up to $25,000 a year, which is considerably less than the average entry wage for New York City’s 100,000 or so documented construction workers.

As Congress debates the contours of immigration reform, many arguments have been made on economic grounds. Undocumented workers, some suggest, undercut wages and take jobs that would otherwise go to Americans. Worse, the argument goes, many use social programs, like hospitals and schools, that cost taxpayers and add to our $16 trillion national debt. Would deporting Pedro Chan and the other 11 million or so undocumented workers mean more jobs, lower taxes and a stronger economy?

Illegal immigration does have some undeniably negative economic effects. Similarly skilled native-born workers are faced with a choice of either accepting lower pay or not working in the field at all. Labor economists have concluded that undocumented workers have lowered the wages of U.S. adults without a high-school diploma — 25 million of them — by anywhere between 0.4 to 7.4 percent.

The impact on everyone else, though, is surprisingly positive. Giovanni Peri, an economist at the University of California, Davis, has written a series of influential papers comparing the labor markets in states with high immigration levels to those with low ones. He concluded that undocumented workers do not compete with skilled laborers — instead, they complement them.

Economies, as Adam Smith argued in “Wealth of Nations,” work best when workers become specialized and divide up tasks among themselves. Pedro Chan’s ability to take care of routine tasks on a work site allows carpenters and electricians to focus on what they do best. In states with more undocumented immigrants, Peri said, skilled workers made more money and worked more hours; the economy’s productivity grew. From 1990 to 2007, undocumented workers increased legal workers’ pay in complementary jobs by up to 10 percent.

There are many ways to debate immigration, but when it comes to economics, there isn’t much of a debate at all. Nearly all economists, of all political persuasions, agree that immigrants — those here legally or not — benefit the overall economy. “That is not controversial,” Heidi Shierholz, an economist at the Economic Policy Institute, told me. Shierholz also said that “there is a consensus that, on average, the incomes of families in this country are increased by a small, but clearly positive amount, because of immigration.”

The benefit multiplies over the long haul. As the baby boomers retire, the post-boom generation’s burden to finance their retirement is greatly alleviated by undocumented immigrants.

As immigration reform seems more likely than at any time in recent memory, it’s important to remember that it is not the economic realities that have changed. It’s the political ones.
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  • jmclaughjmclaugh Posts: 63,997
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    It's a load of the proverbial.
  • deptfordbakerdeptfordbaker Posts: 22,368
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    There are quite a few calls to offer some sort of amnesty for illegal immigrants lately.

    http://www.opendemocracy.net/ourkingdom/usman-sheikh/deportation-increasingly-foreign-britain-at-war-with-itself

    There is also not much chance of it happening whoever gets in.

    http://uk.news.yahoo.com/yvette-cooper-labour-changing-approach-immigration-120000304.html
    The starkest example of the most damaging immigration is illegal immigration – yet here too little action is being taken. People who have entered illegally, absconded from airports or broken the rules undermine the rule of law and badly damage confidence in the entire system. Illegal immigration can also involve criminal exploitation and modern day slavery. Rightly the public feel strongly about this and think it should be the priority for action.

    Yet illegal immigration isn’t affected by the Government’s target – and it isn’t being given sufficient priority in the Home Office as a result. With big drops in the number of people being deported or refused entry, and a growing backlog of suspected illegal cases not being followed up, it seems the problem is getting worse. And as enforcement resources are being heavily cut, UKBA doesn’t have the flexibility or powers it needs.

    We need much stronger action against illegal immigration to be a priority. That’s why for example Labour’s policy proposals include giving the power of arrest to UKBA compliance officers so they can act swiftly when they discover problems rather than delaying and allowing people to abscond, as well as a new taskforce on enforcement within UKBA.

    Of course removing the judges, Human Rights, the EU, the UN, age restrictions (where not clear) etc. from the immigration process and simply giving UKBA offers the power of instant deportation, would dramatically improve things.

    In France a local magistrate just decides and they appeal at the French embassy back in their own country if they don't like it.
  • paulschapmanpaulschapman Posts: 35,536
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    I don't think it is that simple. Clearly if the supply of workers increase then the wages that are commanded for that role will go down (Economics 101 - the law of supply and demand). If this is the case then all things being equal the level of productivity in an economy will go up, because it is costing less to do the same amount of work.

    So while the economy does well - this is not the case for those working in it.

    The comparisons in the OP refer to low-skilled work - allowing for the skilled artisan to concentrate on what they do best. However their has been a high increase in skilled immigrants - the effect of which is lowering the value of skilled work. The perception exists that the skilled workers - having not utilized that skill as they are replaced by the cheaper immigrants - this is even more the case in industries such as IT where specific skills have a life of about 2 years.
  • grassmarketgrassmarket Posts: 33,010
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    The comparisons in the OP refer to low-skilled work - allowing for the skilled artisan to concentrate on what they do best..

    Incredible that a so-called liberal newspaper like the New York Times could argue that the way to fix the US economy was to bring in third world peons to work at below minimum wage to undercut the greedy, lazy US proles.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 792
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    there is a consensus that, on average, the incomes of families in this country are increased by a small, but clearly positive amount, because of immigration

    It was pointed out recently on Newsnight that wages for middle class - ie most - Americans have not increased in real terms now for 25 years.

    In the UK we are now about 5 years into falling real-term incomes for most.

    And yet high immigration and population growth is a net economic positive? To paraphrase Pyrrhus, how many more economic growth like this can we sustain?
    .
  • paulschapmanpaulschapman Posts: 35,536
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    Incredible that a so-called liberal newspaper like the New York Times could argue that the way to fix the US economy was to bring in third world peons to work at below minimum wage to undercut the greedy, lazy US proles.

    I dunno - the Labour Party was happy to listen to employers about the difficulty of finding workers - it just forgot to ask the workers if they had the skills (being charitable that is)
  • gemma-the-huskygemma-the-husky Posts: 18,116
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    of course they harm the economy.
  • wazzyboywazzyboy Posts: 13,346
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    Unscrupulous employers do.
  • mickmarsmickmars Posts: 7,438
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    wazzyboy wrote: »
    Unscrupulous employers do.


    It's everyone's fault,apart form the "illegal" immigrants eh
  • psionicpsionic Posts: 20,188
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    There are quite a few calls to offer some sort of amnesty for illegal immigrants lately.

    http://www.opendemocracy.net/ourkingdom/usman-sheikh/deportation-increasingly-foreign-britain-at-war-with-itself

    There is also not much chance of it happening whoever gets in.

    http://uk.news.yahoo.com/yvette-cooper-labour-changing-approach-immigration-120000304.html



    Of course removing the judges, Human Rights, the EU, the UN, age restrictions (where not clear) etc. from the immigration process and simply giving UKBA offers the power of instant deportation, would dramatically improve things.

    In France a local magistrate just decides and they appeal at the French embassy back in their own country if they don't like it.
    As France is in the EU, a member of the UN and signatories to the same Human Rights accords we are, what does that tell you? Perhaps the fault is with our own laws and politicians?
  • MajlisMajlis Posts: 31,362
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    of course they harm the economy.

    I am not sure that they do. They certainly help keep wages and inflation low which gives a boost to the economy, you could also argue that they increase productivity by increasing the competition for jobs.
  • wazzyboywazzyboy Posts: 13,346
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    mickmars wrote: »
    It's everyone's fault,apart form the "illegal" immigrants eh

    Perhaps they wouldn't come if such opportunities did not exist.
  • mickmarsmickmars Posts: 7,438
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    wazzyboy wrote: »
    Perhaps they wouldn't come if such opportunities did not exist.

    Perhaps some opportunities wouldn't exist if they didn't come
  • Rastus PiefaceRastus Pieface Posts: 4,382
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    Majlis wrote: »
    I am not sure that they do. They certainly help keep wages and inflation low which gives a boost to the economy, you could also argue that they increase productivity by increasing the competition for jobs.

    how do low wages boost the economy?

    of course illegal immigrants harm the economy (key word being illegal). if they secure work, chances are its below minimum wage, so they would not be paying taxes. also, how much does it cost in the effort to track them down and hold them in detention centres whilst their claim is being dealt with. then there is the cost of deporting them.
  • paulschapmanpaulschapman Posts: 35,536
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    Incredible that a so-called liberal newspaper like the New York Times could argue that the way to fix the US economy was to bring in third world peons to work at below minimum wage to undercut the greedy, lazy US proles.

    There is another issue with immigrants and this at the bottom of the career ladder. Where the low end of the career ladder is filled by (lower cost) immigrants - then this drives the wages for these gateway jobs down - meaning that indigenous workers have to go to the roles just above - that require higher qualifications - which of course they may not have.

    If you look at fruit picking - which while not much is at least a job. The kind of job that students and school leavers did 20 years or so ago - the wages are so low that it is only immigrants that want to do them - especially as such jobs can be 'By the piece' rather than by the hour (you are paid depending how many you pick or their weight rather than the number of hours you are working). Even hourly you are talking £5.81 (see http://www.pro-force.co.uk/fruit-picking-jobs.html) - that is below NMW wage for someone of 21 or over but over it for someone 18-21)
  • MajlisMajlis Posts: 31,362
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    how do low wages boost the economy?

    They make the cost of production less.
    of course illegal immigrants harm the economy (key word being illegal). if they secure work, chances are its below minimum wage, so they would not be paying taxes.

    If the wages are that low they wouldn't be paying tax anyway if they were legal - they would be in receipt of welfare credits.
  • Rastus PiefaceRastus Pieface Posts: 4,382
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    Majlis wrote: »
    They make the cost of production less.



    If the wages are that low they wouldn't be paying tax anyway if they were legal - they would be in receipt of welfare credits.

    but by making the cost of production low, all they are doing is increasing profits for the company. goods and services wouldn't be cheaper. greed is good, as someone once said. thats why some companies take the risk of employing illegal immigrants on wages lower than NMW.

    very low wages (which is what illegal immigrants would be on) do not benefit the economy. they obviously have very little money to spend on goods and services. and they would not be in receipt of welfare credits if they are illegal immigrants.
  • grassmarketgrassmarket Posts: 33,010
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    If you look at fruit picking - which while not much is at least a job. The kind of job that students and school leavers did 20 years or so ago - the wages are so low that it is only immigrants that want to do them - especially as such jobs can be 'By the piece' rather than by the hour (you are paid depending how many you pick or their weight rather than the number of hours you are working).

    This is a bugbear of mine because I used to do this kind of work in East Anglia 30 years ago. At the time the basic hourly rate was a above the effective minimum (can't remember the exact figures, but I got a bit more in agriculture than I did for pub work). The big HOWEVER was that if you worked overtime, shifts, weekends etc you got paid at a higher rate, so if you were willing to put in a burst of hard work for a short time, you could do reasonably well.

    Now, I know for a fact that ALL of that work is now Minimum Wage per Hour 24 hours a day, 365 day a year. That's where mass immigration is producing a genuine wage cut.

    The second point is that many of the East European immigrant workers are effectively doing their gap years by working here. They are young, single, childless (or if not, they have parents young enough to take care of the grandkids) willing to put up with hard work, no free time, crap housing, so they can save enough money to go back home and buy a cheap house, car, bit of land, whatever.
  • wazzyboywazzyboy Posts: 13,346
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    mickmars wrote: »
    Perhaps some opportunities wouldn't exist if they didn't come

    It is incumbent on employers to employ people who are here legally. Illegal immigrants should not be employed.
  • helioslumoshelioslumos Posts: 516
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    of course they harm the economy.

    Obviously you must know more than the majority of economists and academics who have researched the matter
  • MajlisMajlis Posts: 31,362
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    but by making the cost of production low, all they are doing is increasing profits for the company. goods and services wouldn't be cheaper.

    Of course they would - the reason that much manufacturing moved to China was the low production costs, which could then be passed on to the consumer thereby undercutting the prices that UK manufacturers could sell for.
  • BlairdennonBlairdennon Posts: 14,207
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    wazzyboy wrote: »
    It is incumbent on employers to employ people who are here legally. Illegal immigrants should not be employed.

    It may be but you assume that all employers are legal residents as well. An illegal immigrant, in order to live, must in some shape or form act in another illegal fashion. That may be working illegally but it may involve many other crimes. If we say illegality is good for the economy at what point do we draw the line?
    It seems to me that either the rule of law applies or it does not, you cannot pick and choose the laws that can be ignored. I would love to but society does not let me, and that is as it should be.
  • wazzyboywazzyboy Posts: 13,346
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    Deleted, duplicate post.
  • wazzyboywazzyboy Posts: 13,346
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    It may be but you assume that all employers are legal residents as well. An illegal immigrant, in order to live, must in some shape or form act in another illegal fashion. That may be working illegally but it may involve many other crimes. If we say illegality is good for the economy at what point do we draw the line?
    It seems to me that either the rule of law applies or it does not, you cannot pick and choose the laws that can be ignored. I would love to but society does not let me, and that is as it should be.

    I assume nothing. What I said was that it is incumbent on employers to employ people legally, that of course encompasses all aspects of doing so and would include being a de facto bona fide employer to begin with. I then added that employers should not employ illegal immigrants. that is one aspect of that whole.
  • deptfordbakerdeptfordbaker Posts: 22,368
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    psionic wrote: »
    As France is in the EU, a member of the UN and signatories to the same Human Rights accords we are, what does that tell you? Perhaps the fault is with our own laws and politicians?

    Yes, Britain has a different system and different attitudes. France signs up to the same things as us, but their implementation is in France's interest. In Britain we think we have to obey every last rule, even if it damages the country, because were so worried about what the rest of the world thinks of us, whereas France is not.

    I don't know exactly how the system works in France, but as far as I know it seems they have no Human Rights Act. Why France is so much better at deporting illegal immigrants has not gone unnoticed in the right wing media. There legal aid system seems quite tough.

    http://www.french-property.com/news/money_france/courts_aide_juridictionnelle/

    Legal aid in France, l'aide juridictionnelle
    The main system of legal aid in France is called l'aide juridictionnelle.

    It is available to meet the direct costs of an avocat you may need to engage, as well as other related costs, such as assistance from a huissier de justice (bailiff) or expert witness.

    The aid is available to anyone who is legally resident in France, whether or not they are of French nationality.

    It is also available for most types of legal disputes, whether criminal or civil.

    However, to gain access to the system there is a tough test of resources, and a sliding scale of support if your income is above the income threshold.

    If you win the case, and you are awarded damages, you may be requested to repay some or all of the legal aid awarded to you; by contrast if you lose the case, legal aid will not be available for any costs and damages payable by you to the other party.

    There are frequently publicly expressed complaints from the French legal profession concerning the hourly rates they receive for doing legal aid work, with the result that not all are willing to do so.

    So firstly it is not available to illegal immigrants even on Human Rights grounds I guess.

    Also if you are legal and you take the government to court on Human Rights grounds funded by legal aid and win, the pay out you receive must be used to pay back the legal aid, is that correct? So the government would pay you and you would pay it back to the government.
    Mail wrote:
    We kicked out more illegal immigrants than ever before in 2011: France reveals it deported 33,000 people in just 12 months

    Interior Minister Claude Gueant wants number to rise to 35,000 in 2012

    Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2084790/France-reveals-deported-33-000-people-just-12-months.html#ixzz2KmUaMvZr
    Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/terrorism-in-the-uk/9191485/Why-David-Cameron-will-never-be-able-to-act-like-Nicolas-Sarkozy.html
    Telegraph wrote:

    Why David Cameron will never be able to act like Nicolas Sarkozy

    Politicians in Britain take the rule of law much more seriously and so won't deport terrorist suspects to their home countries - unlike France.

    Why won’t David Cameron just do what President Sarkozy has done: ignore the European Court, and take the step that he thinks is necessary to preserve our security? The most important reason is that politicians here take the rule of law much more seriously than they do in France. They have to: in our system, judges have a power and an independence that they do not have in the French constitution. The drafters of the Napoleonic code took care to minimise the role of any form of judicial review of actions by the executive, because, as one of them said, “judicial review of government is tantamount to judicial government”.

    Successive generations of French politicians and officials have taken the same view, culminating in General de Gaulle’s opposition to the creation of anything like a supreme court, on the grounds that the “only supreme court in France is the French people”. Up until very recently, the closest the French have had to a constitutional court is a committee that can only advise, not command, and which comprises ex-presidents of the republic. That “committee” tends not to criticise what the government does, still less rule that it has broken the law.

    The contrast with the system in Britain could hardly be greater. Here, as in the US, judges regard it as their role to ensure that the government respects the law – and the law is what the judges say it is. If a prime minister, or indeed any member of the government, were openly to disregard a judicial ruling, it would trigger a constitutional crisis so serious that it would probably lead to the fall of the government. Which is perhaps why it hasn’t happened, and won’t.

    So Human Rights has a far more destructive effect within our legal system than France's. No wonder they are so easy going about signing up for it. They can easily deport illegal immigrants if they want too. This discrepancy between the two systems and Humans Rights deserve a lot more study I think.
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