Oscar Predictions
With the golden globe and SAG nominations announced, it normally gives a good clear idea on who and what will be contenders for next year's oscars
Thought for a bit of fun we could share predictions.
My first prediction is for Best Actress
It really seems like such deadlock between these five ladies
Jennifer Lawrence
Marion Cotillad
Jessica Chastain
Naomi Watts
Helen Mirren
All of them are no strangers to being nominated, with Mirren winning in 2007 and Cotillard in 2008.
My other prediction is for Best Supporting Actress
Nicole Kidman
Anne Hathaway
Sally Field
Helen Hunt
Amy Adams
Again, all these ladies have been nominated, with Sally winning two in 1979 and 1984, Helen winning in 1998 and Nicole winning in 2003.
I haven't see any of these ladies performances so I just guessing and go by what critics and insiders are predicting.
Thought for a bit of fun we could share predictions.
My first prediction is for Best Actress
It really seems like such deadlock between these five ladies
Jennifer Lawrence
Marion Cotillad
Jessica Chastain
Naomi Watts
Helen Mirren
All of them are no strangers to being nominated, with Mirren winning in 2007 and Cotillard in 2008.
My other prediction is for Best Supporting Actress
Nicole Kidman
Anne Hathaway
Sally Field
Helen Hunt
Amy Adams
Again, all these ladies have been nominated, with Sally winning two in 1979 and 1984, Helen winning in 1998 and Nicole winning in 2003.
I haven't see any of these ladies performances so I just guessing and go by what critics and insiders are predicting.
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Comments
Best Actor: Daniel-Day Lewis (for Lincoln)
Best Actress: either Jessica Chastain or Jennifer Lawrence (widely considered to be the most open of the acting categories this year)
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones (for Lincoln) or Philip Seymour Hoffmann (for The Master)
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway (or possibly Sally Field)
Plus Best Picture for one of Argo, Zero Dark Thirty, Lincoln or Les Mis (and maybe Django Unchained depending on how it does with the critics)
And Best Director for Ben Affleck
I'd love the Oscars to have some more interesting names making up the numbers, like Eddie Redmayne and Samantha Barks from Les Mis in the Supporting Categories. The Globes nominations were ridiculously predictable - Meryl Streep and Maggie Smith basically seem to only have to show up in a movie to get nominated. I love them both, but there are plenty of other talented actresses who deserve at least a look-in even if they're never going to win! And this says it all about the SAG Awards: "Eighteen of the 20 film acting contenders are past Academy Awards nominees and 13 have won Oscars, among them five two-time winners."
Definitely not a year of breakthrough newcomers unless the Academy decide to give Beasts of the Southern Wild a few nominations. Either way, I expect every acting category to be won by someone who's been nominated previously, and in the case of the two male acting categories, by someone who's already won.
I wouldn't given his comments about the Oscars a month or so ago. Plus, The Master in general is losing a lot of steam. If he does get in, he'll only just get in. I hope he doesn't as I think if he does, the one he'll knock out is Bradley and I'd like him to get a nomination
The only two sure fire nominations for best actress are JLaw and Jessica, and they're both the frontrunners atm too! I like both so I'm happy with that, but I'd rather Jennifer win because a) I like her more and b) Jessica's character apparently has very little depth in ZD30 and so I think Jen's performance would be the most deserving of the two. Although I haven't seen ZD30 yet so my opinion could change.
Best supporting actress is pretty irrelevant because Anne Hathaway might as well accept her award now.
Best supporting actor could go to anyone.
it really has been a weak year .
You never know. She is certainly the favorite. However, the Academy Awards likes a 'come back.' I remember Gene Hackman winning for Unforgiven and given that maybe Sally Field has a chance?
I think that category's too loaded already, though it may well grab a nomination if they nominate 10. I've only seen the trailer and while it looked visually stunning, it didn't make me want to rush to see it.
I think Sally Field's definitely got a chance, but Anne Hathaway ticks all the boxes in terms of an attention-grabbing performance: emotional on-screen tragedy and death, staggering weight loss, complete abandonment of vanity (chopping off her hair on camera), singing live on camera and apparently stealing the movie even though she's only in it for 20 minutes. Plus it's a complete contrast from the lighter roles that made her famous.
Two-time winner already vs a potential career-defining performance (including a complete redefinition of her character's extremely famous song) promoted to perfection - my money would be on Anne. If she doesn't win for this, I'm not sure she ever will, she couldn't do much more to get it! And I for one hope she wins.
The only acting role I can comment on at the minute is Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Lining Playbook. I have to say, even though I like her and think she did a good job in this film, I don't think it was good enough for an Oscar. Perhaps a nomination, but some magazines like Empire are really rating her chances, which I'm not so sure about. Bradley Cooper was good too but once I've seen all the films, I could very easily see myself forgetting about his performance completely.
I'm pretty sure it will be shortlisted. The word on the film is that Lee has successfully managed to film the unfilmable, which is the kind of the thing academy loves. I think it's a shoe in for a nomination. I'm fairly sure they aren't going to revert back to proper shortlists though. I hate the 10 film shortlist, it devalues the award, imho, and also can potentially skewer the final outcome.
I agree with you there
The Golden Globes adore Meryl and as much as I love her, her performance in Hope Springs really wasn't award worthy at all.
Exactly. I love Sally Field, but it definitely is career-defining - to go from the Princess Diaries via smooshy crappy rom coms like Love and Other Drugs to this is pretty awesome. I really hope she does win - purely cause I wanna see her acceptance speech, she always comes across as a lovely person but I predict a CRIER!
I know the buzz surrounding Zero Dark Thirty is immense, but were I to gamble, I'd have money on Lincoln. Already a big critical and public hit in the US, but only released end of Jan/early Feb internationally, this cinematic history lesson could prove a good PR coup for more than just the Academy. Best film/director/actor. Worth a punt.
On the contrary, i think that this years potential list of Best Picture nominations is looking much stronger than the comparatively weak bunch from last year. I mean, last year even 'Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close' got a nomination:eek:
For Best Picture, my money is on either Lincoln (the Academy loves historical epics) or Argo (the Academy also loves movies about the industry), but i wouldn't be surprised to see Zero Dark Thirty cause somewhat of an upset. As for Best Director, i'm hoping for either Ben Affleck or QT, but i think Affleck will get it.
Have you guys even seen Django Unchained? How do you know it's not awful...
Eh? So you're saying Tarantino doesn't deserve the award, having not seen Django yourself, and instead judging him on his last film? Yeah...makes sense
I decided it was better not to stir the hornets nest with such a statement, so I instead questioned whether the people saying it was his time, had actually seen the film or felt like QT deserved one based on his previous work..