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Grand National 2014
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i only ever do one horse , im not one of these people that has 50p each-way on half the field . iv done well last few years getting my one placed a few times without actually winning . this year my tip is ....
BALTHAZAR KING 25/1 !!!
BALTHAZAR KING 25/1 !!!
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Why do you fancy Balthazar King ?
Easy money
But why ? We can all pick a name out of the air but why you tipping it ?
well BK is coming off a brilliant win from cheltenham where he won the cross-country where a lot of those fences can be closely compared to aintree and the front 4 were miles clear of anything else , i would imagine the form to be pretty strong even those its a unique race , the ground is going to be perfect and the stable is bang in form . and 25/1 is a massive price for a horse with all those credentials . if he stays out of trouble i think he will run a very big race .
I backed him at Cheltenham, I really like him as a horse. Distance shouldn't be a problem nor his jumping. I just think he may be a bit slow but I fancy him to get round.
It will probably be Tidal Bay for me. His mark of 161 is an absolute giveaway if he is fresh. I think T43 might have been better with one 'prep' race rather than two and I would need a bigger price to back him. There on Thursday and Saturday.
My wife has T43 in her work sweep
1 1-1532 Tidal Bay55 13 11-10 Paul Nicholls78 Sam Twiston-Davies 161 164 176
2 2-54U1 Long Run51 p 9 11-9 Nicky Henderson92 Mr S Waley-Cohen 160 105 177
3 686934 Hunt Ball23 9 11-7 Nicky Henderson92 Andrew Tinkler 158 158 168
4 1-1310 Triolo D´Alene22 7 11-6 Nicky Henderson92 Barry Geraghty 157 144 172
5 113-22 Rocky Creek70 8 11-5 Paul Nicholls78 Noel Fehily 156 137 173
6 F475P Quito De La Roque42 p 10 11-1 C A Murphy Brian O'Connell 152 84 167
7 03U0F Colbert Station34 t 10 11-0 T M Walsh 151 128 173
8 P52-U4 Walkon56 p 9 11-0 Alan King73 Wayne Hutchinson 151 164 169
9 P-1111 Balthazar King24 10 10-13 Philip Hobbs45 Richard Johnson 150 140 171
10 6-52P7 Wayward Prince35 t 10 10-13 Hilary Parrott100 Jack Doyle 150 131 171
11 573112 Mr Moonshine35 10 10-12 Sue Smith58 Ryan Mania 149 147 172
12 03-928 Teaforthree22 10 10-12 Rebecca Curtis63 Nick Scholfield 149 166 174
13 0-581U Across The Bay49 tb 10 10-11 Donald McCain50 Henry Brooke 148 141 169
14 111116 Double Seven34 tp 8 10-11 Martin Brassil A P McCoy 148 133 170
15 1-1PRP Battle Group105 p 9 10-10 Johnny Farrelly33 Brendan Powell 147 145 169
16 05103 Buckers Bridge42 8 10-10 Henry De Bromhead A E Lynch 147 142 170
17 P-5714 Lion Na Bearnai42 12 10-10 Thomas Gibney Davy Russell 147 126 159
18 2-3094 Prince De Beauchene79 11 10-10 W P Mullins67 147 130 167
19 P-3415 Monbeg Dude35 9 10-9 Michael Scudamore P Carberry 146 122 170
20 211-23 Big Shu24 t 9 10-8 Peter Maher50 Peter Buchanan 145 135 169
21 509P82 Burton Port35 tp 10 10-8 Jonjo O´Neill67 Brian Harding 145 151 163
22 24-759 Our Father23 b 8 10-8 David Pipe56 Denis O'Regan 145 132 164
23 1-3315 Mountainous63 9 10-7 Richard Lee57 Jamie Moore 144 155 168
24 UP-261 The Rainbow Hunter70 10 10-7 Kim Bailey46 Aidan Coleman 144 82 169
25 1262F Vintage Star25 8 10-7 Sue Smith58 Brian Hughes 144 148 169
26 98-1P4 Chance Du Roy49 p 10 10-6 Philip Hobbs45 Tom O'Brien 143 159 170
27 2P-426 Hawkes Point49 9 10-6 Paul Nicholls78 Ryan Mahon 143 156 168
28 441173 Kruzhlinin35 7 10-6 Donald McCain50 Wilson Renwick 143 130 175
29 5F2713 Pineau De Re23 11 10-6 Dr Richard Newland60 Leighton Aspell 143 133 172
30 3/3-U1 Golan Way27 10 10-5 Tim Vaughan45 Michael Byrne 142 — —
31 25017U Twirling Magnet23 tp 8 10-5 Jonjo O´Neill67 Richie McLernon 142 143 172
32 72-FU9 Vesper Bell72 8 10-5 W P Mullins67 142 118 171
33 14PP-3 The Package25 tp 11 10-4 David Pipe56 Tom Scudamore 141 138 167
34 1-P0P3 Raz De Maree19 v1 9 10-3 D T Hughes50 Davy Condon 140 27 159
35 14P-01 Rose Of The Moon74 p 9 10-3 David O´Meara Jake Greenall 140 136 167
36 29/6P0 Shakalakaboomboom25 p 10 10-3 Nicky Henderson92 David Bass 140 66 98
37 R3-51P Alvarado94 9 10-2 Fergal O´Brien27 Paul Moloney 139 113 166
38 33-009 Last Time D´Albain14 10 10-2 Liam P Cusack Robbie Colgan 139 162 169
39 F3P465 One In A Milan28 v1 9 10-2 Evan Williams25 Adam Wedge 139 155 165
40 406-50 Swing Bill23 13 10-1 David Pipe56 Conor O'Farrell 138 152 164
41 1-2582 Goonyella44 7 10-1 J T R Dreaper50 Paddy Brennan 138 148 172
42 7-5475 Soll28 9 10-0 Jo Hughes Mark Grant 137 133 169
43 2301P1 Night In Milan35 b 8 10-0 Keith Reveley80 136 154 177
44 121114 Minella For Value169 8 10-0 John Butler 136 149 166
Forecast: 15/2 Teaforthree, 8/1 Monbeg Dude, 10/1 Tidal Bay, Long Run, 14/1 Prince De Beauchene, Triolo D'alene, Rocky Creek, 16/1 Double Seven, Burton Port, Pineau De Re, Colbert Station, Balthazar King, 20/1 Lion Na Bearnai, The Package, 25/1 Wayward Prince, Mr Moonshine, Across The Bay, Big Shu, Mountainous, The Rainbow Hunter, Chance du Roy, Quito De La Roque, Walkon, 33/1 Battle Group, Buckers Bridge, Our Father, Vintage Star, Hawkes Point, Kruzhlinin, Hunt Ball, Vesper Bell, Rose Of The Moon, Shakalakaboomboom, Alvarado, Last Time D'albain, Swing Bill, Goonyella, Night In Milan, 50/1 Golan Way, Twirling Magnet, Raz De Maree, One In A Milan, Soll, 66/1 Minella For Value
Well you certainly won't lose money on it, it ain't running.
1. McCoys ride on Diakali was very disappointing. There was no pace on the race on the first circuit and I think him being rode easily 10 lengths off it was not needed. Had he kept much closer order I think he may have taken advantage of a clear off day from the New One and Rock On Ruby gassing out a bit round the home turn.
2. My mum gave me money to place at the bookies, and after Uxiandre had been available on course all along at 4/1 generally and no shorter than 7-2, he returned an astonishingly shite SP of 11/4. I know the answer is "take the price" but I think that was an outrageous shaving of at least half a point there to protect the industry. The Betfair SP was well in excess of 3/1.
I also dont know where they got 4/9 for the New One after he won when on course you were generally getting 1/3 and 4/11. We really do need to see transparently in my view how these SPs are arrived at because I think two winners have been wholly manipulated there. I wanted 1/2 for the latter but not only did it not come it never even came close to drifting that far on course.
I have narrowed down 4 horses, undecided on the other one:-
Moonbeg Dude
Teaforthree
Double Seven
The Rainbow Hunter
Big Shu?
Prineau De Re?
Who will be placing bets on a horse tomorrow?
Monbeg Dude
No idea. It will be in tomorrows Racing Post.
Long Run
Mountainous
Alvarado
Small stakes e/w :-)
Good luck to all punters
Why those 3 ? I am intrigued to know why people pick their selections, see the reasoning etc
I asked a civil question, if you don't like it, don't reply.
That is the way both my mum and husband choose a horse by closing their eyes and putting a pin in the paper while I intend to go with the favourite but saying that there is no guarantee it will ever win.
Looking at Long Run and Double 7 at the minute.
I am usually the opposite, I tend to oppose the favourite but this year I really strongly fancy the favourite to win ( as I state above ) so Teaforthree for me.
Long Run- its his 9th birthday tomorrow, plus the jockey has his deceased brothers' name stitched onto his saddle. Just have a feeling it could be.
Mountainous- admire Jamie Moore as a jockey.
Alvarado- likes a marathon trip, i like the name too :-D