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Labour's lead down to 3%
The May political poll monitor from IPSOS-Mori puts Labour on 34 points, with the Conservative close behind on 31. UKIP is in third with 13 points and the Liberal Democrats on just 10.
Source: Ipsos Mori
It's still enough to give Labour a majority, and the UKIP numbers look odd but this is the second poll in a row to show Labour under that 35% target and the narrowest margin between Labour and the Tories since April 2012
Two points picked out by UK Polling Report
Source: Ipsos Mori
It's still enough to give Labour a majority, and the UKIP numbers look odd but this is the second poll in a row to show Labour under that 35% target and the narrowest margin between Labour and the Tories since April 2012
Two points picked out by UK Polling Report
1) MORI’s Tom Mludzinski says the change is mostly due to Labour voters saying they are less likely to vote (as regular readers will know Ipsos MORI use the harshest turnout filter, only including respondents who say they are absolutely 10/10 certain to vote).
2) As with the YouGov/Sunday Times figures for the last few week’s, MORI’s figures also show an increase in economic optimism… or at least, a decrease in pessimism. 30% now expect the economy to improve in the next year, 31% to get worse – a net “feel good factor” of minus 1. This is up from minus 19 a month ago, and the highest since July 2010.
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Utterly incredible given where we are in the Parliament, and what the government are having to do. They should be romping it.
I have a union member friend who voted for him - full of it at the time. Absolutely kicking himself now.
There has to be a better word......:D
Fair point. Different polls, different polling methods. But it's also worth pointing out that last month, Ipsos-Mori had Labour's lead at 9%, and YouGov / Sun had the lead at 14%. So, on a like-for-like basis Labours' lead has dropped somewhere between 4% and 6% in one month.
Do you know how the daily YouGov poll works and how many it samples. It seem to fluctuate widely on the Labour lead anything between 6% and 14%
Especially when you think about how big the Tories lead was in the polls two years before the last GE and then they only just managed to get into power with the aid of the Lib Dems.
The latter is going to be a problem for them at election time. The more the public sees of Milliband, the less they see him as a Prime Minister.
Hi GM, I think I have posted this several times, but here goes, if you look at the percentage figures the Conservative attained, the same figures would have given Labour a clear majority.
I think David realised that there would be another leader in between Ed and himself, a switch of brothers would have been excruciating. Thus him finding a way to be "quiet" for a while. But who would that be? Have we had any hints in the past couple of years?
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2083355/Alistair-Darling-touted-compromise-leader-Miliband-continues-fail.html
And what would be the last possible moment to do this - with the polls then forcing a Tory leadership crisis. And time running out....
I don't see any way around this problem.
If he were able to tweak his image - It would have happened by now.
Er, no. UKip are actually down on that poll. Labour's drop according to the poll is because of "Labour voters saying they are less likely to vote". Which is a judgement on Miliband and his lot I'd say.
I agree, but it's a
I don't want them under any circumstances.
I'd take anything Yougov says with a pinch of salt...they are the most Labour-biased poll ever!
Labour are a disaster, the fact they are only a few points ahead of the current bunch of clowns says it all.
Indeed.
so they picked the wrong brother
but their paymasters got the required result
bit like the tories theyd win outright with boris
and the libdems would not have done as well in 2010
without the "I agree with Nick" TV debates