Do you think people will vote yes on the issue of AV

Tulip19Tulip19 Posts: 3,076
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when the referendum takes place next year?

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  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 3,060
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    Latest polling shows a decent lead for the no camp.
  • LostFoolLostFool Posts: 90,650
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    Dan48 wrote: »
    Latest polling shows a decent lead for the no camp.

    Actually, I would have thought the "don't care" camp is in the lead. I've yet to hear anyone raise the topic at work or down the pub.

    Personally, I'm wavering between "don't know" and "no". I'm not against voting reform, I just don't think this is the answer.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 13,672
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    Tulip19 wrote: »
    when the referendum takes place next year?

    Yes I do

    But a looooooooong way to go yet!
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 3,060
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    LostFool wrote: »
    Actually, I would have thought the "don't care" camp is in the lead. I've yet to hear anyone raise the topic at work or down the pub.

    Personally, I'm wavering between "don't know" and "no". I'm not against voting reform, I just don't think this is the answer.

    This should interest you:
    http://www.today.yougov.co.uk/sites/today.yougov.co.uk/files/YG-Archives-Pol-ConstitutionSociety-AV-010910.pdf
  • Tulip19Tulip19 Posts: 3,076
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  • Magpie11Magpie11 Posts: 9,294
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    The Lib Dems reputation will be (even more) in the gutter by then and as it's seen as their policy I think it will fall as the public decides to punish them by voting no.

    I hope I'm wrong as having AV at the next election would be a good thing for Labour.
  • AiramAiram Posts: 6,764
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    I won't vote. I think there's more important things for our government to be doing than rushing us into a referendum on this matter so soon.
  • RaferRafer Posts: 14,231
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    It's far too early to speculate on how the vote will go. We don't know anything about it. We don't even know for certain what is being proposed, how it will work, what it's limitations are. Until we get some reliable information we shouldn't start drawing any conclusions over how the public intends to vote, if indeed they decide to vote.
  • Tulip19Tulip19 Posts: 3,076
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    Magpie11 wrote: »
    The Lib Dems reputation will be (even more) in the gutter by then and as it's seen as their policy I think it will fall as the public decides to punish them by voting no.

    I hope I'm wrong as having AV at the next election would be a good thing for Labour.

    I have already heard people say they intend to do exactly that. :(
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 0
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    Tulip19 wrote: »
    I have already heard people say they intend to do exactly that. :(

    Which is pretty daft, given that AV is Labour's policy, not the Lib Dems'.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 83
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    It will fail because:
    Its not more proportional than FPTP
    Its not PR
    Its what the LibDems want
    Nobody really cares
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 0
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    Apollo101 wrote: »
    It will fail because:
    Its not more proportional than FPTP
    Its not PR
    Its what the LibDems want
    Nobody really cares

    Bzzzt! LDs want STV, not AV. AV's a miserable little compromise but it's the best the LDs could get out of the Tories (and still arguably better than FPTP, but that's an argument that could run and run and depends on one's value of "better"). It's Labour who wants AV. (Sort of, perhaps, unless it's changed again this week.)
  • AnnsyreAnnsyre Posts: 109,504
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    Magpie11 wrote: »
    The Lib Dems reputation will be (even more) in the gutter by then and as it's seen as their policy I think it will fall as the public decides to punish them by voting no.

    I hope I'm wrong as having AV at the next election would be a good thing for Labour.

    Well Ed Miliband would certainly agree with you.:D

    He is going for a "Yes" vote.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 3,060
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    Apollo101 wrote: »
    It will fail because:
    Its not more proportional than FPTP
    Its not PR
    Its what the LibDems want
    Nobody really cares

    If it fails it will be because people don't care (indeed I don't expect a good turnout).
  • paralaxparalax Posts: 12,127
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    I hope not, FPTP may not be perfect but it is rare for it to result in a hung parliament. With PR or AV you are less sure of getting what you vote for which is a single party and the policies they put to you in the election campaign, there would be more back room deals.
  • MARTYM8MARTYM8 Posts: 44,710
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    As Labour are backing this I am sure it will pass in the end.

    No more need to tactical vote - and no more voting for x to keep y out.

    We will also find out what people's real preferences are by their first vote - so we will see who really supports which party.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 83
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    mithy73 wrote: »
    Bzzzt! LDs want STV, not AV. AV's a miserable little compromise but it's the best the LDs could get out of the Tories (and still arguably better than FPTP, but that's an argument that could run and run and depends on one's value of "better"). It's Labour who wants AV. (Sort of, perhaps, unless it's changed again this week.)

    LibDems want AV over FPTP, I know they want STV, but they are still backing the YES vote.
  • crazychris12crazychris12 Posts: 26,254
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    Most people I know are like me, DON'T CARE and won't even bother to vote.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 2,104
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    I think the no vote will win.

    People will take the opportunity to punish the lib dems.

    This is the party that signed pledges that they wouldn't raise tuition fees and aimed to scrap it. A complete reversal, and blaming it on the financial situation is ridiculous since everybody knew the situation before the election because of the worldwide recession etc... After the election, the deficit was shown to be £12bn less than first thought.

    And as for the pupil premium hype by Clegg today, it is utter desperation by clegg to somehow attempt to say that the lib dems are delivering on a promise in their manifesto. The actual policy in my view appears to be a gimmick and ill thought out. What will happen to surestart instead ? It seems they want to restrict it to the very very poorest people.

    It's the squeezing of the middle class. And actually, the very poorest will still overall suffer the most once the full scale of cuts become clear.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 3,060
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    paralax wrote: »
    I hope not, FPTP may not be perfect but it is rare for it to result in a hung parliament. With PR or AV you are less sure of getting what you vote for which is a single party and the policies they put to you in the election campaign, there would be more back room deals.

    AV is not comparable with any form of PR. AV is basically a more complex version of FPTP.
  • HelboreHelbore Posts: 16,069
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    Magpie11 wrote: »
    The Lib Dems reputation will be (even more) in the gutter by then and as it's seen as their policy I think it will fall as the public decides to punish them by voting no.

    I hope I'm wrong as having AV at the next election would be a good thing for Labour.
    glory1986 wrote: »
    I think the no vote will win.

    People will take the opportunity to punish the lib dems.

    This is the party that signed pledges that they wouldn't raise tuition fees and aimed to scrap it. A complete reversal, and blaming it on the financial situation is ridiculous since everybody knew the situation before the election because of the worldwide recession etc... After the election, the deficit was shown to be £12bn less than first thought.

    And as for the pupil premium hype by Clegg today, it is utter desperation by clegg to somehow attempt to say that the lib dems are delivering on a promise in their manifesto. The actual policy in my view appears to be a gimmick and ill thought out. What will happen to surestart instead ? It seems they want to restrict it to the very very poorest people.

    It's the squeezing of the middle class. And actually, the very poorest will still overall suffer the most once the full scale of cuts become clear.

    If this is true, it will be a day I feel sad to be British.

    I guess I shouldn't be surprised really, but if people are going to vote "to punish a party" rather than on the actual pros/cons of a major voting reform, I feel sad fro the future of our country's democracy.

    What's the point when people treat politics like football club rivalry? :mad:
  • David SteinbergDavid Steinberg Posts: 1,221
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    paralax wrote: »
    I hope not, FPTP may not be perfect but it is rare for it to result in a hung parliament. With PR or AV you are less sure of getting what you vote for which is a single party and the policies they put to you in the election campaign, there would be more back room deals.

    Can't agree with the above at all.

    In a lot of European countries a coalition works great. Nothing wrong with a hung parliament.
  • HelboreHelbore Posts: 16,069
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    Can't agree with the above at all.

    In a lot of European countries a coalition works great. Nothing wrong with a hung parliament.

    Totally agree with this. Considering FPTP generally results in two-thirds of the electorate not getting what they voted for, its benefits, as mentioned, are pretty lame.

    FPTP is good for getting a government that fits an individual's position (ie. if you happened to be someone who voted for the winning party, you get everything you want), whereas STV (proper PR) doesn't tend to fulfil the total desires of indivual voters, but better represent the majority as a whole.

    Our politics is too much about "which side wins" as opposed to an accurate representation of the populous as a whole. It's also to weighted towards only two political ideologies, at the expense of the rest.

    Really don't understand why anyone supports our current system. It's biased beyond belief.
  • MD1500MD1500 Posts: 14,234
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    I hope so.
    If we don't get AV, bang goes any likelihood of political reform in the forseeable future.
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