Real Wages to surpass inflation this month

paulschapmanpaulschapman Posts: 35,536
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27010326
Wages are set to rise by more than inflation for the first time in almost six years, says an economic forecaster.

EY says a "long period of low inflation" means average earnings could rise faster than the cost of living as early as this month.
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Its latest report reads: "We expect wage growth to overtake CPI inflation as early as April."

"Until now the recovery has been financed by a fall in the amount households save, but it appears to be moving to a firmer footing," said Peter Spencer, the club's chief economic advisor.

"The consumer upturn will be given a boost from real wages and rising employment, while investment is finally kicking in."

Falling petrol, energy and food prices, driven low by a strong pound, will help keep the cost of living down for a sustained period, Mr Spencer added.

"We are set for a long period of low inflation as pressures from commodity prices... remain largely absent."
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Meanwhile, the growing demand for labour should push up wages and could also see the UK overtake Germany as the country with the highest employment in the G7 group of leading economies, the group claims.

It predicts the UK unemployment rate, currently at 7.2%, will fall to 6.5% by the end of the year and 6% by the end of 2015.

:)
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Comments

  • mungobrushmungobrush Posts: 9,332
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    And in the Times today - they are forecasting tax cuts to come soon.

    It's all good.
  • smudges dadsmudges dad Posts: 36,989
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    One month out of 48 - that's good going.
  • jmclaughjmclaugh Posts: 63,997
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    That won't make good reading for the two Eds, cries of doh......
  • gummy mummygummy mummy Posts: 26,600
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    Very good.

    Will it apply to all minimum wage workers as well ?
  • Rastus PiefaceRastus Pieface Posts: 4,382
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    One month out of 48 - that's good going.

    it doesn't take long for a cloud to come along to spoil the silver lining.:D

    are you not glad the economy and wages are moving in the right direction after the worst financial crash for about 70 years?

    well done to the coalition. long may they keep labour out of number 10 (and 11).
  • smudges dadsmudges dad Posts: 36,989
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    it doesn't take long for a cloud to come along to spoil the silver lining.:D

    are you not glad the economy and wages are moving in the right direction after the worst financial crash for about 70 years?

    well done to the coalition. long may they keep labour out of number 10 (and 11).
    I said it was good going. What more do you want?
  • gummy mummygummy mummy Posts: 26,600
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    it doesn't take long for a cloud to come along to spoil the silver lining.:D

    are you not glad the economy and wages are moving in the right direction after the worst financial crash for about 70 years?

    well done to the coalition. long may they keep labour out of number 10 (and 11).

    How do you know that wages would not have gone up sooner if Labour had been in number 10 (and 11) ?

    BTW I'm not claiming they would have I'm just asking how you know that they wouldn't.
  • Rastus PiefaceRastus Pieface Posts: 4,382
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    I said it was good going. What more do you want?

    less sarcasm.;-)
    How do you know that wages would not have gone up sooner if Labour had been in number 10 (and 11) ?

    BTW I'm not claiming they would have I'm just asking how you know that they wouldn't.

    i don't - and no-one can answer that for certain.
    however, wasn't it darling who said if they stayed in power, labours cuts would have been worse than anything thatcher ever did? so i doubt wages would have gone up sooner if labour stayed in office, especially with ed balls in number 11.

    btw, in answer to your question about people on minimum wage, yes they do benefit:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-26543267
  • gummy mummygummy mummy Posts: 26,600
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    i don't - and no-one can answer that for certain.
    however, wasn't it darling who said if they stayed in power, labours cuts would have been worse than anything thatcher ever did? so i doubt wages would have gone up sooner if labour stayed in office, especially with ed balls in number 11.

    Exactly !!
    btw, in answer to your question about people on minimum wage, yes they do benefit:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-26543267

    That is good to hear :)

    Will workers on the MW be getting a wage that means they won't need to claim benefits to top up their wages ?
  • LostFoolLostFool Posts: 90,647
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    We just heard about our annual pay rise today. The word on the grapevine had been 2.5% but it has just been announced as 1.5%.

    So, that's me straight down to the showroom to put a deposit down on a new Bentley... or maybe not.
  • paulschapmanpaulschapman Posts: 35,536
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    Exactly !!



    That is good to hear :)

    Will workers on the MW be getting a wage that means they won't need to claim benefits to top up their wages ?

    Not yet, but given that only the top 20% of earners are actually net contributors - the number of people who claim benefits would be fairly high up the wages scales.
  • Rastus PiefaceRastus Pieface Posts: 4,382
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    Exactly !!

    glad you agree with me in regards to labour.:)
    Will workers on the MW be getting a wage that means they won't need to claim benefits to top up their wages ?

    you'd better ask their employers that question, and not me.
  • flagpoleflagpole Posts: 44,641
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    ah but...

    out of touch, man in the street, bankers bonuses.
  • MidnightFalconMidnightFalcon Posts: 15,016
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    "One swallow does not a summer make".
    ......
  • gummy mummygummy mummy Posts: 26,600
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    glad you agree with me in regards to labour.:)

    I knew I'd intended to bold something :blush:

    I was actually agreeing to this.
    i don't - and no-one can answer that for certain

    you'd better ask their employers that question, and not me.

    I'm not able to do that as I don't know anyone on the minimum wage other than my husband and he doesn't claim benefits.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 14,922
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    The carefully constructed headline inflation figure, excluding housing, is now lower.

    The average persons wages, which they have to pay housing costs out of, have not gone up in any significant way.

    It's a badgers situation. ;-)
  • tim59tim59 Posts: 47,188
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    It really does not matter what headlines say or giving figures out, its what people feel is in their pocket, that is what really matters if people dont feel better off then everything else is meaningless
  • TassiumTassium Posts: 31,639
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    Any kind of economic recovery will probably help Labour.

    People are really tired of austerity winter, and it's the Conservatives who are blamed.

    People don't vote using logic. There is a very real sense of 1996 all over again. Corruption, hypocrisy, sex-scandals...
  • flagpoleflagpole Posts: 44,641
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    Tassium wrote: »
    Any kind of economic recovery will probably help Labour.

    People are really tired of austerity winter, and it's the Conservatives who are blamed.

    People don't vote using logic. There is a very real sense of 1996 all over again. Corruption, hypocrisy, sex-scandals...

    i think there is a legitimate possibility of that.

    basically people thinking the economy is fixed so we no longer need a conservative government.

    but if that is the plan labour would have to stop talking down the economy. the conservative line is that the job is not done yet.
  • MidnightFalconMidnightFalcon Posts: 15,016
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    Tassium wrote: »
    Any kind of economic recovery will probably help Labour.

    People are really tired of austerity winter, and it's the Conservatives who are blamed.

    People don't vote using logic. There is a very real sense of 1996 all over again. Corruption, hypocrisy, sex-scandals...

    Meanwhile back in the real world..........
  • GreatGodPanGreatGodPan Posts: 53,186
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    Very good.

    Will it apply to all minimum wage workers as well ?

    Well, it certainly won't apply to public sector workers.
  • RobMilesRobMiles Posts: 1,224
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    Tassium wrote: »
    Any kind of economic recovery will probably help Labour.

    People are really tired of austerity winter, and it's the Conservatives who are blamed.

    This makes no sense whatsoever!
  • GreatGodPanGreatGodPan Posts: 53,186
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    WindWalker wrote: »
    The carefully constructed headline inflation figure, excluding housing, is now lower.

    The average persons wages, which they have to pay housing costs out of, have not gone up in any significant way.

    It's a badgers situation. ;-)

    Good point.

    'Twas only a few years ago that inflation was measured by RPI - which is currently running at 2.7%.

    Some have short memories.
  • gummy mummygummy mummy Posts: 26,600
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    Well, it certainly won't apply to public sector workers.

    That's unfair, public sector workers are just as hard working, and in some cases even more hardworking as private sector workers.

    But this Government has never appreciated public sector workers so it's not really surprising. :(
  • Nick1966Nick1966 Posts: 15,742
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    mungobrush wrote: »
    And in the Times today - they are forecasting tax cuts to come soon.

    Mr Osborne will follow the traditional political custom.

    Tax rises at the beginning of the parliament
    During the course of this parliament, borrows even more money - in this case £700 billion
    Caps rises in working age benefits

    Yet, will able to find money for tax cuts just before the general election.

    But will the proposed tax cut prior to next general election boost the Conservatives current 308 seats ?
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