Election Night 2015 results

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  • InspirationInspiration Posts: 62,702
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    Interesting drill down of the exit poll. The key seats Labour were targeting.. the neck and neck ones in 2010.. are still neck and neck, which means Labour have failed to win their main targets.

    I wonder if the opinion polls have been right all along... the fact Labour were neck and neck with the Tories was never a good sign for an opposition government who needed to win Tory seats.

    Wow Nick really is desperate for the poll to be wrong.
  • RaferRafer Posts: 14,231
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    Sky_Guy wrote: »
    Now he is slagging off Miliband campaign and is praising the Tory campaign.:D:D:D:D:D

    Kiss of death.
  • Gregory ShapeGregory Shape Posts: 2,595
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    Where are all the mouthy Labour shills who usually infest these boards? They seem to have gone a little quiet...
  • TassiumTassium Posts: 31,639
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    For the Conservatives to have 316 seats would mean that all the polling organisations have been way off the mark the last few months.

    It does seem more likely that a fundamental flaw has been made in the Broadcaster Exit Poll. Not an analysis mistake but a practical error. Human error in other words.
  • Phil_CoulthardPhil_Coulthard Posts: 2,843
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    Shall we take a stab at the next Lib Dem and Labour leaders?
  • Apple_CrumbleApple_Crumble Posts: 21,748
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    Ads wrote: »
    Owen Jones looking very depressed on ITV

    Owen Jones takes about progressive politics, writes a book about the Establishment ... and then says "vote Labour". Pfft.
  • koantemplationkoantemplation Posts: 101,293
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    Tassium wrote: »
    For the Conservatives to have 316 seats would mean that all the polling organisations have been way off the mark the last few months.

    It does seem more likely that a fundamental flaw has been made in the Broadcaster Exit Poll. Not an analysis mistake but a practical error. Human error in other words.

    I wish they wouldn't do polling or exit polls.

    Just wait for the actual result and let people get on with it.
  • SoppyfanSoppyfan Posts: 29,911
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    Shall we take a stab at the net Lib Dem and Labour leaders?

    For the Libdems, it looks like Clegg will be replaced instantly and there'll be a leadership contest.
  • nethwennethwen Posts: 23,374
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    Tassium wrote: »
    For the Conservatives to have 316 seats would mean that all the polling organisations have been way off the mark the last few months.

    It does seem more likely that a fundamental flaw has been made in the Broadcaster Exit Poll. Not an analysis mistake but a practical error. Human error in other words.

    Exactly. I'm not getting overawed by the exit poll just yet.

    And what about the apparent high turn out? Have they taken this into consideration in the exit poll?
  • nethwennethwen Posts: 23,374
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    I wish they wouldn't do polling or exit polls.

    Just wait for the actual result and let people get on with it.

    Agreed.
  • RecordPlayerRecordPlayer Posts: 22,648
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    I wish they wouldn't do polling or exit polls.

    Just wait for the actual result and let people get on with it.

    I agree.
  • blueisthecolourblueisthecolour Posts: 20,125
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    Soppyfan wrote: »
    For the Libdems, it looks like Clegg will be replaced instantly and there'll be a leadership contest.

    Maybe they'll all stand - 10 way tie decided by rock paper scissors. :D
  • nethwennethwen Posts: 23,374
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    5 to 6 minutes for first result from Sunderland.
  • Jason CJason C Posts: 31,283
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    How smug was that laugh from Paul Nuttall?!

    The key thing to look for from this first result in Houghton & Sunderland South is to see how much UKIP have eaten into the Labour vote.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 20,096
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    Interesting. UKIP, SNP, and LDs all showing serious caution towards this exit poll. I'm leaning towards it being right, but you never know....
  • nethwennethwen Posts: 23,374
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    These polls are puzzling to me.

    How come the polls tally for SNP but are way off for LibLabCon?
  • InspirationInspiration Posts: 62,702
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    Interesting. UKIP, SNP, and LDs all showing serious caution towards this exit poll. I'm leaning towards it being right, but you never know....

    Well all opposition parties have to be sceptical because it's indicated a good night for the government.
  • RedOrDead36RedOrDead36 Posts: 1,629
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    I thought this may happen and think the BBC exit poll is right and may even underestimate the Tory vote a little. The Labour lot were incredibly vocal against the tories who were silent voters.
  • RecordPlayerRecordPlayer Posts: 22,648
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    nethwen wrote: »
    5 to 6 minutes for first result from Sunderland.

    Wish they'd hurry up. I'm starting to feel depressed. :blush:
  • TassiumTassium Posts: 31,639
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    I wonder if a high turnout relative to 2010 has messed up the exit poll?
  • samantha_vinesamantha_vine Posts: 1,817
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    If David Miliband were Labour leader...they would have fared far better imo.
    Ed just isn't a leader.
  • nethwennethwen Posts: 23,374
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    Aaaargh we've got Harriet Harman now.
  • koantemplationkoantemplation Posts: 101,293
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    If David Miliband were Labour leader...they would have fared far better imo.
    Ed just isn't a leader.

    The trouble was that David was more right wing than his brother.
  • Phil_CoulthardPhil_Coulthard Posts: 2,843
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    Interesting. UKIP, SNP, and LDs all showing serious caution towards this exit poll. I'm leaning towards it being right, but you never know....

    I think the message from all the Parties minus the Tories is 'don't hold your breath'
  • alisonrose3764alisonrose3764 Posts: 1,493
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    There must be a lot of closet Tory voters out there IF the polls are right.

    Totally this!
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