I think this buzz for Riva is only sparking up after the BAFTAs. Not to put the BAFTAs down, but I wouldn't pay too much attention to whoever picks up the awards at that show. If you want real indications for Oscar winners, then you pay attention to the Globes & SAG awards.
Plus with Amour being a foreign language film, it will hurt Riva's chances more. In this country it isn't such an issue, but over the ocean it will play a pivotal role.
Chastain's performance was good, but not great. Much of her performance was forced and she sounded like a petulant teenager at times.
Jennifer Lawrence is taking that Oscar because she gave the best performance this year, and she has Harvey Weinstein behind her. I've heard people say she won't win because she's too "mainstream" now after The Hunger Games...but that's just hipster BS.
I'm not saying that Riva is going to beat Lawrence but I think Riva does have arguments in her favour. For one her age, she is much closer in age to the average of the Academy voter and this is almost certainly her last chance at an Oscar, that might sway a large number towards her. The Academy can be horribly sentimental at times. Also, it may be that she's only gained attention since the BAFTAs but the BAFTAs were the last big awards ceremony and will be fresh in people's minds as they come to cast their votes.
The Globes aren't a bad indicator but they muddle things by splitting their categories for the main acting awards in two so it's hard to tell how things are going to go. The SAGs aren't always a good indicator either, last year for example they had Viola Davis taking their award over Meryl Streep.
Remember too that Marion Cotillard won for a french language film not that long ago against the highly fancied Julie Christie who'd picked up the SAG and a Globe for Dramatic performance that year.
So there's definitely an outside chance Riva could collect the award.
I'm not saying that Riva is going to beat Lawrence but I think Riva does have arguments in her favour. For one her age, she is much closer in age to the average of the Academy voter and this is almost certainly her last chance at an Oscar, that might sway a large number towards her. The Academy can be horribly sentimental at times. Also, it may be that she's only gained attention since the BAFTAs but the BAFTAs were the last big awards ceremony and will be fresh in people's minds as they come to cast their votes.
The Globes aren't a bad indicator but they muddle things by splitting their categories for the main acting awards in two so it's hard to tell how things are going to go. The SAGs aren't always a good indicator either, last year for example they had Viola Davis taking their award over Meryl Streep.
Remember too that Marion Cotillard won for a french language film not that long ago against the highly fancied Julie Christie who'd picked up the SAG and a Globe for Dramatic performance that year.
So there's definitely an outside chance Riva could collect the award.
I agree with your sentiments, but I'm of the opinion that this is one where it's Lawrence's to lose rather than win at this stage.
Plus some would say they'll give it to her to make up for her loss two years ago, where some claim (not me) she was robbed by Natalie Portman.
I agree with your sentiments, but I'm of the opinion that this is one where it's Lawrence's to lose rather than win at this stage.
Plus some would say they'll give it to her to make up for her loss two years ago, where some claim (not me) she was robbed by Natalie Portman.
I think Riva's win is unlikely too although I'm less sure of the brilliance of Lawrence's performance than you are. I thought she was good but I actually preferred her in Winter's Bone plus she's got many years in which to win an Oscar.
I don't think she was ever really a contender two years ago though, Portman swept all before her from my recollection.
Just in case anyone's interested, here is the list of award presenters and performers for tomorrow night:
Presenters
Obviously last year's acting winners will be presenting the acting categories:
Jean Dujardin
Meryl Streep
Christopher Plummer
Octavia Spencer
Then there's also:
Ben Affleck
Michael Douglas
Jamie Foxx
Dustin Hoffmann
Jack Nicholson
Paul Rudd
Liam Neeson
John Travolta
Mark Wahlberg (with Ted)
Jennifer Aniston
Halle Berry
Sandra Bullock
Jessica Chastain
Jane Fonda
Jennifer Garner
Salma Hayek
Nicole Kidman
Jennifer Lawrence
Melissa McCarthy
Kristen Stewart
Reese Witherspoon
Kerry Washington
Plus the cast of Chicago: Richard Gere, Queen Latifah, Renée Zellweger and Catherine Zeta-Jones
And the cast of The Avengers: Robert Downey Jr., Chris Evans, Jeremy Renner, Mark Ruffalo, and Samuel L. Jackson
And "special appearances" from Charlize Theron, Daniel Radcliffe, Joseph Gordon-Levitt and Channing Tatum
Performers
Dreamgirls: Jennifer Hudson (presumably singing And I am Telling You)
Chicago: Catherine Zeta-Jones (presumably singing All That Jazz)
Les Miserables: Anne Hathaway (singing I Dreamed a Dream), Hugh Jackman, Russell Crowe, Eddie Redmayne, Amanda Seyfried, Samantha Barks, Aaron Tveit, Sacha Baron Cohen and Helena Bonham Carter (all singing One Day More)
Barbra Streisand
Norah Jones (singing a song from Ted)
Adele (singing Skyfall)
Kristin Chenoweth (closing the show with host Seth McFarlane)
Dreamgirls: Jennifer Hudson (presumably singing And I am Telling You)
Chicago: Catherine Zeta-Jones (presumably singing All That Jazz)
Les Miserables: Anne Hathaway (singing I Dreamed a Dream), Hugh Jackman, Russell Crowe, Eddie Redmayne, Amanda Seyfried, Samantha Barks, Aaron Tveit, Sacha Baron Cohen and Helena Bonham Carter (all singing One Day More)
Barbra Streisand
Norah Jones (singing a song from Ted)
Adele (singing Skyfall)
Kristin Chenoweth (closing the show with host Seth McFarlane)
At least there's enough good (Streisand, Hudson, Chenoweth and the Les Mis cast) to counteract the awful (Catherine Zeta-Jones and Adele). Should be a good show, hopefully Seth McFarlane won't be too annoying but by the looks of it it could be the most entertaining Oscars since Hugh Jackman hosted.
I think Riva's win is unlikely too although I'm less sure of the brilliance of Lawrence's performance than you are. I thought she was good but I actually preferred her in Winter's Bone plus she's got many years in which to win an Oscar.
I don't think she was ever really a contender two years ago though, Portman swept all before her from my recollection.
Her performance in Winter's Bone was certainly better compared to this one that's a certain. I just think with her good performance and Harvey Weinstein behind her...she can't lose.
Her performance in Winter's Bone was certainly better compared to this one that's a certain. I just think with her good performance and Harvey Weinstein behind her...she can't lose.
Yes Mr Weinstein certainly knows how to maximise the returns for his films come the Oscars. As awful as it sounds I kind of want Lawrence to lose just so that David O Russell is shown again on camera making that face.
I don't care if either Lawrence of Riva win. But if Chastain wins I'm throwing a sponge brick at my screen.
I know it's horrible and a bit personal, but I'm really starting to find her extremely annoying and I find it hard to stand her now, it's funny because I really liked her when she first came on the scene.
I haven't watched or don't want to watch zero dark 30 because of her, she seems a very Oscar ambitious actress and from the clips I've seen of her in that film, it comes across as she's trying very hard be this character in a pretentious way like look how serious of an actress I am and look at the role I'm playing type thing
I haven't watched or don't want to watch zero dark 30 because of her, she seems a very Oscar ambitious actress and from the clips I've seen of her in that film, it comes across as she's trying very hard be this character in a pretentious way like look how serious of an actress I am and look at the role I'm playing type thing
I didn't think she came across that way in ZD30 at all. I thought she was very good, but not as good as Jennifer Lawrence's performance in Silver Linings Playbook.
Ahahahaha, dream on. I love Naomi, but she has no chance.
Are you basing this prediction on your personal opinion of her performance? If so (and I'm certain your answer will be yes because there's been absolutely no reason to expect her to take it), then you're doing it wrong and I suggest you prepare for disappointment on February 25th.
Yes. I really hope she surpises people and wins!:D
Looks like I'm gonna have to go to bed at about 6-7pm tonight and get up again at 1am ..... loads of work to do before then and then I have meetings at 8am next morning - eeekkk!!
But I can't miss this - sounds like it's gonna be a good one tonight!
Just in case anyone's interested, here is the list of award presenters and performers for tomorrow night:
Presenters
Obviously last year's acting winners will be presenting the acting categories:
Jean Dujardin
Meryl Streep
Christopher Plummer
Octavia Spencer
Then there's also:
Ben Affleck
Michael Douglas
Jamie Foxx
Dustin Hoffmann
Jack Nicholson
Paul Rudd
Liam Neeson
John Travolta
Mark Wahlberg (with Ted)
Jennifer Aniston
Halle Berry
Sandra Bullock
Jessica Chastain
Jane Fonda
Jennifer Garner
Salma Hayek
Nicole Kidman
Jennifer Lawrence
Melissa McCarthy
Kristen Stewart
Reese Witherspoon
Kerry Washington
Plus the cast of Chicago: Richard Gere, Queen Latifah, Renée Zellweger and Catherine Zeta-Jones
And the cast of The Avengers: Robert Downey Jr., Chris Evans, Jeremy Renner, Mark Ruffalo, and Samuel L. Jackson
And "special appearances" from Charlize Theron, Daniel Radcliffe, Joseph Gordon-Levitt and Channing Tatum
Performers
Dreamgirls: Jennifer Hudson (presumably singing And I am Telling You)
Chicago: Catherine Zeta-Jones (presumably singing All That Jazz)
Les Miserables: Anne Hathaway (singing I Dreamed a Dream), Hugh Jackman, Russell Crowe, Eddie Redmayne, Amanda Seyfried, Samantha Barks, Aaron Tveit, Sacha Baron Cohen and Helena Bonham Carter (all singing One Day More)
Barbra Streisand
Norah Jones (singing a song from Ted)
Adele (singing Skyfall)
Kristin Chenoweth (closing the show with host Seth McFarlane)
Shirley Bassey is also performing, I heard there won't be a bond reunion, but i wouldn't rule anything out
I saw 'Lincoln' the other day- DDL does not deserve another Oscar! Give someone else the award for a change!
Why shouldn't he be rewarded for a truly outstanding performance just because he's won twice before. For me his performance, and possibly Anne Hathaway's, are the only ones that have screamed 'Oscar' to me. I can't look back on Lincoln without smiling at the little quirks in his performance, the scene that always comes to mind is the story about the English man's bathroom and the George Washington portrait. I can't wait until I can watch it again.
Comments
I'm not saying that Riva is going to beat Lawrence but I think Riva does have arguments in her favour. For one her age, she is much closer in age to the average of the Academy voter and this is almost certainly her last chance at an Oscar, that might sway a large number towards her. The Academy can be horribly sentimental at times. Also, it may be that she's only gained attention since the BAFTAs but the BAFTAs were the last big awards ceremony and will be fresh in people's minds as they come to cast their votes.
The Globes aren't a bad indicator but they muddle things by splitting their categories for the main acting awards in two so it's hard to tell how things are going to go. The SAGs aren't always a good indicator either, last year for example they had Viola Davis taking their award over Meryl Streep.
Remember too that Marion Cotillard won for a french language film not that long ago against the highly fancied Julie Christie who'd picked up the SAG and a Globe for Dramatic performance that year.
So there's definitely an outside chance Riva could collect the award.
BEST PICTURE
Argo
BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln”
BEST ACTRESS
Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables”
BEST DIRECTOR
Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln”
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“Zero Dark Thirty”
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“Argo”
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“Frankenweenie”
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
“Amour”
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
“Skyfall”
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
“Lincoln”
BEST FILM EDITING
“Argo”
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
“The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
“Skyfall”
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Skyfall” from "Skyfall"
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
“Lincoln”
BEST SOUND EDITING
“Argo”
BEST SOUND MIXING
“Les Miserables”
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
“Life of Pi”
I agree with your sentiments, but I'm of the opinion that this is one where it's Lawrence's to lose rather than win at this stage.
Plus some would say they'll give it to her to make up for her loss two years ago, where some claim (not me) she was robbed by Natalie Portman.
I think Riva's win is unlikely too although I'm less sure of the brilliance of Lawrence's performance than you are. I thought she was good but I actually preferred her in Winter's Bone plus she's got many years in which to win an Oscar.
I don't think she was ever really a contender two years ago though, Portman swept all before her from my recollection.
BEST PICTURE
Les Miserables
BEST ACTOR
Denzel Washington, “Flight”
BEST ACTRESS
Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christoph Waltz, “Django Unchained”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables”
BEST DIRECTOR
Ang Lee, "Life of Pi"
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“Django Unchained”
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“Beasts of the Southern Wild”
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“Frankenweenie”
...Now, who I THINK will win
BEST PICTURE
Argo
BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis
BEST ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Tommy Lee-Jones
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway
BEST DIRECTOR
Ang Lee
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Django Unchained
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Argo
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Brave
Presenters
Obviously last year's acting winners will be presenting the acting categories:
Jean Dujardin
Meryl Streep
Christopher Plummer
Octavia Spencer
Then there's also:
Ben Affleck
Michael Douglas
Jamie Foxx
Dustin Hoffmann
Jack Nicholson
Paul Rudd
Liam Neeson
John Travolta
Mark Wahlberg (with Ted)
Jennifer Aniston
Halle Berry
Sandra Bullock
Jessica Chastain
Jane Fonda
Jennifer Garner
Salma Hayek
Nicole Kidman
Jennifer Lawrence
Melissa McCarthy
Kristen Stewart
Reese Witherspoon
Kerry Washington
Plus the cast of Chicago: Richard Gere, Queen Latifah, Renée Zellweger and Catherine Zeta-Jones
And the cast of The Avengers: Robert Downey Jr., Chris Evans, Jeremy Renner, Mark Ruffalo, and Samuel L. Jackson
And "special appearances" from Charlize Theron, Daniel Radcliffe, Joseph Gordon-Levitt and Channing Tatum
Performers
Dreamgirls: Jennifer Hudson (presumably singing And I am Telling You)
Chicago: Catherine Zeta-Jones (presumably singing All That Jazz)
Les Miserables: Anne Hathaway (singing I Dreamed a Dream), Hugh Jackman, Russell Crowe, Eddie Redmayne, Amanda Seyfried, Samantha Barks, Aaron Tveit, Sacha Baron Cohen and Helena Bonham Carter (all singing One Day More)
Barbra Streisand
Norah Jones (singing a song from Ted)
Adele (singing Skyfall)
Kristin Chenoweth (closing the show with host Seth McFarlane)
At least there's enough good (Streisand, Hudson, Chenoweth and the Les Mis cast) to counteract the awful (Catherine Zeta-Jones and Adele). Should be a good show, hopefully Seth McFarlane won't be too annoying but by the looks of it it could be the most entertaining Oscars since Hugh Jackman hosted.
Her performance in Winter's Bone was certainly better compared to this one that's a certain. I just think with her good performance and Harvey Weinstein behind her...she can't lose.
Yes Mr Weinstein certainly knows how to maximise the returns for his films come the Oscars. As awful as it sounds I kind of want Lawrence to lose just so that David O Russell is shown again on camera making that face.
I know it's horrible and a bit personal, but I'm really starting to find her extremely annoying and I find it hard to stand her now, it's funny because I really liked her when she first came on the scene.
I haven't watched or don't want to watch zero dark 30 because of her, she seems a very Oscar ambitious actress and from the clips I've seen of her in that film, it comes across as she's trying very hard be this character in a pretentious way like look how serious of an actress I am and look at the role I'm playing type thing
I didn't think she came across that way in ZD30 at all. I thought she was very good, but not as good as Jennifer Lawrence's performance in Silver Linings Playbook.
Yes. I really hope she surpises people and wins!:D
He has won two oscars for goodness sake, in fact he has failed to win more times than he has won.
But I can't miss this - sounds like it's gonna be a good one tonight!
Sky Movies
Shirley Bassey is also performing, I heard there won't be a bond reunion, but i wouldn't rule anything out
Why shouldn't he be rewarded for a truly outstanding performance just because he's won twice before. For me his performance, and possibly Anne Hathaway's, are the only ones that have screamed 'Oscar' to me. I can't look back on Lincoln without smiling at the little quirks in his performance, the scene that always comes to mind is the story about the English man's bathroom and the George Washington portrait. I can't wait until I can watch it again.
He should be ashamed of himself for putting in oscar worthy performances, he needs to try less hard to be good next time to give the others a go.