Poker thread - what happened?
Carlos_dfc
Posts: 8,262 Forum Member
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Saw the beginnings of a thread by someone claiming to be making money playing poker - but I had to pop out for a bit, and now can't find it...
Just curious - and I don't want to talk about bannings (if that's what happened) - but did he eventually reveal himself to be selling something?
Really I'm just curious to find out if he was genuinely doing it (Been making a steady profit from roulette myself, for about 5 months now)
Mods - apologies if this question is unaccepable - If it is, just delete it.
Just curious - and I don't want to talk about bannings (if that's what happened) - but did he eventually reveal himself to be selling something?
Really I'm just curious to find out if he was genuinely doing it (Been making a steady profit from roulette myself, for about 5 months now)
Mods - apologies if this question is unaccepable - If it is, just delete it.
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Comments
Na na na na
Quite innocent in my opinion.
It is. You can't win at roulette long term. If by some miracle he has been making a profit for 5 months things will soon turn the other way.
Martingale ftw
It's a game of skill, not chance - unlike roulette/blackjack et al.
To be fair Blackjack can also be a game of skill. In fact it can be +ev if you can count cards.
Even basic strategy takes the house edge down to as low as 0.5% (depending on which rules the casino is using)
I don't talk about it usually though, because of the reaction you always get if you mention 'Roulette system' - it's something I came up with myself, not one of the many commercial ones, and not 'Martingale', and it's working so far....
I started by depositing £20, plus the usual £20 freebie they give you to draw people in.
Since May, I've withdrawn just short of £1.5k, and still have over £400 in my account there.
If it now goes t*ts-up - well it's no big deal, I'm still way up on the deal - and not daft enough to put more money in once it showed itself to be unreliable.
GCSE match shows roulette to be unbeatable (long term)
You can't make a game with 37 numbers, that pays 35/1 when you hit one profitable long term. It really is that simple. If you could there would be some very skint casinos.
Oh Dear.
I hope for your sake when you inevitably lose, and lose big, you have the sense to walk away rather than chase those losses.
The only casino games you can make money from are Poker (where you don't play the house) and Blackjack (where you do, but if you're a card counting genius you can knock off their edge, which is getting incresingly more difficult).
Oh I can do the maths... There was some intense maths involved in getting my MPhys - I can work out odds no problem.
And I'm under no illusions - this is likely to go t*ts-up sooner or later - I'm currently just riding the wave.
I've already had out wa-a-a-a-a-y more than I put in, and I'm happy - Assuming my stake does eventually fritter away, that'll be it - I'll be out for good, with a very nice profit.
If you know the Martingale, you'll know that the fatal flaw is that you make only tiny profits for sometimes very large outlays, and you need pretty-much unlimited funds, and a table with no limits.
I have my own limit, a bit like a 'stop-loss' as used by shares spectulators - If my method 'crashes' (and it does crash - I have learned to accept that) I write-off only £59 - and I've (so-far) been banking significantly more than that, on average, between one crash and the next.
Currently have well over £400 in my account, which is a buffer of 7+ crashes - and so far in 5 months it hasn't crashed more than 3 times within a short time-frame.
I went into it with eyes wide open - and only risked £20 of my own money - and like I said earlier, I'm under no illusions of it lasting indefinitely - but whatever happens now, I'm already massively up on the deal, and I won't be putting any more in, if/when my account runs dry.
I've done this from just £20 of my own money - and I had that back (plus more) the first night.