2015 Radio Predictions
gwrbristol
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So what do we all think is in store for UK radio in 2015?
(And in anyone can find the 2014 predictions thread, lets see who won a prize)
My guess. Kiss 101 replaced by Magic.
(And in anyone can find the 2014 predictions thread, lets see who won a prize)
My guess. Kiss 101 replaced by Magic.
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The CoC breakfast show will be mentioned 55,678 times on Absolute Radio.
And hopefully tidy up the messy bits of their network. Say bye bye Wave and Citytalk.
Same in Devon, with Palm (already theirs), Exe and Plymouth.
If they did, GEM would probably become magic and Free would maybe go back to local names as that's what Bauer seem to be doing
No problems, as all stations will be operated through franchise agreements.
Radio 2 will become Heart Extra, R1 Cap Extra, R3 Classical Extra
BBC World Ser to LBC Extra.
Happy Christmas ;-)
...Or maybe expanding the Planet Rock brand as did with Magic and using the place 4 names.
I hope so!
Free Radio is such a stupid name!
That's only six times per hour, I really can't see them reducing the number of mentions to that extent.
10-2 daytimes will be shared with manchester /preston initially then the rest of the north until eventually a shared show across england and scotland
The applications deadline is in five weeks from now. The subsequent timeline will depend very much on who won the application. A party that already has DAB infrastructure in the UK could be out of the gates quickly and the Digital 1 capacity constraints also creates an incentive for a number of players to get it on air sooner rather than later.
The Arqiva reference offer document suggests a 15 October 2015 launch in SE England, the Home Counties & the West Midlands, rolling out to northern England by the end of 2015 and to other areas in 2016. This assumes an April 2015 award, which is Ofcom's stated aim.
http://www.arqiva.com/documentation/reference-offers/broadcast-radio/Second%20National%20Commercial%20DAB%20Transmission%20Service%20Reference%20Offer%20V1%2005-09-14.pdf
I think you're correct, if Arqiva's own bid wins the licence the rollout could be accelerated. An Autumn 2015 launch looks highly likely in any event though.
Any predictions for what we might hear on it. Will we get anything new or will it be just spare capacity to boost the bit rates.
http://forums.digitalspy.co.uk/showthread.php?t=1924841
he can't cling on to Capital for much longer, surely?
Replaced by Ant Payne or Christian Williams
Dino & Pete to leave Capital East Mids breakfast to be Replaced by Tom & Claire (I really hope they find a better replacement)
Ian Collins will get a full time job at BBC Kent.
Smooth Radio will go local (like it was in 2010).
James O'Brien will get sacked from LBC for saying something about UKIP before the Election.
I think that's unlikely. Kiss 101 seems to be performing well with just under half a million reach, plus they would have to go through Ofcom for a format change.
I think we'll see three categories:
Movers from D1 to D2
Some stations that barely break even on D1 (and are therefore close to shutting down or forced to rent low bitrates) could move from D1 to D2 to save costs. D2 will be cheaper but with less coverage. If D2 covers the big population areas and let's say 40 million people that could be good enough for some commercial operators.
Movers from regional muxes to D2
For some stations currently only on regional muxes it could be very interesting to move to D2. If D2 would only cost 20% more but means you quadruple your audience it could make sense for stations such as Chill, Jazz FM or XFM.
New entrants
For some potential stations a regional mux may not have made sense while a D1 slot was too expensive. With D2 the gap between regional and D1 is closed and could allow stations that were previously economically unfeasible.
All of this is separate from the possibility that we could see the first real DAB+ transmission (outside of all the tests). Let’s say you have a talk radio station with 64 kb/s DAB on a regional mux. You could significantly increase your coverage by adding a DAB+ slot on D2 but only having to pay for 24 kb/s. A few million radios won’t be able to receive DAB+ but you offset that by the low cost. Besides, a few millions cars have DAB+ so if that’s your audience (traffic news?) it doesn’t matter that some older sets at home can’t receive you.
Scott Mills heard on Radio 2?
New presenter and sponsor commercial radio Big Top 40?
Haha! Don't you dare ;-)