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Social media popularity and possibly predictions

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    [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 198
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    Yes, don't stop posting. I enjoy it very much.


    At the end of the day it shows interest, not votes. Tamera was certainly interesting, no one denies that. And Nick has a steady fanbase that could be declining *crosses fingers*

    Hopefully regardless of what numbers Luke gets, people vote for him.
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    FizixFizix Posts: 16,932
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    SupahFly wrote: »
    Nick is dropping some.

    Wasn't he over 700,000 at this time last week?

    After the show I believe he was, without looking back.
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    FizixFizix Posts: 16,932
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    Oh no! I am very interested in it! It's the best social media thing we have had on this forum.

    It's just slightly annoying that it seems to mean nothing. Tamera had the biggest social media score - according to this - last week, and she was BOTTOM of the votes. BOTTOM. The exact opposite.

    It's very interesting, though. So don't stop posting!

    Well it can't predict the phone vote, of course, as it cannot see conversion data so we don't know the rules that each contestant follows.

    But it does show who has the biggest online fan bases and you can read stuff into it, even if the order doesn't match.

    Like last weekend, you could see the change from the week prior indicated a problem.
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    WhyHelloWorldWhyHelloWorld Posts: 15,494
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    Last Week:

    Sam B: 69,189
    Rough Copy: 97,529
    Luke: 102,761
    Nic: 568,748
    Tamera: 631,689

    This week:

    Sam B: 27,295
    Rough Copy: 25,107
    Luke Friend: 257,436
    Nic: 514,979
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    [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 198
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    Wow. Major drop from RC and Sam.
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    WhyHelloWorldWhyHelloWorld Posts: 15,494
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    SupahFly wrote: »
    Wow. Major drop from RC and Sam.

    Nicholas lost more than Sam.
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    sstephanie40sstephanie40 Posts: 672
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    If you look at Twitter, Luke is very active there. His fans are the right age to be also very active on social media. I feel a rebound vote tonight would put him through at Nicholas' expense perhaps?
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    EurostarEurostar Posts: 78,519
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    If you look at Twitter, Luke is very active there. His fans are the right age to be also very active on social media. I feel a rebound vote tonight would put him through at Nicholas' expense perhaps?

    More likely at Rough Copy's expense I would guess.
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    FizixFizix Posts: 16,932
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    Here are tonights stats post show:


    Sam B: 69,004
    Rough Copy: 76,357
    Luke: 386,548
    Nic: 693,444

    Not an immense reaction tonight.
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    [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 194
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    Fizix wrote: »
    It may well mean nothing, people have been interested thus far so thought I'd post, if nobody is interested then I shall not :)
    I'm still interested. It has been great following this - thanks!
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    sgeandhusgeandhu Posts: 1,427
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    Nicholas lost more than Sam.

    Not in pure % terms.
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    [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 198
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    This theme should have been last week. Jukebox this week.


    Last week was way better, I think. This week was dull.
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    ChelseaaKylexChelseaaKylex Posts: 516
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    Fizix wrote: »
    Here are tonights stats post show:


    Sam B: 69,004
    Rough Copy: 76,357
    Luke: 386,548
    Nic: 693,444

    Not an immense reaction tonight.

    What's this for? The higher number the better or the other way round?
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    FizixFizix Posts: 16,932
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    What's this for? The higher number the better or the other way round?

    Its a score from a social analytics platform that indicates buzz (or popularity). Bigger score = bigger buzz.

    The scores don't necessarily convert to voting though as we can't see conversion and while it covers all major social networks it does not see those away from social networks.
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    [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 198
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    Any update, Fizix? :D
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    sstephanie40sstephanie40 Posts: 672
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    What will be interesting to see post show, is if the actual phone votes cast show SamBa in the lead weekly.

    This would then correlate with my own idea that her voters do not have social media as a big part of their lives.

    Your stats show that Luke and Nicholas do. Which is correct for the demographic for their fans is much younger and more social media aware.

    Most 12-25 year olds are glued to their phones for social media purposes!
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    FizixFizix Posts: 16,932
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    Sorry, busy day :)

    Rough Copy: 40,103
    Sam B: 56,977
    Luke: 194,863
    Nic: 551,012


    Big dip for RC there, and seemingly for Nic too interestingly but I'm not reading too much into that as they are all down this weekend.

    What will be interesting to see post show, is if the actual phone votes cast show SamBa in the lead weekly.

    This would then correlate with my own idea that her voters do not have social media as a big part of their lives.

    Your stats show that Luke and Nicholas do. Which is correct for the demographic for their fans is much younger and more social media aware.

    Most 12-25 year olds are glued to their phones for social media purposes!


    I would be inclined to agree. But don't underestimate the post 25 demographic who are also very active with smartphones. There isn't much between those two demo's, it's more the post 35/40 demographic that see's a dip.
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    [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 198
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    Thanks!
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    WhyHelloWorldWhyHelloWorld Posts: 15,494
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    Glad Sam B above RC, that's unusual (recently anyway)
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    abcdabcd Posts: 1,224
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    Bet your life on RC luke bottom 2
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    FizixFizix Posts: 16,932
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    6:47pm

    Rough Copy: 48,147
    Sam B: 66,862
    Luke: 221,223
    Nic: 651,584
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    WhyHelloWorldWhyHelloWorld Posts: 15,494
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    Fizix wrote: »
    6:47pm

    Rough Copy: 48,147
    Sam B: 66,862
    Luke: 221,223
    Nic: 651,584

    Looking like a LUke and RC bottom 2.

    But, I think it will be RC and Sam.
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    FizixFizix Posts: 16,932
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    Looking like a LUke and RC bottom 2.

    But, I think it will be RC and Sam.

    I'm thinking RC vs Luke tbh. If one of either Sam or Nic hit the B2... it'll be Nic I think, his popularity looks down and Sam's looks pretty consistent which shows no change in opinion.
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    WhyHelloWorldWhyHelloWorld Posts: 15,494
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    Fizix wrote: »
    I'm thinking RC vs Luke tbh. If one of either Sam or Nic hit the B2... it'll be Nic I think, his popularity looks down and Sam's looks pretty consistent which shows no change in opinion.

    Yeah, actually, you could be right!

    I just have a gut feeling Sam is in trouble!
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    FizixFizix Posts: 16,932
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    Yeah, actually, you could be right!

    I just have a gut feeling Sam is in trouble!

    Doubt it to be fair, you said this last week :p
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