Predicted that England will drop to No.20 in the FIFA rankings

EurostarEurostar Posts: 78,519
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The FIFA rankings will be announced on Thursday, but several websites are using the official methodology and have calculated that England will be ranked at No.20 (from the current No.10) - this will be the worst drop in England's history : they dropped six places after Euro 2008.

The official top 4 is expected to be 1. Germany 2.Argentina 3. Netherlands 4. Colombia
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Comments

  • NiteOwl12NiteOwl12 Posts: 6,127
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    This would not be surprising considering how many of the teams currently ranked immediately below England out-performed England in the world cup,

    11 Belgium
    12 Greece
    13 USA
    14 Chile
    15 Netherlands
    17 France
    20 Mexico
    21 Bosnia and Herzegovina
    22 Algeria
  • Xela MXela M Posts: 4,710
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    Is Brazil not no.4? :D
  • DUNDEEBOYDUNDEEBOY Posts: 110,033
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    I suppose they have a year to get back into a seeded European spot for the next World Cup qualifying draw in about a years time.

    They wouldn't want a qualifying group with the likes of Germany, Netherlands
  • EurostarEurostar Posts: 78,519
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    Xela M wrote: »
    Is Brazil not no.4? :D

    Brazil's projected ranking is No.8 in fact :D
  • EurostarEurostar Posts: 78,519
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    This is certainly pretty poor stuff from England. Their lowest ever ranking was No.24 in May 1996.

    Not that we Irish are in any position to crow. The Republic of Ireland have slumped to a disastrous No.70 after failing to win a single one of their six matches in 2014.
  • Flat MattFlat Matt Posts: 7,023
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    NiteOwl12 wrote: »
    This would not be surprising considering how many of the teams currently ranked immediately below England out-performed England in the world cup,

    11 Belgium
    12 Greece
    13 USA
    14 Chile
    15 Netherlands
    17 France
    20 Mexico
    21 Bosnia and Herzegovina
    22 Algeria

    Those rankings show just how bizarre the FIFA system is.

    I really don't understand why England generally rank in the top 10 when we haven't beaten a top side in a competitive match since 2002.
  • Steveaustin316Steveaustin316 Posts: 15,779
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    Eurostar wrote: »
    This is certainly pretty poor stuff from England. Their lowest ever ranking was No.24 in May 1996.

    At least then we had the excuse of no competitive matches for 2 years due to not needing to qualify for Euro 96. No such excuse this time.
  • EurostarEurostar Posts: 78,519
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    At least then we had the excuse of no competitive matches for 2 years due to not needing to qualify for Euro 96. No such excuse this time.

    Yes, in real terms it's the worst ever placing as it comes after a run of competitive matches.

    England would want to be very careful or they could end up being second seeds for WC 2018 and could find themselves in a group containing Germany or the Netherlands, which would probably mean having to go through the play offs at best to qualify.
  • Philip WalesPhilip Wales Posts: 6,373
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    Rankings are very weird full stop. In rugby Argentina are usually ranked around 5 or so even though they never beat a team placed higher than them (1-4 etc) and rarely beat a team placed lower then them (5-10 etc) But it's only by beating the higher placed teams do you actually get any decent points.
  • Mark FMark F Posts: 53,989
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    We'll probably play a few "winnable" friendlies now to boost our position starting with Norway...

    Cannot really complain!
  • TiggywinkTiggywink Posts: 3,687
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    Perhaps England should just not bother to take part at all. If they are more fussed about League games, then OK.
  • gemma-the-huskygemma-the-husky Posts: 18,116
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    Struggle for england if they arent seeded in the top rank. If theyre lucky, they get switzerland.
  • walterwhitewalterwhite Posts: 56,907
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    Flat Matt wrote: »
    Those rankings show just how bizarre the FIFA system is.

    I really don't understand why England generally rank in the top 10 when we haven't beaten a top side in a competitive match since 2002.

    Because we qualify for every tournament fairly easily that's why.
  • Steveaustin316Steveaustin316 Posts: 15,779
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    Because we qualify for every tournament fairly easily that's why.

    We usually qualify, but i wouldn't say we do it easily. It usually involves a stressful final game where we just about do what's required to qualify.
  • EurostarEurostar Posts: 78,519
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    We usually qualify, but i wouldn't say we do it easily. It usually involves a stressful final game where we just about do what's required to qualify.

    And they've been very lucky with qualifying groups in recent years. Ukraine (twice) and Russia are the only sides of note they've been paired with, neither of whom are any great shakes in the general scheme of things.
  • Flat MattFlat Matt Posts: 7,023
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    Because we qualify for every tournament fairly easily that's why.

    And how many decent sides do we ever beat during qualifying?

    Our top ten status is totally undeserved.
  • EurostarEurostar Posts: 78,519
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    Flat Matt wrote: »
    And how many decent sides do we ever beat during qualifying?

    Our top ten status is totally undeserved.

    I think England have been flattered by ending up in a series of straightforward qualifying groups. You pick up more points in competitive matches than in friendlies and it's probably this that lifted them into the top 10.

    The top ten status is gone anyway.....looks like they'll be No.20 when the rankings are announced later today.
  • Wallasey SaintWallasey Saint Posts: 7,626
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    Eurostar wrote: »
    This is certainly pretty poor stuff from England. Their lowest ever ranking was No.24 in May 1996.

    Not that we Irish are in any position to crow. The Republic of Ireland have slumped to a disastrous No.70 after failing to win a single one of their six matches in 2014.

    Mitigating circumstances as England didn't play a competitive match between November 93 & June 96 due to hosting Euro 96 & failing to qualify for the 94 World Cup.
  • tiger2000tiger2000 Posts: 8,541
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    Flat Matt wrote: »
    And how many decent sides do we ever beat during qualifying?

    Our top ten status is totally undeserved.

    Since 2000....

    Greece
    Germany
    Turkey
    Poland
    Austria
    Poland
    Russia
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Bulgaria
    Switzerland
    Poland

    All of these are decent but not great teams with the exception of Croatia, but then again you can only beat the teams you are drawn against, When England have been drawn against good teams like Germany and Italy they have won the group!
  • pixel_pixelpixel_pixel Posts: 6,694
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    I think the top 20 position is still very generous. Any business and the directors had not performed since 2002 would have been fired, and shut down.
  • DangerBrotherDangerBrother Posts: 1,623
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    I do think 20 is okay, maybe a bit generous.

    Out of the 32 teams at the World Cup we weren't the worst, but came bottom of a group in which the top two teams didn't get that much further in the end.

    Going by this we came approx 25-30th in the World Cup.
  • walterwhitewalterwhite Posts: 56,907
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    We usually qualify, but i wouldn't say we do it easily. It usually involves a stressful final game where we just about do what's required to qualify.

    No we usually qualify pretty easily.
  • walterwhitewalterwhite Posts: 56,907
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    Flat Matt wrote: »
    And how many decent sides do we ever beat during qualifying?

    Our top ten status is totally undeserved.

    So using a complex mathematical formula where would you suggest we should be ranked? Thats what FIFA use, so unless you have a similar model then it's difficult to argue.
  • Xela MXela M Posts: 4,710
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    But doesn't England usually make the quarter finals at major tournaments? So the top 10 rating wasn't so way off. Obviously they were terrible this year and deserve the drop to 20th.
  • walterwhitewalterwhite Posts: 56,907
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    Xela M wrote: »
    But doesn't England usually make the quarter finals at major tournaments? So the top 10 rating wasn't so way off. Obviously they were terrible this year and deserve the drop to 20th.

    I think people have short memories of how good England have been in qualifying and how other than this year we generally make the last 16 at least of major tournaments.
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