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Nigel Farage's poll ratings at record low
the party's over ... link
Pollsters Ipsos MORI found that net satisfaction with Mr Farage’s performance as leader has plummeted 14 points since November to minus 20.
At the same time, Ukip’s share of the national vote has slipped for the second month in a row, down from 16 per cent in October to 13 now.
Pollsters Ipsos MORI found that net satisfaction with Mr Farage’s performance as leader has plummeted 14 points since November to minus 20.
At the same time, Ukip’s share of the national vote has slipped for the second month in a row, down from 16 per cent in October to 13 now.
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And 92% of UKIP supporters are happy with his performance - amongst Labour supporters only 7% more think Milliband is doing a good job than think he isn't.
In the end you vote for a party not against it under FPTP - if you went on net approval ratings Mrs Thatcher would have been a one term PM. Its who votes for you that counts - and what they think - not your opponents view of you.
Looking at polls this time of year is a mug's game - as most commentators will indicate. People are more interested in polling on the Strictly and X factor winner. Come back in February - thats when people will start focusing on the election.
No it isn't. UKIP's scoring 14% nationwide in the latest political opinion poll and that almost certainly means more directly elected UKIP MPs on May 7 next year.
Didn't know that current polling affected the result in 6 months time.
And given the way Ukip manage to shoot themselves in the foot with astounding regularity I would suspect polling is going to drop further even among the Zombie Hordes
14% nationwide could mean a credible third or fourth place finish in every seat and no MPs, or it could get them double digit MPs. With FPTP, nationwide percentage means nothing.
Did you see Suzanne Evans the deputy something or other of UKIP on the Daily Politics earlier this week? She admitted that she was very busy "weeding out the lunatics" in the selection process for parliamentary candidates.
As you say it will be one of the highlights of the GE campaign watching Kippers flounder (wee fishy pun) when forced to talk on anything other than immigration or the EU.
May 1983 IPSOS MORI POLL
Thatcher approval rating 51%
Foot approval rating 22%
June 1983 Thatcher wins her second term as PM.
https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/2437/Political-Monitor-Satisfaction-Ratings-19771987.aspx?view=wide#1983
to get double digit mps needs more than 20% in the polling.
they might get a handful if they are very lucky on current ratings.
the novelty factor is wearing thin and brand really hit home in the recent qt . against farage.
Problem is, if you take the don't knows into consideration, there's only 1% between Farage and Cameron.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/nigel-farages-approval-rating-hits-record-low-as-popularity-suffers-in-wake-of-ukip-sex-scandal-9932931.html
Thats right. Squeaky really hit home on QT. Thanks to his great debating skills ('You know what I mean, mate?') UKIP as a force is finished.
SNP should beat UKip
Oh well he can always get a gig on Gogglebox if this politics malarkey does not work out
14% will give them no seats at all.
Of course it doesn't work across the country like that, but it's not good for more than 6-7 seats as anything that's not massively pro-UKIP and very marginal will go to the other parties.
Let's see the same ratings in 1980, 1981 and pre Falklands 1982 - and then the rest of the decade bar mid 1987. She was disliked big time by many voters but she was loved by a big enough minority to win landslides under FTPT due to the Alliance and Labour splitting the vote.
It's what your supporters think that counts - 60 percent of voters may hate you but 40 per cent is enough to win.
I don't think he's expecting to become PM next May to be honest. But I doubt that'll stop you stalking him.
I know Kippers like to believe there's a media conspiracy against them but Ukip are actually still getting a pretty easy ride at the moment. Just wait for the scrutiny of the election campaign, that's when the real squeeze will begin.
For them to be an effective pressure group, they need to be threatening the other parties. If they wane to the stage they are an irrelevance then it will be business as usual at the borders and in Brussels.
At the 7 May 2015 general election, willing to guess that UKIP will get about 1% of the House of Commons seats.
What 'other stuff' did you have in mind ?
Stuff that was in their previous manifesto but has disappeared from their current "what we stand for" page - to do with employment mostly (for me anyway)