Won't votes carried over skew the final?
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Perhaps the BBC thinks people merely vote for the dancing, but a lot vote for their favourite when they think the judges have put them in trouble. This sympathy vote carried over could affect the final result to the detriment of those who danced better or scored higher tonight.
I should declare at this point that on the basis of the dancing it seems proper that Tom had least points from the judges. But I do not know how the winner is to be decided next week.
I should declare at this point that on the basis of the dancing it seems proper that Tom had least points from the judges. But I do not know how the winner is to be decided next week.
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Carrying the votes forward is more expedient than fair....but perfectly understandable in the circumstances.
The point is we have no way of knowing the precise effect of tonight's scenario...and no amount of supposing or 'educated guesswork' changes that fact...which is why the vote should be void...but that would be messy in all sorts of ways.
Exactly. I can understand why they didn't have time to come up with a solution on the night before the lines opened but they should have considered this possibility before and had a contingency in place (I would have gone with 'no dance off, lowest combined score automatically out').
If we use the Peoples figures just for arguements sake and to illustrate my point. Tom would have gained around 800,000 votes with both Rachel and Lisa on aprox. 300,000 each. These would have been carried forward. Now if there is a similar uniform vote next week Tom's vote count is doubled to 1,600,000 and each of the girls to 600,000.
The gap the girls have to make up in raw votes simply widens and neither will be able to overhaul this vote tally.
If Charliesmiley provided accurate information then Tom winning is a near certainty.
All conjecture based on Tom having the greater share of the public vote, but it does point to any easy win for Tom..
But equally, people may not have phoned to vote for Lisa or Rachel as they would have been confidant that either would win a dance-off against Tom tonight.
Ha Ha I did
EDIT and still got it wrong.
Oh I totally agree.
I think we're definitely no clearer as to who will win next week. Any of them could be carrying the most votes through and how many votes that is (were figures well down because people realised it was pointless?) is a mystery.
At least he's still in there. Had it gone to a dance off,as planned, he'd undoubtedly have gone.
I doubt Lisa and Rachel really got that many votes tonight.
Tom has a small disadvantage next week but I think he'll still win and I'll be delighted for him and especially Camilla.
Because of this forum and presumably the BBC SCD forum, the phone vote consequences for no-way-out Tom were shared out within minutes of Part 1 ending. Out in the nation at large isolated and disconnected, very doubtful if many of the 9 or 10 million viewers would even realise the numerical consequences of 3, 3, 1 for Tom and the dance-off.
The population at large would have lost no time frantically voting to save Tom from the dance-off. Being privy to these large Tom phone vote figures the Beeb would have no appetite for a second mass refund after what they have paid out over John, possibly up to a million pounds plus endless office manpower.
If my assumptions are correct, then tonight's heavy Tom vote carried forward would actually favour Tom, as the nation mistakenly thought tonight it was either vote or goodbye.
On this forum 75% liked the Beeb's decision, a ratio of 3 to 1. Granted that many simply think it was the most sensible, fair way out regardless of saving Tom, many more will be overjoyed diehard Tom fans in no way dismayed by his lackluster performances tonight. If the 75% in favour translates to 60% in favour of Tom, then the two girls sharing the remaining 40% have no chance whatever in the phone vote next Saturday.
It is simply a tidal wave, a tsunami for Tom.
Another possibility, apart from voting, is that the BBC has received record high compliants tonight and that's probably why they change the rule.