Options
Make your 2015 Political Predictions
Inspiration
Posts: 62,706 Forum Member
✭✭
Can be absolutely anything that you suspect will happen during 2015. Doesn't have to be the GE result.. could be something else. Try not to engage in attacking other peoples predictions. It's just a bit of speculative fun.
--
Mine is David Miliband will return as Labour leader. Ed will eventually fall on his sword for his performance as leader of the party after a disappointing GE result. David will return and easily win the subsequent leadership contest.
--
Mine is David Miliband will return as Labour leader. Ed will eventually fall on his sword for his performance as leader of the party after a disappointing GE result. David will return and easily win the subsequent leadership contest.
0
Comments
Cameron will quit after failing to gain a majority in May and there will be a messy leadership struggle which Boris will not win.
Farage will quit as UKIP leader when he fails to be elected in Thanet South.
VAT will go up before next Christmas.
An interesting year ahead - HNY to all DS political scribes of all persuasions.
Chilcot still won't find any wrong doing.
Paedo investigation still won't be started.
Politicians will remain corrupt and out of touch.
Pathetic punch and judy politics will continue to be the norm.
World to keep spinning.
Nick Clegg will lose his seat
There will be 2 GE's
Clegg will not stand in the 2nd one
Feel free to link back to this post every time this prediction comes true!!!
In a repeat of 1974, Labour will form a minority Government and seek agreement from the Lib Dems to get their Queen's Speech through.
The Fixed-Term Parliament Act will be repealed and Ed Miliband will call another GE in October 2015, which he will win with an overall majority of 20-25. David Miliband will be elected and be given the job of Foreign Secretary.
David Cameron will resign as Tory leader and be replaced by Theresa May (now leader of the opposition). Boris Johnson will be elected on 7 May and will be given a shadow cabinet post.
UKIP will win three seats on 7 May, Clacton, Thanet South & Basingstoke (where Maria Miller will lose her seat). Mark Reckless will lose to the Tories in Rochester.
Several prominent Lib Dems will lose their seats, including Danny Alexander, as the party is reduced to around 20 in the House of Commons. Nick Clegg will be re-elected in Sheffield Hallam with a much-reduced majority and will be replaced as leader by Vince Cable.
It'll be one of the nastiest and dirtiest campaigns in recent history and the turnout will be close to a record low as neither alternative will be particularly appealing.
The party who once appeared to be to the left of the right-of-centre party but have since been revealed as willing to play Muttley to anyone's Dick Dastardly will be deservedly obliterated imo.
...and as Rafer has already mentioned, there'll be more of the same medicine to swallow regardless of the "choices" on offer.
i.e. more of the same all round, I'm afraid.
Another no overall control parliament following next May's general election.
Miliband to be involved in another funny photo op
The present coalition will continue with ukip/Northern Ireland Unionists propping it up
I wonder if it will be cheese on toast this time? He's already shown he can't eat a bacon sandwich without looking like he's having a fit, so I wonder what one of those will do to him?
EU quarantines the UK, declares Martial law under some obscure clause of the Treaty of Lisbon. All political undesirables executed, under cover of the "virus"
Milliband declared Gauleiter of England, Salmond get’s Scotland and Wales. Northern Ireland annexed by the Republic. UK joins the Euro.
Mesostim continues to post nothing of importance and of no relevance to the topic other than to try to show up a few posters, alll the while being unable to string anything more than a few words together before disappearing into the voyeur zone and then resurfacing a few days later for the next commentary opportunity. A bit like this post here.
Labour lose the election, Miliband is hung out to dry and the Tories begrudgingly try to cobble together a coalition with UKIP. Clegg disappears up his own arsehole, resurfacing on the EU gravy train.
None of the parties will admit to where they will make cuts or the size of cuts they'll be making in the election campaigns.
After May GE no coalition agreement can be made (the LibDems learning from their last stuff-up of spending only 3 days drawing up then signing a coalition agreement wit Cons that included supporting Student Fees)
After GE 2 the Tories will form a minority govt or a coalition with LibDems and Ulster Unionists.
The Deficit will not decrease. The Tories will continue using cuts and not taxation to try decrease the deficit.
London property prices will continue to rise at ridiculous rates forcing more & more working & lower middle class people out of the city.
EU Immigrants will still be copping a lot of the blame for all the countries ills with the country still 2+ years away from moving on to demonise the next section of society (will single mothers, illegal immigrants, asylum seekers or benefits "scroungers" be back in the cross-hairs or a whole new group of people?)
More people will be moving towards the opinion that the govts obsessing for pursuing a low wage economy is ridiculous. As property prices go up and interest rates may finally start to increase more couples on median wage with kids will be realising they can't afford to own a house and can only pay the rent and bills because of all the in-work benefits available to them.
ISIS will push in to Turkey
Israel will find a reason to bomb Palestine due to the fact they've joined the ICC
The Conservatives will win the Election but will have to form a coalition with UKIP.
Ed Milliband we be forced out the Labour leadership and Ed Balls will be voted out
Nick Clegg will loose he's seat along with Danny Alexander and Tim Farron we become Lib Dem leader.
Tories get off lightly, losing just 50 MP's instead of 200...
Labour & SNP form a coalition and the wet dreams the Electorate had go down in flames.
Cabinet positions from start include:
Ed Milliband - Prime Minister
Tim Farron - Deputy PM
Ed Balls - Chancellor
Stewart Hosie - Foreign Secretary
Caroline Flint - Home Secretary
Chucka Umunna - Health Secretary
Dr Eilidh Whiteford - Chief Secretary to Treasury
Angus Robertson - Scotland Secretary
The rest include three other Lib Dem MPs with the rest going to Labour
David Cameon resigns as Tory leader and is replaced by Theresa May
Nick Clegg resigns as Lib Dem leader and is replaced by Tim Farron
Boris Johnson becomes Shadow Business Secretary in Tory party
Nigel Farage celebrates after winning 9 seats in the House of Commons and the absence of any prospect of pulling out of Europe under Miliband's coalition provides further wind to his sails, as he maps out the next stage of UKIP's advance.
A battle ensues in the Tory party as May, Osbourne and Johnson plot to take the leader spot. But maybe David Cameron isn't ready to go just yet...
Nicola Sturgeon conquers all in Scotland but Alex Salmond is left frustrated by the Labour/Lib Dem deal and so a strange pact is formed in Westminster, whereby Tory, UKIP and SNP work together to try and undermine the fragile coalition.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/politics/article4310309.ece
If these are the terms of another Con/Lib Dem coalition it isn't going to happen.
I think a Conservative or Labour minority government is most likely as the Lib Dems will probably not have enough MP's to form a coalition with either party and even if they did there is no appetite for a second Con/Lib Dem coalition on either side, while Labour could not work with Clegg or Alexander (if he survives). Remember the Lib Dems demanded Brown give his notice to quit before they would enter talks with Labour last time and Labour will feel entitled to demand the same price of Clegg. The SNP will not be part of any coalition no matter how many seats they win and even a confidence and supply arrangement with Labour is unlikely as SNP demands are unrealistic and appearing to be in Salmond's pocket would be the kiss of death for Labour in England. UKIP and the DUP are only likely to come into play if the tories fall 10-15 seats short.
Whichever party forms a government in May will probably call another election in October and get a small majority.