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Horse Racing Systems

145791048

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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    swingaleg wrote: »
    33/1 winner should get system 2 back on track !.....:D

    Good day all round......couple of doubles and a treble up.....:)

    Definitely the best day for a while. Stats to follow :)
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Bet 1 returned 19.25 pts, Bet 5 returned 16.00 pts and Bet 6 returned 71.50 pts.
    The SAPIAR-C system had five winners from ten, returning 3.46, 4.20, 6.50 40.60 and 5.50 pts.

    2H2R Stats
    31 wins from 102 bets 30.39% (target 35%)
    Total stake 408 pts, total return 431.45 pts
    P/L +23.45 pts, ROI +5.74% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    8 wins from 52 bets 15.38% (target 25%)
    Total stake 416 pts, total return 261.5 pts
    P/L -154.5 pts, ROI -37.14% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    10 wins from 24 bets 41.66% (target 50%)
    Total stake 216 pts, total return 194.38 pts
    P/L -21.62 pts, ROI -10.01% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    3 wins from 13 bets 23.07% (target 40%)
    Total stake 351 pts, total return 148.75 pts
    P/L -202.25 pts, ROI -57.63% (target 20%)


    SAPIAR-C Stats
    7 wins from 18 bets 38.88%
    Total stake 36 pts, total return 67.89 pts
    P/L +31.89 pts, ROI +88.58%
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Going to be a quiet day today, and I'm off on another overnight jolly, so won't be back online until tomorrow night to check the results.

    Bet 1 - 2H2R
    Towcester 115 - Le Grand Chene and Carhue Princess
    Exeter 135 - Obistar and Flash Crash

    Bet 1 - 2H3R
    Towcester 115 - Le Grand Chene and Carhue Princess
    Exeter 135 - Obistar and Flash Crash
    Towcester 345 - Big Mike and Lettheriverrundry
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    SAPIAR-C picked all three Mullins winners on Sunday, but I left them out because the prices were so rubbish. Maybe I should have included them.

    Anyway, the two bets I did include bombed.

    2H2R Stats
    31 wins from 103 bets 30.09% (target 35%)
    Total stake 412 pts, total return 431.45 pts
    P/L +19.45 pts, ROI +4.72% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    8 wins from 53 bets 15.09% (target 25%)
    Total stake 424 pts, total return 261.5 pts
    P/L -162.5 pts, ROI -38.33% (target 20%)


    2H2R weekly performance
    5 wins from 12 bets
    Stake 48 pts, return 60.18 pts

    2H3R weekly performance
    2 wins from 8 bets
    Stake 64 pts, return 56.8 pts

    3H2R weekly performance
    3 wins from 7 bets
    Stake 63 pts, return 48.75 pts

    3H3R weekly performance
    1 wins from 4 bets
    Stake 108 pts, return 71.5 pts
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Nothing at the moment of interest for the 2H/3H systems, but one for SAPIAR-C

    Southwell 3:10 - Reach The Beach - 2pts WIN @ 4/1
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Okay, lets pop some late ones in ...

    Bet 1 - 2H2R
    Southwell 1210 - Company Secretary and It's All A Game
    Southwell 140 - Spindle and Dark Wonder

    Bet 2 - 2H3R
    Southwell 1210 - Company Secretary and It's All A Game
    Southwell 140 - Spindle and Dark Wonder
    Sedgefield 220 - Amir Pasha and Stanley Bridge

    Bet 3 - 3H2R
    Sedgefield 220 - Amir Pasha and Stanley Bridge and Captain Sharpe
    Southwell 310 - Luv U Whatever and Street Artist and Reach The Beach
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Bit of a nothing day today, two winners from four but nothing returned, and the SAPIAR-C selection failed.


    2H2R Stats
    31 wins from 104 bets 29.8% (target 35%)
    Total stake 416 pts, total return 431.45 pts
    P/L +15.45 pts, ROI +3.71% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    8 wins from 54 bets 14.81% (target 25%)
    Total stake 432 pts, total return 261.5 pts
    P/L -170.5 pts, ROI -39.47% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    10 wins from 25 bets 40% (target 50%)
    Total stake 225 pts, total return 194.38 pts
    P/L -30.62 pts, ROI -13.61% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    3 wins from 13 bets 23.07% (target 40%)
    Total stake 351 pts, total return 148.75 pts
    P/L -202.25 pts, ROI -57.63% (target 20%)


    SAPIAR-C Stats
    7 wins from 19 bets 36.84%
    Total stake 38 pts, total return 67.89 pts
    P/L +29.89 pts, ROI +78.65%
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Today's picks. At the moment this covers six races although there are a few more which may follow.

    Bet 1 - 2H2R
    Lingfield 130 - Stonefield Flyer and My Son Max
    Fontwell 210 - Alteranthela and Promised Wings

    Bet 2 - 3H2R
    Fontwell 110 - Devils Dyke and Home For Tea and Withy Mills
    Lingfield 310 - Varsovian and Majestic Song and Temple Road

    Bet 3 - 2H3R
    Lingfield 130 - Stonefield Flyer and My Son Max
    Fontwell 210 - Alteranthela and Promised Wings
    Fontwell 350 - Time And Again and Somerset Jem

    Bet 4 - 3H3R
    Fontwell 110 - Devils Dyke and Home For Tea and Withy Mills
    Lingfield 310 - Varsovian and Majestic Song and Temple Road
    Fontwell 350 - Time And Again and Somerset Jem and Dexter Benjamin

    Bet 5 - 2H2R
    Fontwell 350 - Time And Again and Somerset Jem
    Kempton 645 - Kalaatah and Grendisar

    SAPIAR-C has a couple today
    Lingfield 1:30 - Birdman - 1pt E/W 9/1
    Kempton 6:45 - Kalaatah - 2pts WIN 7/4
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    More...

    Bet 6 - 2H2R
    Dundalk 630 - Sgt Rock and Shannon Soul
    Kempton 745 - Habeshia and Brown Pete

    Bet 7 - 2H3R
    Dundalk 630 - Sgt Rock and Shannon Soul
    Kempton 645 - Kalaatah and Grendisar
    Kempton 745 - Habeshia and Brown Pete
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Bet 8 - 3H2R
    Fontwell 350 - Time And Again and Somerset Jem and Dexter Benjamin
    Kempton 645 - Kalaatah and Grendisar and Harris Tweed

    Bet 9 -2H2R
    Kempton 415 - Jebediah Shine and Crosse Fire
    Dundalk 730 - Camakasi and Akasaka
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Four winners from nine races plus a NR, and I couldn't even get the NR with a winner, ouch.
    SAPIAR-C managed a 9/1 place.

    2H2R Stats
    31 wins from 108 bets 28.7% (target 35%)
    Total stake 432 pts, total return 431.45 pts
    P/L -0.56 pts, ROI -0.13% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    8 wins from 56 bets 14.28% (target 25%)
    Total stake 448 pts, total return 261.5 pts
    P/L -186.5 pts, ROI -41.63% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    10 wins from 27 bets 37.03% (target 50%)
    Total stake 243 pts, total return 194.38 pts
    P/L -48.62 pts, ROI -20.01% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    3 wins from 14 bets 21.42% (target 40%)
    Total stake 378 pts, total return 148.75 pts
    P/L -229.25 pts, ROI -60.65% (target 20%)


    SAPIAR-C Stats
    7 wins from 21 bets 33.33%
    Total stake 42 pts, total return 70.69 pts
    P/L +28.69 pts, ROI +68.3%
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Todays picks (in need of a half-decent day) ...

    Bet 1 - 3H2R
    Uttoxeter 120 - Top Totti and Mollys A Diva and Churchtown Love
    Uttoxeter 155 - Stag Hill and Nolecce and Acapulco Bay

    Bet 2 - 3H2R
    Newbury 315 - L'Ami Sarge and Le Mercurey and Daneking
    Kempton 355 - Quantum Dot and Encapsulated and Princess Rose

    Bet 3 - 3H3R
    Uttoxeter 120 - Top Totti and Mollys A Diva and Churchtown Love
    Uttoxeter 155 - Stag Hill and Nolecce and Acapulco Bay
    Newbury 315 - L'Ami Sarge and Le Mercurey and Daneking

    Bet 4 - 2H2R
    Uttoxeter 120 - Top Totti and Mollys A Diva
    Newbury 135 - Vazaro Delafayette and Spooky Dooky

    Bet 5 - 2H2R
    Kempton 355 - Quantum Dot and Encapsulated
    Kempton 625 - Colour Party and Muradif

    Bet 6 - 2H3R
    Uttoxeter 120 - Top Totti and Mollys A Diva
    Newbury 135 - Vazaro Delafayette and Spooky Dooky
    Kempton 355 - Quantum Dot and Encapsulated

    SAPIAR-C
    Uttoxeter 12:15 - Inca Dove - 1pt e/w 12/1
    Newbury 1:00 - Woodford County - 2pt win 9/4
    Taunton 1:10 - Earthmoves - 1pt e/w 5/1
    Kempton 4:25 - Logorrheic - 1pt e/w 9/1

    and finally, one flagged up for a completely different reason. In the Thurles 310, Gothen Niece is running and is currently best price 20/1.
    The going at Thurles is currently SOFT.
    Gothen Niece has been running poorly on pretty poor ground for quite a while, and has also been running poorly on decent ground. Her record on ground which mentions SOFT is hardly setting the world alight, but is at least a little better 08231726052, her only win plus four places, so five placings in total in 24 starts. She's only places seven times in total, so the ground might be in her favour.
    Still a big ask to get anywhere, but worth a quid maybe.

    This is called my Declan Carroll system, as he's prolific when it comes to picking up ex-flat horses, running them over hurdles on ground they are completely unsuited to, getting a handicap mark way below their standard, then having it away, as it were. Allegedly :D
    I couldn't tell you if Mr Donoghue falls into the same category, as he's not really on my radar.
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Nothing happening with Gothen Niece, the 2H and 3H systems bombed with only two winners and a NR from six races and only one small 2H2R return of 2.75 pts. Nice to see the favourite win the 355 at Kempton. Pity it wasn't favourite earlier :-(
    The SAPIAR-C system had a cracking day, however, with three winners from four races and returning a profit of 19.9 pts.

    2H2R Stats
    32 wins from 110 bets 29.09% (target 35%)
    Total stake 440 pts, total return 434.2 pts
    P/L -5.81 pts, ROI -1.32% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    8 wins from 57 bets 14.03% (target 25%)
    Total stake 456 pts, total return 261.5 pts
    P/L -194.5 pts, ROI -42.66% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    10 wins from 29 bets 34.48% (target 50%)
    Total stake 261 pts, total return 194.38 pts
    P/L -66.62 pts, ROI -25.53% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    3 wins from 15 bets 20% (target 40%)
    Total stake 405 pts, total return 148.75 pts
    P/L -256.25 pts, ROI -63.28% (target 20%)


    SAPIAR-C Stats
    10 wins from 25 bets 40%
    Total stake 50 pts, total return 98.59 pts
    P/L +48.59 pts, ROI +97.18%
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    swingalegswingaleg Posts: 103,118
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    If I could make a suggestion........I just think you're putting the same races in too many bets

    Like today.......first race goes down and immediately 4 of your 6 bets have bitten the dust

    I'd be very tempted to make sure I didn't have the same race in more than 2 bets.......one double and one triple

    what do you reckon ?..........is that just me being a cautious punter (which I am) ?
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    swingaleg wrote: »
    If I could make a suggestion........I just think you're putting the same races in too many bets

    Like today.......first race goes down and immediately 4 of your 6 bets have bitten the dust

    I'd be very tempted to make sure I didn't have the same race in more than 2 bets.......one double and one triple

    what do you reckon ?..........is that just me being a cautious punter (which I am) ?

    Hi swing,

    when I ran the four systems through the last few years results and fiddled about with the minimum price, number of runners, type of race and so on, the races that cropped up as profitable were generally the same ones with just a few minor differences. So the likelihood of overlap is quite high.

    What I've found interesting to note is that if I knew early in the day what was going to be in the top three in the betting, the 2H3R system would be well in profit and running at a 20% ROI. If I had time maybe I should pick a race and carry the winnings forward to the second race and then the third race (or start again if it loses), but that relies on watching the racing and tracking the money more closely.

    As you've seen, it can crash and burn very easily if one race goes down, so there does seem to be a need to split races up and not duplicate so much, and is certainly worth trying.
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Today's SAPIAR-C picks

    Newbury 12:55 - Quick Decisson - 2pts Win 9/2
    Doncaster 2:30 - Shadrack - 2pts Win 4/1
    Newbury 2:40 - Carrigmorna King - 1pt E/W 9/1
    Wolverhampton 7:25 - Lacan - 2pts Win 5/1
    Dundalk 9:10 - Empresario - 1pt E/W 12/1
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Bit of a quiet nHnR day today ...

    Bet 1 - 2H2R
    Doncaster 230 - Big Water and Premier Grand Cru
    Dundalk 610 - Danz Gift and Strategic Heights

    Bet 2 - 3H2R
    Dundalk 610 - Danz Gift and Strategic Heights and Sylvan Mist
    Dundalk 640 - Dark Alliance and One Over You and Robins Choice
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    DartGuru wrote: »
    Today's SAPIAR-C picks

    Newbury 12:55 - Quick Decisson - 2pts Win 9/2 2nd
    Doncaster 2:30 - Shadrack - 2pts Win 4/1 2nd 9/2
    Newbury 2:40 - Carrigmorna King - 1pt E/W 9/1 u/p
    Wolverhampton 7:25 - Lacan - 2pts Win 5/1 2nd
    Dundalk 9:10 - Empresario - 1pt E/W 12/1 u/p

    Three places but had them all to win.

    SAPIAR-C Stats
    10 wins from 30 bets 33.33%
    Total stake 60 pts, total return 98.59 pts
    P/L +38.59 pts, ROI +64.31%

    The other three races covering Bets 1 and 2 both came in but Dark Alliance shortened like a shorty short thing which meant the 3H2R bet didn't come close to returning its stake (4.45pts). The other bet returned 10.32pts for a 4pt stake.

    2H2R Stats
    33 wins from 111 bets 29.72% (target 35%)
    Total stake 444 pts, total return 444.52 pts
    P/L +0.51 pts, ROI +0.11% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    8 wins from 57 bets 14.03% (target 25%)
    Total stake 456 pts, total return 261.5 pts
    P/L -194.5 pts, ROI -42.66% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    11 wins from 30 bets 36.66% (target 50%)
    Total stake 270 pts, total return 198.83 pts
    P/L -71.17 pts, ROI -26.36% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    3 wins from 15 bets 20% (target 40%)
    Total stake 405 pts, total return 148.75 pts
    P/L -256.25 pts, ROI -63.28% (target 20%)
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Today's picks

    Bet 1 - 2H2R
    Towcester 115 - Come On Sunshine and King Of Glory
    Towcester 145 - Theatre Bar and Pure Science

    Bet 2 - 2H2R
    Fairyhouse 155 - Couleur France and Mr Diablo
    Newbury 335 - Monetaire and Solar Impulse

    Bet 3 - 2H3R
    Towcester 145 - Theatre Bar and Pure Science
    Fairyhouse 155 - Couleur France and Mr Diablo
    Newbury 335 - Monetaire and Solar Impulse

    Bet 4 - 3H2R
    Newbury 120 - Midnight Appeal and Dushrembrandt and Listen Boy
    Newbury 150 - Hammersley Lake and Home Run and Exitas

    Bet 5 - 3H2R
    Newcastle 240 - Broadway Buffalo and Indian Castle and Lie Forrit
    Wolves 815 - Heska and Home Run and Moccasin

    Bet 6 - 3H3R
    Newbury 120 - Midnight Appeal and Dushrembrandt and Listen Boy
    Newbury 150 - Hammersley Lake and Home Run and Exitas
    Newcastle 240 - Broadway Buffalo and Indian Castle and Lie Forrit
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Quite a few from SAPIAR-C today although four in one race

    Newbury 12:50 Royal Regatta - 2pts win @ 4/1
    Newbury 1:20 Bertie Boru - 1pt e/w @ 6/1
    Newbury 3:00 Fingal Bay - 1pt e/w @ 8/1
    Fairyhouse 3:40 Royal Caviar - 2pts win @ 1/3 (hmmm)
    Wolverhampton 6:15 Energia Flavio - 1pt e/w @ 12/1
    Wolverhampton 7:15 Acclamate - 2pts win @ 7/4
    Wolverhampton 7:15 China Club - 2pts win @ 7/2
    Wolverhampton 7:15 Waaleef - 1pt e/w @ 16/1
    Wolverhampton 7:15 What Asham - 1pt e/w @ 10/1
    Wolverhampton 7:45 Vivat Rex - 1pt e/w 12/1
    Wolverhampton 7:45 Cerutty - 2pts win @ 7/2
    Wolverhampton 8:15 Front Run - 2pts win @ 9/2
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    swingalegswingaleg Posts: 103,118
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    I've backed one in one of your races......but unfortunately it's not one of your selections !

    Garrahalish in the 1.45 Towcester......got on at 2/1

    Think it might go off favourite........not sure any of the others will stay up the hill on heavy ground !
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    swingalegswingaleg Posts: 103,118
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    Yeah !.......:p

    Sorry DG but I've been on a long losing run........:o
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    swingaleg wrote: »
    Yeah !.......:p

    Sorry DG but I've been on a long losing run........:o

    If going against them wins surely that's a system in itself 😁
    At least the other 2H2R came in and the SAPIAR-C is almost in profit for the day after only four runners.
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    I should have kept my mouth shut on the SAPIAR-C system as the rest bombed.
    So two winners returned 20.75 pts, and bet 2 returned 14.63 pts.

    2H2R Stats
    34 wins from 113 bets 30.08% (target 35%)
    Total stake 452 pts, total return 459.15 pts
    P/L +7.14 pts, ROI +1.58% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    8 wins from 58 bets 13.79% (target 25%)
    Total stake 464 pts, total return 261.5 pts
    P/L -202.5 pts, ROI -43.65% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    11 wins from 32 bets 34.37% (target 50%)
    Total stake 288 pts, total return 198.83 pts
    P/L -89.17 pts, ROI -30.97% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    3 wins from 16 bets 18.75% (target 40%)
    Total stake 432 pts, total return 148.75 pts
    P/L -283.25 pts, ROI -65.57% (target 20%)

    SAPIAR-C Stats
    12 wins from 42 bets 28.57%
    Total stake 84 pts, total return 119.34 pts
    P/L +35.34 pts, ROI +42.07%
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    DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Todays

    Bet 1 - 2H2R
    Leicester 250 - Onefortheboss and Crescent Beach
    Carlisle 300 - Settledoutofcourt and Andtheman

    Bet 2 - 3H2R
    Leicester 145 - The Ould Lad and Famous And Fearless and Midnight Cataria
    Carlisle 155 - Clondaw Kaempfer and Ifandbutwhynot and Yorkist

    Bet 3 - 3H3R
    Leicester 145 - The Ould Lad and Famous And Fearless and Midnight Cataria
    Carlisle 155 - Clondaw Kaempfer and Ifandbutwhynot and Yorkist
    Carlisle 300 - Settledoutofcourt and Andtheman and Alpha Victor
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