Horse Racing Systems
Rather than overloading the Horse Racing thread, I've started a new one for anyone interested to post and keep track of their selections.
I'll post my own system details in a minute with the latest stats and today's picks.
Feel free to join in if you're interested.
I'll post my own system details in a minute with the latest stats and today's picks.
Feel free to join in if you're interested.
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The factor for qualifying races is whether identical scenarios in type of race, conditions, number of runners and so on has proven profitable since 2007. The final qualifying criteria is the price. The favourite must be no shorter than 5/4 and the difference between the 2nd and 3rd favourite must be at least .75pt.
Up to and including yesterday the stats are as follows:-
2x
7 wins from 20 bets
Total Stake 80 pts, Total Return 136.16 pts
P/L +56.16 ROI 70.20%
3x
1 win from 3 bets
Total Stake 24 pts, Total Return 30 pts
P/L +6.00 ROI 25.00%
2x - Bet 1 with Bet365
Warwick 345 Finding Your Feet 9/4 Bathwick Man 5/2
Bangor 400 Kings Grace 10/11 Dunowen Point NR
2x - Bet 2 with Bet365
Clonmel 215 Egyptian Warrior 5/4 War Of The Pennys 9/4
Clonmel 245 Collen Beag 11/10 Vote Of Confidence NR
2x - Bet 3 with Bet365
Clonmel 315 Captain Carleton 6/4 Alileo 2/1
Warwick 520 Always Managing 6/4 Lady Of Longstone 15/8
2x - Bet 4 with BetVictor
Bangor 325 Tidal Way 7/4 Devon Drum 7/2
Southwell 335 Viking Ridge 13/8 Tregaro 11/4
3x- Bet 1 with SkyBet
Warwick 345 Finding Your Feet 9/4 Bathwick Man 5/2
Bangor 400 Kings Grace 10/11 Dunowen Point NR
Warwick 520 Always Managing 11/8 Lady Of Longstone 13/8
3x - Bet 2 with Bet365
Clonmel 215 Egyptian Warrior 5/4 War Of The Pennys 9/4
Clonmel 245 Collen Beag 11/10 Vote Of Confidence NR
Clonmel 315 Captain Carleton 6/4 Alileo 2/1
3x - Bet 3 with BetVictor
Bangor 325 Tidal Way 7/4 Devon Drum 7/2
Bangor 500 Laika 2/1 Carrigeen Lantana 100/30
Kempton 745 Clergyman 13/8 Little Palaver 9/4
single figure fields
no odds on favourites
only 2 horses under 5/1
odds as with Stan James only (it's my only online account)
the idea is to find races where it appears to be between two horses (hence only 2 runners under 5/1) without one of them beings a lot more fancied than the other (no odds on). The single figure field provision is simply to reduce the inherent chaos in big field races (getting boxed in, not finding a run, being brought down over jumps etc)
First selections lost
Today's selection....both races at Kempton, prices with Stan James (BOG)
7.15,
The steward 2/1
Never to be 3/1
7.45
Little Palaver 7/4
Clergyman 2/1
My maths might let me down here but 3x bet 1 returned 9/4 and 6/4 winners with a NR = 8.13 pts
2x bet 1 returned a 9/4 winner with a NR and bet 2 an 11/8 winner with a NR = 3.24 pts and 2.38 pts
2x
9 wins from 24 bets
Total Stake 96 pts, Total Return 141.78 pts
P/L +45.78 ROI 47.69%
3x
2win from 6 bets
Total Stake 48 pts, Total Return 38.13 pts
P/L -9.87 ROI -20.56%
I can see this being very frustrating.......:D
2x Bet 1 with Ladbrokes
Hexham 440 Claragh Native 5/2 Morning Time 11/4
Fontwell 530 Glowinginthedark 11/8 Third Act 7/4
2x Bet 2 with BetVictor
Hexham 540 West End 9/4 Presenting Junior 9/2
Dundalk 710 Farmleigh House 3/1 Masai 100/30
3x Bet 1 with BetVictor
Hexham 440 Claragh Native 5/2 Morning Time 11/4
Fontwell 530 Glowinginthedark 11/8 Third Act 7/4
Hexham 540 West End 9/4 Presenting Junior 9/2
Font 3.15
Pure Style 2/1
Kuda Haraa 10/3
Hex 3.30
Wakanda 5/2
Book of Excuses 4/1
Hex 4.40
Claragh native 5/2
Morning time 3/1
I've gone for the Fontwell 3.15 and Hexham 4.40 for my selection today
2x
9 wins from 26 bets
Total Stake 104 pts, Total Return 141.78 pts
P/L +37.78 ROI 36.33%
3x
2win from 7 bets
Total Stake 56 pts, Total Return 38.13 pts
P/L -17.87 ROI -31.91%
I might give this a break over the weekend whilst there's decent racing to concentrate on
2x Bet 1 with B365
Gowran 225 Credulous 6/4 Lone Star 11/4
Ascot 240 Encke 11/8 Pethers Moon 3/1
2x Bet 2 with B365
Gowran 300 Akorakor 2/1 Moores Road 5/2
Newmarket 405 Arhcery Peak 11/4 Aloft 5/2
2x Bet 3 with B365
Fontwell 430 The Kings Assassin 13/8 Orsm 5/2
Gowran 445 Road To Riches 7/4 Sizing Europe 2/1
2x Bet 4 with Paddy Power
Wolves 630 Rictrude 9/4 Ar Colleen Aime 5/2
Wolves 730 Tinghir 11/4 Devilment 7/2
I'll put up some 3x ones if I get time later but, as swing says, there's some good racing today.
Font 215. lily Waugh 5/4. Mile house 11/4
Gowran 225 Credulous 13/8 lone star 3/1
Ascot 240 encke 11/8 pethers moon 3/1
Gowran 300 akorakor 6/4 Moore's road 15/8
Font 320 henryville 9/4 workbench 5/2
Newm 405 archery peak 9/4 aloft 11/4
3x bet 3 on bet365
Font 430 kings assassin 13/8 orsm 5/2
Gowran 445 road to riches 11/8 sizing Europe 2/1
Font 535 fountains blossom 13/8 father Edward 13/8
Font 3.55
Up for an Oscar 5/2
The nephew 11/4
Font 4.30
The kings assassin 7/4
Orsm 5/2
>:(
I might carry on trying to find some selections but I'm going to stop backing them .......which of course means they'll now start winning !.......:D
Today all three of my 3x went down, and all three had two winners.
Of my four 2x bets the first three failed due to getting one winner from two, then finally the 4th had a 5/2 and 11/4 double at 13.13 pts.
Still, another negative day, but oh so close again.
2x
10 wins from 30 bets
Total Stake 120 pts, Total Return 154.91 pts
P/L +34.91 ROI 29.09%
3x
2 wins from 10 bets
Total Stake 80 pts, Total Return 38.13 pts
P/L -41.87 ROI -52.34%
2x Bet 1
Tipp 205 Vilman 5/4 Ivanovich Gorbatov 100/30
Hunt 225 The Last Night 3/1 Saddlers Deal 3/1
2x Bet 2
Kelso 355 Spirit Oscar 2/1 Gold Chain 2/1
Tipp 525 Indevan 11/8 Blacklough 7/2
3x Bet 1
Kelso 315 Big Sound 15/8 Dotties Dilemma 3/1
Hunt 340 Lysino 11/8 Admiral Hawke 100/30
Kelso 355 Spirit Oscar 2/1 Gold Chain 2/1
3x Bet 2
Kelso 200 Endeavour 11/4 Sleep In First 3/1
Tipp 205 Vilman 5/4 Ivanovich Gorbatov 100/30
Hunt 225 The Last Night 3/1 Saddlers Deal 3/1
3x Bet 3
Utt 250 Minella Present 11/8 Filatore 2/1
Utt 430 Famousandfearless 9/4 Favoured Nation 11/4
Tipp 525 Indevan 11/8 Blacklough 7/2
3x - one winner in one, two winners in another (gutting deciding race cost 36pts) then a winning bet returns 15.58 pts (after deductions) = -8.42pts
2x stats
10 wins from 32 bets
Total Stake 128 pts, Total Return 154.91 pts
P/L +26.91 ROI 21.02%
(now down to the targetted ROI so could do with a win now)
3x stats
3 wins from 13 bets
Total Stake 104 pts, Total Return 53.71 pts
P/L -50.29 ROI -48.36%
2x weekly performance
6 wins from 21 bets
Total Stake 84 pts, Total Return 75.08 pts
P/L -8.92 ROI -10.62%
3x weekly performance
As this didn't start until 30-Sep the weekly stats were the whole stats
3 wins from 13 bets
Total Stake 104 pts, Total Return 53.71 pts
P/L -50.29 ROI -48.36%
Overall stats and the starting point for week 06-Oct to 12-Oct
2x Stats
10 wins from 32 bets
Total Stake 128 pts, Total Return 154.91 pts
P/L +26.91 ROI 21.02%
3x Stats
3 wins from 13 bets
Total Stake 104 pts, Total Return 53.71 pts
P/L -50.29 ROI -48.36%
With the rain and wind I can see there being a lot of NR and a bit of a lottery on the picks, but here goes....
2x Bet 1 with PP
Windsor 320 Dalgig 7/4 Henry The Aviator 11/4
Stratford 500 Canicallyouback 2/1 I'm A Joker 9/4
3x Bet 1 with PP
Windsor 320 Dalgig 7/4 Henry The Aviator 11/4
Pontefract 410 Mr McLaren 2/1 Pigeon Pie 11/4
Stratford 500 Canicallyouback 2/1 I'm A Joker 9/4
Pontefract 210 Oceanographer 7/4 Ventura Castle 5/2
Pontefract 510 Fallen In Line 2/1 Isabella Bird 9/4
note (NR in Windsor 320 makes no difference to quoted prices)
3x Bet 2 with Skybet
Pontefract 210 Oceanographer 7/4 Ventura Castle 5/2
Stratford 330 Mystery Drama 6/4 Princess Caetani 15/8
Pontefract 510 Fallen In Line 2/1 Isabella Bird 9/4
2x Stats
10 wins from 34 bets
Total Stake 136 pts, Total Return 154.91 pts
P/L +18.91 ROI +13.90%
3x Stats
3 wins from 15 bets
Total Stake 120 pts, Total Return 53.71 pts
P/L -66.29 ROI -55.24%
2x Bet 1 with BetVictor
Tipperary 355 Perfect Gentleman 15/8 Festive Felon 11/4
Tipperary 525 Roi Des Francs 5/2 Paper Lantern 9/2