Horse Racing Systems

1235748

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  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Another couple for the melting pot..

    Bet 2 - 3H2R with Ladbrokes
    Down Royal 205 - Arctic Fire 2/1 Tiger Roll 2/1 Little King Robin 5/1
    Wetherby 325 - Big Sound 11/4 Ballyben 3/1 My Lad Percy 4/1

    Bet 3 - 2H3R with Bet365
    Down Royal 205 - Arctic Fire 7/4 Tiger Roll 9/4
    Wetherby 215 - Silver Roque 5/2 Trustan Times 11/4
    Wetherby 325 - Big Sound 11/4 Ballyben 3/1
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Another blank day, the 2H3R nearly came good, but that's not good enough.
    That's me done for a week now as I'm off on hols.

    2H2R Stats
    23 wins from 79 bets 29.11% (target 35%)
    Total stake 316 pts, total return 331.77 pts
    P/L +15.77 pts, ROI +4.99% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    6 wins from 38 bets 15.78% (target 25%)
    Total stake 304 pts, total return 204.7 pts
    P/L -99.3 pts, ROI -32.67% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    1 wins from 4 bets 25% (target 50%)
    Total stake 36 pts, total return 50 pts
    P/L +14 pts, ROI +38.88% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    0 wins from 2 bets 0% (target 40%)
    Total stake 54 pts, total return 0 pts
    P/L -54 pts, ROI -100% (target 20%)

    Weekly performance just for the 2H systems

    2H2R weekly performance
    3 wins from 8 bets
    Stake 32 pts, return 44.69 pts

    2H3R weekly performance
    1 wins from 5 bets
    Stake 40 pts, return 39.61 pts
  • swingalegswingaleg Posts: 102,987
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    You had a winning double today, DG !

    Bet 2.........Little King Robin and Ballyben won.......SP 9/2 and 7/2

    Be a nice surprise when you get back from your hols !,,,,,,,,,:D
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    swingaleg wrote: »
    You had a winning double today, DG !

    Bet 2.........Little King Robin and Ballyben won.......SP 9/2 and 7/2

    Be a nice surprise when you get back from your hols !,,,,,,,,,:D

    Cool, thanks for spotting that. I must have been in packing for holiday mode and just missed it. I got 5/1 for LKR as well, so 27-pt return

    That changes the 3H2R stats to be
    3H2R Stats
    2 wins from 4 bets 50% (target 50%)
    Total stake 36 pts, total return 77 pts
    P/L +41 pts, ROI +113.88% (target 20%)


    Back in the groove for tomorrow, having a catch up day today.
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Okay, back after a break, and a few races qualify today.

    A quick recap on the systems. All bets are win-only. Either two or three horses are selected in either two or three races, making four systems, 2H2R, 2H3R, 3H2R and 3H3R. Stakes are in points, so the 2H2R costs 4-pts as there are four ways of selecting two horses across two races., 2H3R costs 8-pts (two horses across three races), 3H2R costs 9-pts and 3H3R a whopping 27-pts.

    So on to todays picks so far. There are currently five races to pick from and I've mixed the bets up a bit so everything doesn't hang on one race.The Carlisle 115 only just qualifies and wouldn't do if one horse comes out, so I'll get that one in quick.
    All bets are with Bet365.

    Bet 1 - 2H2R
    Carlisle 115 - Astrium 7/4 Assirem 5/2
    Southwell 135 - Typical Oscar 9/4 Matripajo 5/2

    Bet 2 - 2H2R
    Carlisle 150 - Ifandbutwhynot 7/4 Stopped Out 11/4
    Kempton 320 - Gildmaster 7/2 Pathway To Honour 4/1

    Bet 3 - 2H3R
    Carlisle 115 - Astrium 7/4 Assirem 5/2
    Carlisle 150 - Ifandbutwhynot 7/4 Stopped Out 11/4
    Southwell 205 - Lamps 9/4 Leath Acra Mor 3/1

    Bet 4 - 3H2R
    Southwell 205 - Lamps 9/4 Leath Acra Mor 3/1 Debt To Society 9/2
    Kempton 320 - Gildmaster 7/2 Pathway To Honour 4/1 Peterhouse 11/2

    There's another couple of races that will qualify if one or two horses come out , so there may be more bets to follow later.
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    DartGuru wrote: »
    The Carlisle 115 only just qualifies and wouldn't do if one horse comes out, so I'll get that one in quick.

    Pish. If I'd left it til nearer the off I'd have left the race alone as 7/5 was too short.
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    and it turned out to be two reverses that caused a wipe out day. I should have stuck to the chronological way of arranging bets :(

    2H2R Stats
    23 wins from 81 bets 28.39% (target 35%)
    Total stake 324 pts, total return 331.77 pts
    P/L +7.76 pts, ROI +2.39% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    6 wins from 39 bets 15.38% (target 25%)
    Total stake 312 pts, total return 204.7 pts
    P/L -107.3 pts, ROI -34.4% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    2 wins from 5 bets 40% (target 50%)
    Total stake 45 pts, total return 77 pts
    P/L +32 pts, ROI +71.11% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    0 wins from 2 bets 0% (target 40%)
    Total stake 54 pts, total return 0 pts
    P/L -54 pts, ROI -100% (target 20%)
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Bit of an odds-on fest today, so not a lot for me to look at, but with the little there is ...

    Bet 1 - 2H2R
    Lingfield 300 - Vikekhal 7/4 Tresor De Boncee 15/8
    Huntingdon 340 - Avenue Of Honour 7/4 Elkstone 7/2
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    A quiet day but a day with a small profit with two 2/1 winners

    2H2R Stats
    24 wins from 82 bets 29.26% (target 35%)
    Total stake 328 pts, total return 340.77 pts
    P/L +12.77 pts, ROI +3.89% (target 20%)
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Slightly better day for selections, all with Bet365. There's a chance of some 3H bets as well, but they depend on the odd NR.

    Bet 1 - 2H2R
    Bangor 230 - Knight Bachelor 7/4 Zaidiyn 7/4
    Exeter 240 - Baby King 15/8 Dormello Mo 5/2

    Bet 2 - 2H2R
    Kempton 450 - Holley Shiftwell 3/1 Even Stevens 5/1
    Kempton 720 - Georgian Bay 7/4 Badr Al Badoor 3/1

    Bet 3 - 2H3R
    Bangor 230 - Knight Bachelor 7/4 Zaidiyn 7/4
    Exeter 240 - Baby King 15/8 Dormello Mo 5/2
    Kempton 450 - Holley Shiftwell 3/1 Even Stevens 5/1
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Bet 4 - 3H2R with Paddy Power
    Ayr 220 - De Chissler 11/4 Mad For Road 3/1 Scimon Templar 3/1
    Dundalk 840 Minot Street 100/30 Strandfield Lady 9/2 Johann Bach 5/1
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    DartGuru wrote: »
    Bet 3 - 2H3R
    Bangor 230 - Knight Bachelor 7/4 Zaidiyn 7/4
    Exeter 240 - Baby King 15/8 Dormello Mo 5/2
    Kempton 450 - Holley Shiftwell 3/1 Even Stevens 5/1

    3/1 and 5/1 winners, fingers crossed for the 450 for a cracking treble.
  • swingalegswingaleg Posts: 102,987
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    DartGuru wrote: »
    3/1 and 5/1 winners, fingers crossed for the 450 for a cracking treble.

    Good luck !......I wouldn't fancy Evens Stevens.....front runner drawn in the widest stall, But he's now 8/1 best price so would indeed be a nice winner if he can get round the field and grab the rail !
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    swingaleg wrote: »
    Good luck !......I wouldn't fancy Evens Stevens.....front runner drawn in the widest stall, But he's now 8/1 best price so would indeed be a nice winner if he can get round the field and grab the rail !

    Even Stevens is one of my exceptional horses, but not for anything it's done on the track.

    When my s/w grabs the race cards and results I have to recognise it as a horse in its own right, not one call "Even St" at a prices of Evens :)
  • swingalegswingaleg Posts: 102,987
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    Aaaaah!

    Evens did really well to get round the field and grab the rail.......and looked the winner all the way until the last 100 yards when he got swallowed up
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    swingaleg wrote: »
    Aaaaah!

    Evens did really well to get round the field and grab the rail.......and looked the winner all the way until the last 100 yards when he got swallowed up

    Aarrgghh indeed. So close to a huge win 😢
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Could have been much worse but also much better. Bet 1 returned 24pts and bet 4 18.75pts.

    2H2R Stats
    25 wins from 84 bets 29.76% (target 35%)
    Total stake 336 pts, total return 364.77 pts
    P/L +28.77 pts, ROI +8.56% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    6 wins from 40 bets 15% (target 25%)
    Total stake 320 pts, total return 204.7 pts
    P/L -115.3 pts, ROI -36.04% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    3 wins from 6 bets 50% (target 50%)
    Total stake 54 pts, total return 95.75 pts
    P/L +41.75 pts, ROI +77.31% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    0 wins from 2 bets 0% (target 40%)
    Total stake 54 pts, total return 0 pts
    P/L -54 pts, ROI -100% (target 20%)
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Yesterday was one of those days that could have turned a -ve ROI into a nice little earner. Although I've designed these systems to try and be provide a drip feed profit over a long period of time, a +200pt day for one bet wouldn't have been turned down, especially with it being the 2H3R system that's letting me down the most at the moment.

    However, it wasn't to be, so we move on. Just the one today at the moment...

    Bet 1 - 3H2R with Bet 365
    Clonmel 155 - Clara Mc Cloud 11/4 Make A Track 5/1 Memories Of Milan 6/1
    Kempton 550 - Spring Loaded 5/2 Lyfka 11/4 Be Bold 4/1
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Bet 2 - 3H3R with Bet 365
    Southwell 1220 - Royal Marskell 3/1 Aristocracy 4/1 On Demand 4/1
    Clonmel 155 - Clara Mc Cloud 11/4 Make A Track 5/1 Memories Of Milan 6/1
    Kempton 550 - Spring Loaded 5/2 Lyfka 11/4 Be Bold 4/1
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Lots more now that prices have shifted a bit

    Bet 3 - 3H2R with Bet365
    Southwell 1220 - Royal Marskell 3/1 Aristocracy 4/1 On Demand 4/1
    Clonmel 255 - Un Artiste 2/1 Byerley Babe 7/2 Baby Shine 4/1

    Bet 4 - 2H2R with Bet365
    Taunton 210 - Chinatown Boy 7/4 By The Boardwalk 3/1
    Clonmel 325 - Pumbaa 2/1 Elegant Statesman 9/4

    Bet 5 - 2H3R with Bet365
    Taunton 210 - Chinatown Boy 7/4 By The Boardwalk 3/1
    Clonmel 325 - Pumbaa 2/1 Elegant Statesman 9/4
    Taunton 340 - Kings Apollo 2/1 Dushy Valley 4/1

    Bet 6 - 3H2R with Bet365
    Clonmel 325 - Pumbaa 2/1 Elegant Statesman 9/4 Angelas Money 4/1
    Taunton 340 - Kings Apollo 2/1 Dushy Valley 4/1 Ballyegan 9/2

    Bet 7 - 3H3R with Bet365
    Clonmel 255 - Un Artiste 2/1 Byerley Babe 7/2 Baby Shine 4/1
    Clonmel 325 - Pumbaa 2/1 Elegant Statesman 9/4 Angelas Money 4/1
    Taunton 340 - Kings Apollo 2/1 Dushy Valley 4/1 Ballyegan 9/2
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    18.75 pts from both bet 1 and 2, but not enough to stop losses to all four systems.

    2H2R Stats
    25 wins from 85 bets 29.41% (target 35%)
    Total stake 340 pts, total return 364.77 pts
    P/L +24.77 pts, ROI +7.28% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    6 wins from 41 bets 14.63% (target 25%)
    Total stake 328 pts, total return 204.7 pts
    P/L -123.3 pts, ROI -37.6% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    4 wins from 9 bets 44.44% (target 50%)
    Total stake 81 pts, total return 114.5 pts
    P/L +33.5 pts, ROI +41.35% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    1 wins from 4 bets 25% (target 40%)
    Total stake 108 pts, total return 18.75 pts
    P/L -89.25 pts, ROI -82.64% (target 20%)
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Let's start the day with some 3H bets

    Bet 1 - 3H2R with Bet365
    Lingfield 130 - Wrood 3/1 Principal Equation 9/2 Rosehill Artist 6/1
    Cheltenham 225 - Colour Squadron 9/4 Champagne West 7/2 Dell 'Arca 7/2

    Bet 2 - 3H2R with Bet365
    Lingfield 240 - Moiety 3/1 Multitask 5/1 Varsovian 6/1
    Lingfield 315 - Novellan Lad 11/4 Blue Bounty 4/1 Seamster 5/1

    Bet 3 - 3H3R with Bet365
    Lingfield 130 - Wrood 3/1 Principal Equation 9/2 Rosehill Artist 6/1
    Cheltenham 225 - Colour Squadron 9/4 Champagne West 7/2 Dell 'Arca 7/2
    Lingfield 240 - Moiety 3/1 Multitask 5/1 Varsovian 6/1

    Bet 4 - 3H2R with Bet365
    Lingfield 350 - Royal Trooper 7/2 Zinnobar 7/2 Stilla Afton 7/1
    Dundalk 845 - Hardstone 9/2 Shalaman 6/1 Wither Hills 6/1

    Bet 5 - 3H3R with Bet365
    Lingfield 315 - Novellan Lad 11/4 Blue Bounty 4/1 Seamster 5/1
    Lingfield 350 - Royal Trooper 7/2 Zinnobar 7/2 Stilla Afton 7/1
    Dundalk 845 - Hardstone 9/2 Shalaman 6/1 Wither Hills 6/1
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    Price changes affecting Bets 1 and 3 after Dream Child and Hedge End become NR in the Lingfield 130 (I don't often get the chance to cater for what would otherwise be an impossible rule 4 unless I'd actually put a bet on)

    Lingfield 130 - Wrood 9/4 Principal Equation 3/1 Rosehill Artist 9/2

    ditto Pour Le Victoire becoming a NR in the Lingfield 240 affecting bets 2 and 3

    Lingfield 240 - Moiety 11/4 Multitask 4/1 Varsovian 11/2

    I can also add a sixth bet

    Bet 6 - 2H2R with William Hill
    Lingfield 130 - Wrood 2/1 Principal Equation 11/4
    Dundalk 715 - Solomon Northup 2/1 Great Dancer 9/4
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    and one more

    Bet 7 - 2H3R with Bet365
    Lingfield 1225 Hurricane Alert 2/1 Shackled n Drawn 9/4
    Lingfield 130 - Wrood 2/1 Principal Equation 11/4
    Dundalk 715 - Solomon Northup 2/1 Great Dancer 9/4
  • DartGuruDartGuru Posts: 2,893
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    It was a bit complicated today with rule 4s (which I tried to deal with), non runners AND to cap it all off, a dead heat where, if I remember correctly, the prices get halved.

    My best guess is that Bet 6 2H2R returned 6.5 pts, Bet 1 3H2R returned 9 pts, Bet 4 3H2R returned 6.5 pts, Bet 3 3H3R returned 58.5 pts.

    Bets 7, 2 and 5 went down.

    2H2R Stats
    26 wins from 86 bets 30.23% (target 35%)
    Total stake 344 pts, total return 371.27 pts
    P/L +27.27 pts, ROI +7.92% (target 20%)

    2H3R Stats
    6 wins from 42 bets 14.28% (target 25%)
    Total stake 336 pts, total return 204.7 pts
    P/L -131.3 pts, ROI -39.08% (target 20%)

    3H2R Stats
    6 wins from 12 bets 50% (target 50%)
    Total stake 108 pts, total return 130 pts
    P/L +22 pts, ROI +20.37% (target 20%)

    3H3R Stats
    2 wins from 6 bets 33.33% (target 40%)
    Total stake 162 pts, total return 77.25 pts
    P/L -84.75 pts, ROI -52.32% (target 20%)
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