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Storm warning for Monday!

Terry NTerry N Posts: 5,262
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Watch out southern England, winds will get up to 50mph!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-24654390

I went to the met office site after seeing that, expecting to see 60 or 70mph. :yawn:
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    [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 32,379
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    It's often Scotland that gets battered with wind and it can be quite frightening.

    Hope it's not as bad a predicted.
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    albertdalbertd Posts: 14,362
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    Terry N wrote: »
    I went to the met office site after seeing that, expecting to see 60 or 70mph. :yawn:
    The chief forecaster's assessment on the Met Office site says (among other things)
    There is the potential for gusts of over 80 mph, especially on exposed coasts, both in southwesterly winds ahead of the low and west to northwesterly winds behind it.
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    trevgotrevgo Posts: 28,241
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    That's good.

    We can be assured a dry, warm, windless day on Monday then.

    They don't seem to be able to forecast the weather yesterday, these days. Sunday they said for London "may get away with a dry day - possibilities of some showers, but will be very localised and soon move away".

    We had a monsoon for 2 hours in the afternoon. The A406 was flooded.
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    all_nightall_night Posts: 7,615
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    trevgo wrote: »
    That's good.

    We can be assured a dry, warm, windless day on Monday then.

    They don't seem to be able to forecast the weather yesterday, these days. Sunday they said for London "may get away with a dry day - possibilities of some showers, but will be very localised and soon move away".

    We had a monsoon for 2 hours in the afternoon. The A406 was flooded.

    :D This is so true, but they are good with big mass areas of probable weather, sadly they struggle with forecasting showers and thunderstorms. Saturday afternoon took my by surprise.

    It does seem that Monday will be windy, but by how bad it is - we will have to wait and see.
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    Jon OJon O Posts: 1,687
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    I better get my wellington boots out of the shed & check there are no false widow spiders lurking in them :eek:
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    SmartTIIamSmartTIIam Posts: 453
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    I got me thermals on order, ready for winter :D
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    [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 2,691
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    all_night wrote: »
    :D This is so true, but they are good with big mass areas of probable weather, sadly they struggle with forecasting showers and thunderstorms. Saturday afternoon took my by surprise.

    It does seem that Monday will be windy, but by how bad it is - we will have to wait and see.

    They are only issuing a yellow warning - the lowest one.

    I don't think they have ever forgotten October 1987 ....
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    Mystic DaveMystic Dave Posts: 1,180
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    Michael Fish has already said it will be okay! :D

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-19923565
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    NortherlyNortherly Posts: 1,232
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    trevgo wrote: »
    That's good.

    We can be assured a dry, warm, windless day on Monday then.

    They don't seem to be able to forecast the weather yesterday, these days. Sunday they said for London "may get away with a dry day - possibilities of some showers, but will be very localised and soon move away".

    We had a monsoon for 2 hours in the afternoon. The A406 was flooded.

    That is simply untrue and a bit Daily Express :rolleyes:

    Forecast is not fact and I very much doubt it rained for 120 minutes as you suggested or that the wording of the forecast was as you say.
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    albertdalbertd Posts: 14,362
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    Michelle32 wrote: »
    They are only issuing a yellow warning - the lowest one
    It is an amber for the south coast counties all the way from Cornwall to Kent.
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    NortherlyNortherly Posts: 1,232
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    Terry N wrote: »
    Watch out southern England, winds will get up to 50mph!

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-24654390

    I went to the met office site after seeing that, expecting to see 60 or 70mph. :yawn:

    Then sadly for this thread you did not look properly. there are plenty of SW england stations with sunday pm gust forecast for 60 mph

    maybe if you were less tired you could get your facts correct...
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    NortherlyNortherly Posts: 1,232
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    |The actual wording so far: "A very intense low pressure system is forecast to run northeastwards across the country early on Monday, bringing the potential for an exceptionally windy spell of weather for southern parts of the UK. At the same time, persistent, heavy rain could cause some surface water flooding.

    At this early stage there is uncertainty about the timing, intensity and track of the low. However, the public should be prepared for the risk of falling trees as well as damage to buildings and other structures, bringing disruption to transport and power supplies. "
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    tenofspadestenofspades Posts: 12,875
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    October has been pretty rubbish in terms of weather. Barely enough time to hang out washing for it to dry as it's always raining.
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    all_nightall_night Posts: 7,615
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    Michelle32 wrote: »
    They are only issuing a yellow warning - the lowest one.

    I don't think they have ever forgotten October 1987 ....

    Its Amber Warning for Monday, for the winds
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    jazzydrury3jazzydrury3 Posts: 27,075
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    Surely power is more secure these days, as arent most electric cables, buried underground these days
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    d'@ved'@ve Posts: 45,531
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    Northerly wrote: »
    |The actual wording so far: "
    At this early stage there is uncertainty about the timing, intensity and track of the low. However, the public should be prepared for the risk of falling trees as well as damage to buildings and other structures, bringing disruption to transport and power supplies. "

    "Uncertainty about the timing, intensity and track of the low" is key.

    Already, there are disagreements between the computer models about exactly where and when the winds will intensify most. GFS, for example, currently suggests that the worst of it will develop over and beyond the North Sea.

    I am very surprised that the Met Office has issued its orange warning so soon, knowing how the tabloid media will produce panic-stricken headlines of an event that may or may not occur at maximum severity over the UK.

    What their Warning matrix actually depicts is that the impact of this event would be high (so potentially VERY serious) but the liklihood is moderately low and this *just* warrants an amber warning instead of a "be aware" yellow. If I had to make the decision, I would have issued a yellow "be aware" warning at this stage (because of likely stupid media reaction).
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    DbarDbar Posts: 783
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    Northerly wrote: »
    Then sadly for this thread you did not look properly. there are plenty of SW england stations with sunday pm gust forecast for 60 mph

    maybe if you were less tired you could get your facts correct...

    tee hee. i liked this.
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    Molly BloomMolly Bloom Posts: 2,318
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    The Daily Express must have almost combust when they knew they could make a headline out of this.
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    glitterlady08glitterlady08 Posts: 3,032
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    The Daily Express must have almost combust when they knew they could make a headline out of this.

    I combust all the time, cause they get it wrong...:mad::D
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    chrisii2011chrisii2011 Posts: 2,694
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    Horrible im actually pretty scared. Better make sure my two rabbits are indoors not risking any harm to them by leaving them outside. Just wish nice weather would come back
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    Owen_KentOwen_Kent Posts: 270
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    Could this affect North West England? or is it just Scotland?
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    NortherlyNortherly Posts: 1,232
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    Owen_Kent wrote: »
    Could this affect North West England? or is it just Scotland?

    Scotland is getting a drenching tomorrow but its the S and W of England that will get the winds sunday into monday

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html?day=5
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    d'@ved'@ve Posts: 45,531
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    The Daily Express must have almost combust when they knew they could make a headline out of this.

    They'll have already written their combustion-busting headline for Monday in case it doesn't come off (seems to be around 40% chance of it happening at the 'crisis' level, so less than evens) "Met Office Cry Wolf - AGAIN!" :rolleyes:

    So to stop that, we could do with a nice Winter gale that blows branches about on trees, produces some great photos of massive breaking seas, and scares people but doesn't cause any serious damage or casualties.
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    skp20040skp20040 Posts: 66,874
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    Surely power is more secure these days, as arent most electric cables, buried underground these days

    I think in cities they are undergorund but as soon as you hit the outskirts and countryside the cables all still seem to be overhead.
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    skp20040skp20040 Posts: 66,874
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    Terry N wrote: »
    Watch out southern England, winds will get up to 50mph!

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-24654390

    I went to the met office site after seeing that, expecting to see 60 or 70mph. :yawn:

    50mph winds are not nice wherever you are, but a bit silly to use bad weather for a dig at the south. The MET office are quite right to give warnings so people are aware, I apologise in advance on behalf of the South if we are not flattened by Winds to your satisfaction next week.
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