Originally Posted by thenetworkbabe:
“Thats the conclusion all these shows are trying to avoid and whilst they avoid it their shows will die. You can't have a dancing show where effort and ability are not rewarded and anything but dancing ability keeps you in. The judges end up looking incredible, the winners are incredible and audiences drift away as its all pointlessly random, soon no one any good turns up as the show is harmful to your career and lots of people with gimicks or comedy acts do turning it nto Strictly Come Comic Dancing .
The problem with the public vote is that despite all the efforts to make it more responsible things are getting worse - time to do away with it before the final or to let the studio audience or someone else decide.”
Sorry, but this manages to indulge in doom-mongering, hyperbole, lack of perspective and an undercurrent of elitism all at the same time. This is a Saturday night light entertainment zeleb reality TV show that relies on involving a broad audience of 8 million plus people in the entertainment. It's not an Oxbridge entrance exam.
It's got a daily spin-off show to plainly label the whole thing as entertainment rather than competitive sport. Every celeb that goes on it - and, despite your doom scenario, there's a queue of agents trying to get their 'celeb' clients on it and will be for however long it runs - have got to be perfectly aware it's as much about people liking you as how well you dance. Jeez, the show's been on long enough; they ought to know it. People will vote off, given the chance, the celebs they don't connect to, regardless of their dance abilities.
Given all that, the show's still almost always been won by the best dancer in the end. On the couple of occasions the person who might not have been objectively selected as the best dancer on paper won, the person who won instead of them could dance just fine too ... they just had a bit more personality for more people that swung it. If John Sergeant had made it to the final, I don't doubt even though he had support in the public vote all the way to get him there, the public would not have given him the trophy. Just the same as for other no-hopers folks have taken to finals. There's never been a two-left footer who's won the show and I doubt there ever will be. The public take the odd no-hoper to a final cos they entertain them in some way, whether I agree with that or not, other than just on clinical dance ability.
This year again, when Craig's gone - and he will pretty soon, I'm sure - all the two left-footers will be gone. So that'll be all the complete no-hopers gone earlier than almost all the other series there have been. So much for the Strictly's going to hell scenario.
None of the others left after that will be an embarrassment to watch. The public knows, no matter how it votes, they are only ever going to get rid of Ricky W or Ali if they both end up in dance-off against each other. And even given that judges' nightmare scenario, that'll still mean they'll make sure to take whichever one of them survives to the final through all subsequent dance-offs they might be in.
So we'll probably end up with a final that features (my guess):
1) Best technical dancer - Ricky W or Ali
2) Best improved dancer - Jade (who I think will end up better than Ali)
3) Best, in public's views, dance+personality character: Chris, Tuffers or Ricky G.
Could be one of the best balanced finals yet for this little light entertainment show. If we had to lose someone like Jade to a dance-off against judge's picks Ricky W or Ali along the way, I'd be personally sad to see it. But the final would still be pretty good.
If Ricky W and Ali don't meet in a dance-off, the judges will ensure both of them get to the final ... so then the public will be left with only one finalist of its choice and the judges two. Folks will then have to decide if they want their favourite personality or the most improved dancer as their only choice to make the final.
If, in the end, the public get to send only one person of their favourites to the final and they ultimately win ... so what? Whoever it is, they'll be another Darren Gough, not a John Sergeant. Might even do the show a bit of good and encourage some celebs that won't be the best dancer at the start that they do still have a chance to win ... cos contrary to your whole thesis, the best dancer does
usually win, not the opposite.