I think Ricky W and Ali have gift dances for them and for the Blackpool stage and will top the leaderboard. Chris should do OK, I think, but if he doesn't people will start losing faith - I don't think he can survive another weak dance. Ricky G, Laila, Jade and Natalie have tricky dances that don't obviously suit them but if one of them can shine they'll really move up as a contender. Phil has the most unlucky dance choice - who'd want to do a rumba in the huge expanse of the Blackpool stage? Craig, well, I can't honestly see what dance Craig could have that would improve on his waltz.
I'd guess Craig in the final 2 - he made it about Blackpool and now he's there. Jade will be with him if they show film of her fighting with Ian but I'm hoping that's just a newspaper story and they won't. Otherwise it will be a test of the other 'learners' as to who has the most support.