Originally Posted by DavidJames:
“We "know" no such thing.
You're assuming that the relative popularities and voting for each couple have been constant, which is unlikely.
Especially considering that voters only have 15 minutes to call in - the volatility must be much higher this year.
So we know nothing - we can make a few guesses regarding past patterns, but they give us very little chance of predicting future results.”
We 'know' nothing, of course (I try to write a catchy OP for obvious reasons - 'we have good reason to suspect' ain't much of an opener).
We do know from other shows where the voting figures are published that generally (not always) the voting paths are pretty consistent. We have no idea whether that is the same for SCD, although the demographics of the show unless we believe the 'leaks' from previous years - especially last year - which suggest the voting was pretty consistent, actually.
We also know that the place the judges have consistently put Ricky on the leader board (and Ali, other than the week she was in the dance-off) have made it difficult for him to end in the bottom two. The leaks tend to suggest Chris is getting the public vote and the fact he isn't in the dance off tends to suggest that might be right. Just my opinion of course.