Having said that, Alesha was only bottom two when they were down to four couples, and Matt di Angelo forgot all his steps so got big sympathy votes. If Matt had danced to his usual standard, I reckon he would have been bottom two.
Natasha's the only winner to have been bottom two earlier in the competition, though.
Ali was in the bottom 2 quite early on so it'll be fairly suprising if she wins!
I guess Ricky was in the bottom 2 around the same to as Alesha was (top 4/5 time).