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  • Strictly Come Dancing
Should we abandon the public vote next week - it will be overridden by the judges!
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tabithakitten
06-12-2009
I don't buy the fact that the judges manipulate the marks to get the results they want. That definitely doesn't make sense tonight as the judges' positions were absolutely right and I don't see how anyone could think otherwise.

However, if the judges were wishing to manipulate the situation it would seem reasonably easy this year. (I don't really believe it, I just like statistics and probability. I like lies and damn lies too .)

For example, those claiming that Ali's second place goes any way to prove that the judges aren't trying to "fix" anything is wrong. Once Laila had been placed fourth, she was a dead cert for the dance off and the boot given the way she performed. There was no way that the nightmare Ricky/Ali dance off was going to happen then.

It's also seemingly apparent now that Ricky's support is pretty limp following two successive dance offs. This means that, should the judges wish to manilpulate anything, all they have to do is place Ali top next week regardless. She now looks a dead cert to bag second with the public so would obviously be the one out of the three to avoid the dance off.

Like a say, I don't really believe this.

But it wouldn't be very hard to do if the judges were of a mind to do so.
ianswaiting
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by MARTYM8:
“Yes - but do the public who spend their hard earned money voting understand the rules?

Do they understand that the only way they can save Chris next week if Ali tops the public vote is to vote for Ricky almost as much as Chris to ensure Ali comes bottom in the public vote. I doubt it - and even so why should Chris voters also have to phone in and vote for Ricky just to allow Chris a chance to get to the final?

Its the public being ripped off and deprived of their preferred winner that I have an issue with!”

Well they should, the rules are pretty clear. The couples dance and get scored by the judges. Whoever comes top with the judges gets (next week) 3 points, 2nd 2 points and 3rd 1 point except in the event of a tie. This counts for 50% of the vote. The public vote and the order in which they come with the public has the same points system applied to it. Whoever the bottom two are then dance off with the judges choosing who stays and who goes.

If the public can't understand that then the state of education has rapidly declined since I was at school.

As for it being more likely that Cola will go out if he is 3rd with the judges, that should equally be obvious.

Anyway, how do we know that Cola is the preferred winner? All we know is that they got more votes this week and last week than Ricky.
Veri
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by MARTYM8:
“X factor have a 100% public vote from the last 5 - you really must have a low opinion of your fellow human beings if you think people can be manipulated by Cowell or anyone else into picking up a phone and voting for someone they don't like.”

You're missing the point. They're not manipulated into voting for someone they don't like; it's who they like that's manipulated. Shows do that by controlling what the public sees and arranging it in ways that are likely to have certain effects.
ianswaiting
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by Veri:
“You're missing the point. They're not manipulated into voting for someone they don't like; it's who they like that's manipulated. Shows do that by controlling what the public sees and arranging it in ways that are likely to have certain effects.”

Strictly does that too - just how many times in the run up to Blackpool did we see Craig saying how desperate he was to dance at Blackpool and how awful it would be to be eliminated on his birthday

And what did we get...an Ali v Zoe dance off that removed one of the best dancers of the series
Veri
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by MARTYM8:
“...
Its the public being ripped off and deprived of their preferred winner that I have an issue with!”

For all we know, a majority of viewers would prefer that Ali or Ricky win rather than Chris. Why should they be ripped off and deprived of their preference?

First past the post is widely considered a poor system, and when multi-voting is added as in SCD, it's even worse. For all we know, if a different system (such as approval voting) were used, Chris would stand no chance.
tabithakitten
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by Veri:
“For all we know, a majority of viewers would prefer that Ali or Ricky win rather than Chris. Why should they be ripped off and deprived of their preference?

First past the post is widely considered a poor system, and when multi-voting is added as in SCD, it's even worse. For all we know, if a different system (such as approval voting) were used, Chris would stand no chance. ”

I agree with you there. I think the % method of calculating scores (a la DWTS) is definitely fairer.
MARTYM8
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by Veri:
“For all we know, a majority of viewers would prefer that Ali or Ricky win rather than Chris. Why should they be ripped off and deprived of their preference?

”

Mmm - they won't be cos in the final you need a majority of the public vote to win.
MARTYM8
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by Veri:
“You're missing the point. They're not manipulated into voting for someone they don't like; it's who they like that's manipulated. Shows do that by controlling what the public sees and arranging it in ways that are likely to have certain effects.”

X factor/SCD are just entertainment shows. We are not talking about 1984 here!
ianswaiting
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by MARTYM8:
“X factor/SCD are just entertainment shows. We are not talking about 1984 here!”

X Factor is not an entertainment show - Its Scowell's money printing machine
Fudd
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by soulmate61:
“Last week somebody posted a BBC statement

"The dance-off stops at the quarter-final"

Who posted it, and where is the source? This is important to fans.”

On the BBC website it says:

Quote:
“In all shows, with the exception of the final, the purpose is to identify the couples placed in the bottom two. These two couples are then put into the dance-off.”

http://www.bbc.co.uk/pressoffice/pre...trictly8.shtml

So it doesn't seem like it will change.

Originally Posted by ianswaiting:
“We don't know that Ricky had the least votes - only that he had less than Chris and Ali. We have no idea whether he had more or less than Laila.”

What we do know is he had less votes than the other two.

Originally Posted by ianswaiting:
“The clique may be unelected but they are infinitely more qualified to decide than the hundreds of thousands who make up the public. On your reasoning, given that the public own 70% plus of some banks there should be a democratic vote to make every decision concerning how they are run. How much do you know about running a bank?”

At the rate the banks are being 'managed' I can't see the public doing a worse job, can you?

Originally Posted by Spinaker5:
“If Chris tops the public vote then it will be Ali v Ricky in the DO. The judges got the order right tonight even though they marked some rather underwhelming (all of them imo) ballroom dances too high. Chris was only a few marks below Ali (39 as opposed to42) so I don't think you can really accuse the judges of voting in any other way than as they saw the dances. They also gave Chris credit for selling his samba despite it being low on dance content. Let's wait and see what happens next week.”

Not necessarily.

Loom at this this way: The judge's favourite always gets through. In favourite I mean the one who finishes top of the leaderboard - they either are put straight through or saved in the Dance Off.

Up until there are 3 couples remaining, the public favourite will remain also - for example, if Laila had been the public favourite tonight:

Ricky 4+1 = 5
Ali 3+3 = 6
Chris 2+2 = 4
Laila 1+4 = 5

Ricky 4+2 = 6
Ali 3+1 = 4
Chris 2+3 = 5

Laila 1+4 = 5

Ricky 4+3 = 7
Ali 3+2 = 5
Chris 2+1= 3

Laila 1+4 = 5

However at the three couple stage, the public vote loses a lot of it's power. Even though the vote is supposedly 50/50, it's more 60/40 as the judge's could dispatch the public favourite:

Ali 3+2 = 5
Ricky 2+1 = 3
Chris 1+3 = 4

Chris'll go despite topping the votes.

The judge's get their favourite through - the public do not. For a supposed 50/50 system that seems very unbalanced.

Originally Posted by Veri:
“It is right that the same rules apply to all of the contestants rather than the show changing them to protect Chris.”

Agreed - but they should've been changed before the series began. Or they should've made sure there were 4 people in the semi final, so the public favourite was ensured of progress.
tenchgirl
06-12-2009
Chris & ola chops to win!!!
MARTYM8
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by tenchgirl:
“Chris & ola chops to win!!!”

Yes - but only if the judges allow it!
DavidJames
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by tabithakitten:
“should the judges wish to manilpulate anything, all they have to do is place Ali top next week regardless. She now looks a dead cert to bag second with the public so would obviously be the one out of the three to avoid the dance off.

Like a say, I don't really believe this.

But it wouldn't be very hard to do if the judges were of a mind to do so.”

Huh... yes, I never thought of it like that.

If the judges wanted to get rid of Chris, they'd simply need to score it Ali - RIcky - Chris:
[LIST][*]Ali & Brian: 3 Judges + 2 public = 5[*]Ricky & Natalie: 2 Judges + 1 public = 3[*]Chris & Ola: 1 judges + 3 public = 4[/LIST]
So, if that happened on the scoring next week (not impossible), the only tactic for Chris and Ola fans would be to vote for Ricky and Natalie, in the hope of getting:
[LIST][*]Ali & Brian: 3 Judges + 1 public = 4[*]Ricky & Natalie: 2 Judges + 2 public = 4[*]Chris & Ola: 1 judges + 3 public = 4 - public decider so C&O go through[/LIST]
Huh.
ilovesooty
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by ianswaiting:
“Well they should, the rules are pretty clear. The couples dance and get scored by the judges. Whoever comes top with the judges gets (next week) 3 points, 2nd 2 points and 3rd 1 point except in the event of a tie. This counts for 50% of the vote. The public vote and the order in which they come with the public has the same points system applied to it. Whoever the bottom two are then dance off with the judges choosing who stays and who goes.

If the public can't understand that then the state of education has rapidly declined since I was at school.
”

I think you might just be overestimating the intelligence of many of the voting public. That voting public voted in their droves for Tom last year when mathematically he couldn't be saved. Many of them had simply failed to do any basic maths!
tenchgirl
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by MARTYM8:
“Yes - but only if the judges allow it!”

so lets dump the judges vote and go to public vote from here on in, judges give their comment but no score, let us decide who places where.
DavidJames
06-12-2009
Fundamentally, the system is designed so that the judges more-or-less get the power to decide one finallist, and the public more-or-less get the power to decide one finallist.

After that, the public then picks the winner.

I don't have a problem with there being at least one good dancer in the final. Am I alone in that?
ilovesooty
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by tenchgirl:
“so lets dump the judges vote and go to public vote from here on in, judges give their comment but no score, let us decide who places where.”

If you do that you might as well give Chris and Ola the trophy now.
MARTYM8
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by tenchgirl:
“so lets dump the judges vote and go to public vote from here on in, judges give their comment but no score, let us decide who places where.”

Yes - exactly right.

That's what the X factor do after the final 5 - maybe if the BBC had more respect for the viewers they would do the same!
DavidJames
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by ianswaiting:
“Well they should, the rules are pretty clear.”

To be fair, I only realised that once you'd pointed it out, and I'm not stupid.

Well, most of the time I'm not stupid.
DavidJames
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by MARTYM8:
“Yes - exactly right.

That's what the X factor do after the final 5 - maybe if the BBC had more respect for the viewers they would do the same!”

Maybe if the BBC had more respect for the dancers they'd scrap the public vote.

I could live with that.

What makes the public fit to judge a dance competition?
Fudd
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by tenchgirl:
“so lets dump the judges vote and go to public vote from here on in, judges give their comment but no score, let us decide who places where.”

I wouldn't dump the Judge's vote. I still think they should score the dances, and get their marks converted into 3, 2, 1. Then the public vote, then the result's announced. Simply no dance off.

The Dance Off is the only thing preventing the public favourite from going through. Nothing else.
Fudd
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by DavidJames:
“Maybe if the BBC had more respect for the dancers they'd scrap the public vote.

I could live with that.

What makes the public fit to judge a dance competition?”

In other words axe Strictly Come Dancing.
MARTYM8
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by DavidJames:
“What makes the public fit to judge a dance competition?”

Its Strictly Come Dancing - not the world latin dance championships.

Why let the public decide anything - why not let's have a dictatorship where Len and Alesha make all our laws and decide who gets put into a concentration camp.

Just joking - but I believe in democracy and public votes. Cos its the least worst system!
tabithakitten
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by Fudd:
“I wouldn't dump the Judge's vote. I still think they should score the dances, and get their marks converted into 3, 2, 1. Then the public vote, then the result's announced. Simply no dance off.

The Dance Off is the only thing preventing the public favourite from going through. Nothing else.”

Indeed, and with three couples left, the dance off would not be in operation in a "normal" series (one with no withdrawals). As soon as a celeb has to pull out, show policy dictates that the judges have more power over the result than they would have done without the withdrawal.

I don't agree with that.
MARTYM8
06-12-2009
Originally Posted by DavidJames:
“Fundamentally, the system is designed so that the judges more-or-less get the power to decide one finallist, and the public more-or-less get the power to decide one finallist.

After that, the public then picks the winner.

I don't have a problem with there being at least one good dancer in the final. Am I alone in that?”

Yes - but the public don't get the finalist they want potentially just sloppy seconds!

And who is to decide who is the best dancer anyway - hundreds of thousands of people or 5 individuals of whom 2 aren't even proper experts anyway in the field.
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