Originally Posted by Wryip:
“Purely becaue of the rise in BARB figures since New Years Day (even before the snow came) I suspect BGT will rise again this year, X Factor has probably peaked but perhaps with a bit of controversy could rise. DoI i expect to rise also probably more than the other 2, mainly because Sundays were so strong for ITV1 before xmas and i can see this trend continuing. Im a Celeb will probably fall unless Jordan goes back in for a 3rd time or Peter goes in.
I think lets dance will rise, though strictly will fall again i think it has now passed its peak and like BB is on a slippery slope to nothing (though not for another 5 years). And the apprentice is harder to predict but with a summer airing it will probably decrease unless BBC1 change tact and place it on a Sunday or Monday when I can see it rising.”
Sundays were strong before Christmas because TXF pt2 aired on Sundays. The less than inspiring return of SCDOI last night hardly points to big numbers - but (like everything on telly these days, on ITV anyway) its ratings will depend on how much the tabloids get behind it. One "celeb" in particular should keep the tabloids happy, even if it does rather compromise the integrity of an ice-dancing contest (

) by having a one-legged contestant...
Really don't see how you can say SCD will "fall again" unless you know how the BSI are going to schedule it, who will be presenting it, who will be on the judging panel and (crucially) who is going to be on it.
As for The Apprentice, let's not forget part of it did "air in summer" last year, not finishing until June, and overlapped with BGT. With an election on May 6th, the Beeb could launch this by mid-May, although perhaps they'll want to get BGT out of the way to have a clear run. If it starts in early June, then it's going to be September presumably before the final - so it could get much better numbers at the end than ever before.
I, too, would like to see this air on Sunday or Monday. But I think it will do well, probably better than 2009, whatever day it gets.