Frankie looks furious

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tabithakitten

01-02-2010

Originally Posted by caz789:
“It's a fair point, but on reality betting the bookies don't set the odds, we do. People betting. On the betting exchange, Betfair. Largely the bookies just follow it.

There's not many people betting on this so that's why the insider betting is so obvious. I was disappointed to win a bet on Danny to be bottom two though.

But why does Danniella's popularity make her odds drift when the voting opens? Is she suddenly less popular then? Sorry, doesn't add up. It's more than just that as well.”

I know what you're saying. However, it's possible that the bookies can't really tell very much from the money that's being placed on Danniella (there may be some but not quite enough in comparison to where she is on the leaderboard) so they're having to wing it a bit (it's got to happen with events that are subject to such fickle things as human preferences) and go with their instincts (see above).

caz789

01-02-2010

Originally Posted by tabithakitten:
“I know what you're saying. However, it's possible that the bookies can't really tell very much from the money that's being placed on Danniella (there may be some but not quite enough in comparison to where she is on the leaderboard) so they're having to wing it a bit (it's got to happen with events that are subject to such fickle things as human preferences) and go with their instincts (see above).”

This is where it all kicks off

http://sports.betfair.com/?rfr=63&mi=101027960&ex=1

No bookies involved here, it's bettors betting against other bettors.

The bookies adjust their odds based on what happens here. It's this that is unregulated as well, if someone places huge bets at a bookies they could be picked up on it, but they can do what they want here and no-one cares.

caz789

01-02-2010

The odds can change from minute to minute. Fabulous on Big Brother, didn't even watch it and I won.

Danniella's odds are currently longer than Danny, who scored less and was bottom two.

Melodybear

01-02-2010

Originally Posted by LittleTinker:
“Frankie is furious? Maybe she knows how Seamans wife felt now.”

Frankie always has too much to say for herself. She seems even worse since bagging a "celeb" boyfriend. Not to feel too sorry for Mrs Seaman though as she did exactly the same to the 1st Mrs S when she nicked him!

Lilystar

01-02-2010

Originally Posted by caz789:
“This is where it all kicks off
http://sports.betfair.com/?rfr=63&mi=101027960&ex=1

No bookies involved here, it's bettors betting against other bettors.

The bookies adjust their odds based on what happens here. It's this that is unregulated as well, if someone places huge bets at a bookies they could be picked up on it, but they can do what they want here and no-one cares.”

The problem is, on a market like this on BF, the volume is small (not a huge amount of money going on), so changes in the odds stand out more.

Strictly_Irish

01-02-2010

Originally Posted by caz789:
“Mikey will win. I'm not sure Daniella is getting the votes going off her betting odds, they come in when she skates, then go out when the lines open. Same thing happened last week. She's my favourite so I hope I'm wrong.

Though Hayley did impress me tonight, this looks like a one horse race to me now...Mikey.”

The odds go in and out because her position on the leaderboard changes throughout the show.

Dancing Girl

05-02-2010

Originally Posted by Melodybear:
“Frankie always has too much to say for herself. She seems even worse since bagging a "celeb" boyfriend. Not to feel too sorry for Mrs Seaman though as she did exactly the same to the 1st Mrs S when she nicked him!”

No doubt the lovely David will treat Frankie the same way and two-time her with the next one. I just hope she does not have any kids!! Personally I believe the whole Jason thing is scripted and played for all it is worth to encourage people to vote!! Jason is a pantomine queen, Mr Bad and the public are being played as fools for falling for the whole thing.

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