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2 contestants left.....
gazb2
03-03-2010
Mikey and Hayley are the only 2 contestants left that haven't been in a Skate Off. Do you think that means that one of them will be crowned the winner of DOI ??
yohinnchild
03-03-2010
Gaynor was in the 1st SO and went on to win it - so anything is possible.

This year seems very close and changeable in terms of where contestants are finishing on the leaderboard (barring Hayley).

I still think its anyones to be honest... possibly barring Danny's
Selena
03-03-2010
Gaynor won the first series and she was in the first ever skate off.
I say that anyone could win if people vote for them.
Strictly_Irish
03-03-2010
Hayley won't win.

I actually think it'll be between Mikey & Kieron in the end.

Gary has no chance
Tiger Rose
03-03-2010
Gaynor won after being in the skate off but the other finalists that year Stefan & Bonnie had also been in skate offs. All the subsequent winners were never in a skate off. Perhaps if one of them makes it to the final without being in a skate off then a win is likely. However if both end up in a skate off and reach the final then it could be anyone's.

(Takes splinters out of bum from sitting on the fence)
Eejit
03-03-2010
Kieron might have a chance if he gets to the final, but if he's in the bottom two at all before then, I think he'll go, because he doesn't have the support of the judges. It'll depend on the public support for him up to the final, and while he might be topping the DS poll (and being bottom in the 'anti' DS poll) at the moment, as we all know that doesn't normally reflect the real world (sadly!)

Hayley I suspect won't have enough public support to win, especially once the 'anti' votes start to come into play. She'll make the final though.

Mikey could well win if he makes the final - it depends whether his fans are dedicated enough to continue vote for him, and vote for him multiple times. I don't think he'll get much support outside his existing fanbase though, but they might well be enough.

Gary doesn't exite enough people to win. He might make the final though, with the judges / producers support.

Danny doesn't seem to have much of a fanbase, so the only way he could get somewhere is if he continues to improve dramatically. Still don't see him finalling, let alone winning.

Daniella could win. If it comes down to her and Hayley, she surely will. But clearly this week demonstrated she's not a dead cert by any means. The fact that she's not on the tour means the show won't be doing her many favours, I suspect.

I'd love it if Kieron and Brianne could win , but I still think probably the most likely is Mikey.
-Sid-
03-03-2010
I'm finding the outcome of this series totally impossible to predict.

I think Danny could be the dark horse. He'll need to build on the progress he made last week though if he's to stand a chance of winning.

Gary and Hayley each need what the other has to be the full package.

Daniella and Mikey have lost their way a bit.

As for Keiron - I seem to forget he's there half the time.
Strictly_Irish
03-03-2010
Originally Posted by -Sid-:
“I'm finding the outcome of this series totally impossible to predict.

I think Danny could be the dark horse. He'll need to build on the progress he made last week though if he's to stand a chance of winning.

Gary and Hayley each need what the other has to be the full package.

Daniella and Mikey have lost their way a bit.

As for Keiron - I seem to forget he's there half the time.”

Same and none of his routines stick out but he must have come quite highly in the votes on Sunday. I suppose they did spend an awful lot of time dwelling on the injury (like they did with Mikey, I know.)

Next weeks bottom two will be very telling as to who is still in with a chance!
sweetiepie31
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by Strictly_Irish:
“Same and none of his routines stick out but he must have come quite highly in the votes on Sunday. I suppose they did spend an awful lot of time dwelling on the injury (like they did with Mikey, I know.)

Next weeks bottom two will be very telling as to who is still in with a chance!”

ooh Lou, we're not agreeing this year at all. I'm finding Gary a bit meh, whereas I love Kieron, his routines are the only ones I've watched more than once.
Ignazio
04-03-2010
We won't really know the extent of Hayley's fanbase until the couples dwindle even further. Clearly the backing for Daniella isn't holding didn't hold up last week, if it was ever as strong as we were led to believe.

After the years of Suzanne and Ray - both of whom it was alleged didn't have public support, I don't place much credence on DOI polls.

Mikey obviously does have a fairly solid fanbase - but is it enough to take him all the way through - only time will tell.

Obviously there are still those (and hats off to them) who vote on the performance of the night - hence Danny's improved vote last week - yet William Hill have him as a 20/1 outsider. As for Kieron and Gary - both should make further progress but they are both behind Hayley, Daniella (?) and Mikey (?) in the betting.

It's all still to play (or skate for).
Strictly_Irish
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by sweetiepie31:
“ooh Lou, we're not agreeing this year at all. I'm finding Gary a bit meh, whereas I love Kieron, his routines are the only ones I've watched more than once.”

Really? Hmm, I don't see it. All of his routines kind of blend into one for me.

Gary, however, I love his I'm Yours routine and What About Now and the 80s week...

Oh and he's very easy on the eye too...(look)

http://i34.photobucket.com/albums/d1...Anne/gary5.jpg

http://i34.photobucket.com/albums/d1...Anne/gary4.jpg

http://i34.photobucket.com/albums/d1...Anne/gary2.jpg

http://i34.photobucket.com/albums/d1...Anne/gary1.jpg

http://i34.photobucket.com/albums/d1...eAnne/gary.jpg - (swoon)

Plus he's replied to me on Twitter twice!

I do miss Donal though, I admit!
yohinnchild
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by Ignazio:
“We won't really know the extent of Hayley's fanbase until the couples dwindle even further. Clearly the backing for Daniella isn't holding didn't hold up last week, if it was ever as strong as we were led to believe.

After the years of Suzanne and Ray - both of whom it was alleged didn't have public support, I don't place much credence on DOI polls.
”

Ray I think was winning nearly all the DS polls last year - even the least favourite ones (Well barring Coleen)
memmh
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by Eejit:
“Daniella could win. If it comes down to her and Hayley, she surely will. But clearly this week demonstrated she's not a dead cert by any means. The fact that she's not on the tour means the show won't be doing her many favours, I suspect.”

The tour website says:

Quote:
“The first eight celebrities joining the 2010 tour have now been announced!”

So it is possible that Danniella might still be on the tour. Usually there's nine or ten celebs on tour, so it wouldn't surprise me if there's another addition or two to the line up.
mandyxxxx
04-03-2010
I don't know why everyone is so sure Hayley won't win.
So far her public support hasn't been tested, her position on the leader board means that unless she was in the bottom 2 of the public vote she couldn't be in the skate off. If she drops from top spot we may have a better idea of how the public are voting, but at the moment we simply can't tell.
I do think to make assumptions of her popularity based on her popularity here is not particularly safe. Certainly my experience of comments by friends and colleagues suggests that she may be more popular "in the real world" than she is on DS.

What we do know is that Mikey has strong public support given that the he was safe from the skate off this week despite the judges low scores. However, Emily was saved from bottom position several times, but in the end she left despite not being in bottom place, so it seems that voting patterns are still fluctuating.
Eejit
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by memmh:
“The tour website says:”

Hmm. That's a change I'm sure - it definitely used to say that was the final 8. I wonder if they've realised they've messed up a bit in some of their selections.
lach doch mal
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by mandyxxxx:
“I don't know why everyone is so sure Hayley won't win.
So far her public support hasn't been tested, her position on the leader board means that unless she was in the bottom 2 of the public vote she couldn't be in the skate off. If she drops from top spot we may have a better idea of how the public are voting, but at the moment we simply can't tell.
I do think to make assumptions of her popularity based on her popularity here is not particularly safe. Certainly my experience of comments by friends and colleagues suggests that she may be more popular "in the real world" than she is on DS.

What we do know is that Mikey has strong public support given that the he was safe from the skate off this week despite the judges low scores. However, Emily was saved from bottom position several times, but in the end she left despite not being in bottom place, so it seems that voting patterns are still fluctuating.”

I think I agree with this one. Also considering that Daniella has the biggest support on here, and is the lowest on the least favourite poll, she should definitely not have ended up in the dance off. However, in the real world, she might be less popular than on here, and the same goes for Hayley but vice versa.
memmh
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by mandyxxxx:
“What we do know is that Mikey has strong public support given that the he was safe from the skate off this week despite the judges low scores. However, Emily was saved from bottom position several times, but in the end she left despite not being in bottom place, so it seems that voting patterns are still fluctuating.”

I wonder how much of Mikey being saved from the skate off last week was due to strong public support and how much was the sympathy vote? Let's face it, Phillip & Holly couldn't have rubbed it in thicker when they kept referring to him being at physio and showing his fall several times, so people might have thought he was really badly hurt and they should vote for him so he wouldn't have to skate again that night.
Strictly_Irish
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by Eejit:
“Hmm. That's a change I'm sure - it definitely used to say that was the final 8. I wonder if they've realised they've messed up a bit in some of their selections. ”

Doubt it. They've hit it on the money with Mikey anyway, seeing as he's obviously popular. Which is what they need. Chris Fountain & Ray will be popular too. Not sure about the girls to be honest. Gaynor won't have much of a following.
Strictly_Irish
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by memmh:
“I wonder how much of Mikey being saved from the skate off last week was due to strong public support and how much was the sympathy vote? Let's face it, Phillip & Holly couldn't have rubbed it in thicker when they kept referring to him being at physio and showing his fall several times, so people might have thought he was really badly hurt and they should vote for him so he wouldn't have to skate again that night.”

I doubt much ws sympathy as he has been in danger in previous weeks and still saved.
gazb2
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by mandyxxxx:
“I don't know why everyone is so sure Hayley won't win.
So far her public support hasn't been tested, her position on the leader board means that unless she was in the bottom 2 of the public vote she couldn't be in the skate off. If she drops from top spot we may have a better idea of how the public are voting, but at the moment we simply can't tell.
I do think to make assumptions of her popularity based on her popularity here is not particularly safe. Certainly my experience of comments by friends and colleagues suggests that she may be more popular "in the real world" than she is on DS.

What we do know is that Mikey has strong public support given that the he was safe from the skate off this week despite the judges low scores. However, Emily was saved from bottom position several times, but in the end she left despite not being in bottom place, so it seems that voting patterns are still fluctuating.”

I completely agree. I don't think it's 'obvious' that Hayley won't win the show...as she is certainly popular in my workplace and college. I think she is certainly more popular with the 8 million other people that watch the show, than the 30 or so that use DS.

Also, somebody aught to tell William Hill and Bet 365 and the other betting company's....as Hayley is dead cert to win on there. In face, I've placed a rather large bet on the outcome myself.
Eejit
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by gazb2:
“Also, somebody aught to tell William Hill and Bet 365 and the other betting company's....as Hayley is dead cert to win on there. In face, I've placed a rather large bet on the outcome myself.”

The bookies said Daniella had no chance of being in the bottom two last week though - they don't always get it right.
yohinnchild
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by Eejit:
“The bookies said Daniella had no chance of being in the bottom two last week though - they don't always get it right. ”

Exactly...

According to the bookies Dr Hilary should've gone every week he was there and the winner of several reality shows would be different if the bookies were correct...

Rhydian would've won X Factor 4
Samanda would've won BB8
Mikey would've won BB9
Verne would've won CBB6
Amy would've won BBCH

The bookies by and large are about as accurate in Reality TV as the DS polls
Ignazio
04-03-2010
Originally Posted by yohinnchild:
“Exactly...

According to the bookies Dr Hilary should've gone every week he was there and the winner of several reality shows would be different if the bookies were correct...

Rhydian would've won X Factor 4
Samanda would've won BB8
Mikey would've won BB9
Verne would've won CBB6
Amy would've won BBCH

The bookies by and large are about as accurate in Reality TV as the DS polls”

Am I missing something?

I don't watch any of these.
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