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This weeks Survation Report, Good for Matt & Rebecca, not so Mary |
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#1 |
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: In Austerity
Posts: 18,553
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This weeks Survation Report, Good for Matt & Rebecca, not so Mary
http://www.scribd.com/doc/40470296/X...Week-4-Preview Quote:
Mary Byrne has lost considerable support after her performance last week. She’s now unfortunately a candidate that may not make the final unless she can mount a “turnaround” performance tonight.
Rebecca Ferguson has considerably impressed the public with her performance last week. She’s gone from 10.7% in the favourite act question to 19.7% Matt Cardle’s support is building consistently each week. He is now up to 44.8% from 36% last week |
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#2 |
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Join Date: Jun 2008
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Quote:
You can see quite clearly in the index above
No you can't quite clearly see anything. It looks like a plate of multi coloured spaghetti.
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#3 |
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Kessingland, Suffolk
Posts: 85,615
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Well, people are starting to realise that Mary is a one-trick pony
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#4 |
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Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 15,979
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Clip clop Clip clop
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#5 |
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,235
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Quote:
Well, people are starting to realise that Mary is a one-trick pony
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#6 |
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,941
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Sample size is just too small to be very representative really.
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#7 |
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: The Mole Inn, Toot Baldon
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Quote:
Sample size is just too small to be very representative really.
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#8 |
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Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 2,327
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Matt is way ahead at the min, and likely to win at this stage. Not keen on his song choice this week though. Even if he does it well.
But, If they are doing the songs as suggested... Although I can't see Mary going this week, she is going to diminish rapidly with COULD IT BE MAGIC, even if she sings it well. Such a wishy-washy song. If Rebecca pulls off WICKED GAME, with her tone and making it her own, she's only going to go climb. I would be stunned if a song like that put her out this week, even if she messed it up! Cher could actually be exciting to see how she is going to pull off a tough song as STAY. Holy s--t! Paijie could do well with BACK TO BLACK this week. That would have been the obvious safe one to have given Rebecca to have kept her in. I'm really concerned for Trayc this week; her song choice is not my personal favourite to be honest. Maybe others like it? The two groups have lively songs, but are a bit wet. |
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#9 |
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Join Date: Nov 2008
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I thought that last week they suddenly decided to only have a bottom 2 and not a bottom 3 to save someone in particular.
I wasn't here to read all the conspiracy theories, would have loved to though. The producers know that anyone who is almost at the bottom of the voting at this stage will lose the public's confidence and faith as a contender to win. I thought they could have been saving Mary, or maybe Katie, or even Wagner
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#10 |
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Dublin
Posts: 51,664
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Those percentages look highly suspect : at week 8 last year,the poll topper in the actual voting wasn't even getting close to 44%,never mind at week 3 (and there are still 11 acts left this year).
Matt definitely topped the poll last week,but it would have been with a much lower percentage. |
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#11 |
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Join Date: Nov 2002
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Quote:
I thought that last week they suddenly decided to only have a bottom 2 and not a bottom 3 to save someone in particular.
I wasn't here to read all the conspiracy theories, would have loved to though. The producers know that anyone who is almost at the bottom of the voting at this stage will lose the public's confidence and faith as a contender to win. I thought they could have been saving Mary, or maybe Katie, or even Wagner ![]() ![]() Definitely don't think it was Mary....the Daily Star claims she finished second in the voting last Saturday. |
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#12 |
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Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 11,736
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Quote:
Those percentages look highly suspect : at week 8 last year,the poll topper in the actual voting wasn't even getting close to 44%,never mind at week 3 (and there are still 11 acts left this year).
Matt definitely topped the poll last week,but it would have been with a much lower percentage. |
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#13 |
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Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 2,327
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Quote:
Those percentages look highly suspect : at week 8 last year,the poll topper in the actual voting wasn't even getting close to 44%,never mind at week 3 (and there are still 11 acts left this year).
Matt definitely topped the poll last week,but it would have been with a much lower percentage. These are actually more in line and more consistent with a lot of polls, although we don't know the full picture and never will until the end of the competition. |
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#14 |
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Join Date: Jul 2009
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Quote:
No you can't quite clearly see anything. It looks like a plate of multi coloured spaghetti.
certainly does....too many red lines for different contestants. |
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#15 |
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Dublin
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Quote:
One thing that the polls can't get right is that some folk multi vote, probably particularly for the younger acts like 1D and Cher. Unless polls factor in disposable income and credulousness, they're going to be inaccurate.
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#16 |
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Join Date: Jun 2010
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Quote:
The percentages look way too skewed here : Matt and Rebecca have 65% of the votes between them.There is not a chance in hell that is happening in the actual vote,not with 11 acts left in the competition.
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#17 |
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Dublin
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I agree with this - but I think the multi vote thing is true and alson I suspect many casual watchers like them without voting whereas the supporters of the younger ones are more active which I thnk means Cher's vote in particular will be a lot higher than suggested here - she is way up on youtube hits for each weeks songs
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#18 |
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Join Date: Nov 2008
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Quote:
My guess it was to save Belle Amie : others thought it was to save Katie or Cher
![]() Definitely don't think it was Mary....the Daily Star claims she finished second in the voting last Saturday. ![]() wtf at Mary coming second. I'm not a Mary fan though, her previous performances have been good but overly-hyped, whereas last week she was just an empty shell going through the motions, to me anyway.
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#19 |
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Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 11,736
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Quote:
The percentages look way too skewed here : Matt and Rebecca have 65% of the votes between them.There is not a chance in hell that is happening in the actual vote,not with 11 acts left in the competition.
My complaint is that the actual XF voting system isn't fair or representative -- it's based on fanaticism and ability to pay, hence perhaps the Wagner effect. This poll is inaccurate because it gains a truer record of respondents' opinions than the XF system. |
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#20 |
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Join Date: Oct 2010
Posts: 2,327
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Quote:
lol Katie and Cher, the usual suspects.
![]() wtf at Mary coming second. I'm not a Mary fan though, her previous performances have been good but overly-hyped, whereas last week she was just an empty shell going through the motions, to me anyway. ![]() Not to mention "the leak" coming a few days after Louis foolishly blurted out he didn't think Mary could win, along with the comments from Simon and increasing internet opinion about the same old thing, which Danni had already been suggesting from week 2... |
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#21 |
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: The Mole Inn, Toot Baldon
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Quote:
Interesting though the the ACTUAL star newspaper DID NOT officially report Mary was second in the polls; it was only tacked on onto some random post on the online site and has been given little credibility, more a stunt by Louis Walsh, who is affiliated with the Star in terms of publicity.
Not to mention "the leak" coming a few days after Louis foolishly blurted out he didn't think Mary could win, along with the comments from Simon and increasing internet opinion about the same old thing, which Danni had already been suggesting from week 2... |
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