• TV
  • MOVIES
  • MUSIC
  • SHOWBIZ
  • SOAPS
  • GAMING
  • TECH
  • FORUMS
  • Follow
    • Follow
    • facebook
    • twitter
    • google+
    • instagram
    • youtube
Hearst Corporation
  • TV
  • MOVIES
  • MUSIC
  • SHOWBIZ
  • SOAPS
  • GAMING
  • TECH
  • FORUMS
Forums
  • Register
  • Login
  • Forums
  • TV
  • Strictly Come Dancing
From fourth place to last - The Maths?
<<
<
4 of 5
>>
>
Smokeychan1
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by StrictlyRed:
“That is true, but I was just answering the OP's question about other dancers who may have dropped from a seemingly "safe" positon”

Yes, that point was very interesting
Dr. Jan Itor
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by Three Left Feet:
“I see where you're coming from, but even though voter numbers increase as rounds progress, there would still have been a large proportion of viewers who didn't vote for Tom. Whether these people prefer rules to be re-written or prefer a small proportion of viewers to have no chance of getting the result they wanted is anyone's guess. (Watching Brendan's face as the "fudge" was announced on my kids' 2008 highlights DVD was a classic. I think he would have preferred the rule not to be re-written!!)

Post Jimi, there seems to be a strong groundswell of support for the old rules re points allocated in the case of a tie...”

We can at least agree that Brendan's face at the announcement is a classic Strictly moment!
Three Left Feet
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by Dr. Jan Itor:
“We can at least agree that Brendan's face at the announcement is a classic Strictly moment! ”

Indeed. He looked like he was trying to cope with an attack of piles whilst being nagged by his Mother In Law...
mindyann
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by Smokeychan1:
“Well, although the beeb don't financially benefit directly from the voting profits, it is still in their best interest to have as many of us invested enough to want to pick up the phone.

The "shock" exit wasnt actually a shock and I am sure that while Dancing Girl wasnt correct about the actual money from calls, there was a certain amount of stroking involved to arrive at Saturday's result. The amount of tied scores, the diversity of dances etc. Infact in IanCam's report both Len and another judge (Bruno, I think) predicted a shocker for the weekend. The two judges, one could say were responsible for so many tied at the bottom ”

I think Len and Bruno were predicting a shock result would be 'Anyone but Ann' ... when in actual fact the real shock result would, actually, have been Ann ...
mossy2103
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by Smokeychan1:
“Well, although the beeb don't financially benefit directly from the voting profits, it is still in their best interest to have as many of us invested enough to want to pick up the phone.”

How so? If they make no profit, and if they don't publish the voting figures (even to demonstrate how "popular" phone-voting is), I am at a loss to see how it is in their best interest.
Doktor Dances
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by Maggie 55:
“There is no surprise in this change in the voting system.

The BBC were keen for another JS 'Story' this year so that they could generate publicity and controversy and help compete with the XF. They saw what happened with the coverage of JS and subsequently Jedward on the XF and figured this was the way to go.

They obviously chose Widdecombe with this in mind and, knowing she would likely be bottom of the judges votes every week, changed the voting system to ensure that it would be far easier for someone at the bottom of the judges table to survive, i.e. her.

Simples!

Like Cowell, on XF with Wagner, they are treating the GBP as malleable simpletons. Can't blame them, there are enough out there to make it worth their while.

The biggest laugh is that a fair proportion of the people voting for these people think they are the 'rebels' poking the producers in the eye.




Maggie”



I think you've muddled two parts of your argument here.

The viewing public get into a frenzy when "the wrong ones get through". So why would they still be phoning for Ann whilst simultaneously wanting "the joke to end" ?
Doktor Dances
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by mossy2103:
“How so? If they make no profit, and if they don't publish the voting figures (even to demonstrate how "popular" phone-voting is), I am at a loss to see how it is in their best interest.”

How many people would argue for an end to the licence fee if prime-time BBC Saturday Night entertainment was boring?

If SCD finished, or was a purists Come Dancing Revival, you'd be sure as hell watching this forum full of complaints about "boring BBC One" and "axe the licence fee"

So having a popular (with the general, casual audience, not just dance purists) programme on BBC One is exactly the justification for Ann Widdecombe
mossy2103
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by Doktor Dances:
“How many people would argue for an end to the licence fee if prime-time BBC Saturday Night entertainment was boring?”

But that has little to do with

it is still in their best interest to have as many of us invested enough to want to pick up the phone.

Indeed, it is a reasonable assumption that those who phone will be viewers anyway, so regardless as to the number who do vote (numbers that we are not told) the entertainment will be the same, the ratings will be the same. If the BBC wanted to capitalise on the phone vote, they would be publishing the figures and would be making an effort to big up and prolong the voting (over a day or a week) rather than getting it done & dusted over an hour or less.

Quote:
“If SCD finished, or was a purists Come Dancing Revival, you'd be sure as hell watching this forum full of complaints about "boring BBC One" and "axe the licence fee"

So having a popular (with the general, casual audience, not just dance purists) programme on BBC One is exactly the justification for Ann Widdecombe”

Whilst you have a point in itself, I think that you are confusing two rather separate issues.
Smokeychan1
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by mindyann:
“I think Len and Bruno were predicting a shock result would be 'Anyone but Ann' ... when in actual fact the real shock result would, actually, have been Ann ...”

Quite, which is why I said "The "shock" exit wasnt actually a shock."

Originally Posted by mossy2103:
“How so? If they make no profit, and if they don't publish the voting figures (even to demonstrate how "popular" phone-voting is), I am at a loss to see how it is in their best interest.”

Because the show's success depends on audience participation.
mossy2103
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by Smokeychan1:
“Because the show's success depends on audience participation.”

10million+ watch, how many vote? Maybe the presumed importance of the audience participation aspect is rather over-egging the pudding? As I indicated earlier, if the audience participation was of great importance, then the BBC would be proactive in lengthening the voting time allocated.

I think that the success (especially this year) is more reliant upon the celebs featured and the format in general. Audience participation is at best minimal, except perhaps on a passive basis (people watch to see the results of the vote rather than to take part themselves).

But this is going further and further off-topic.
Smokeychan1
09-11-2010
Originally Posted by mossy2103:
“10million+ watch, how many vote? Maybe the presumed importance of the audience participation aspect is rather over-egging the pudding? As I indicated earlier, if the audience participation was of great importance, then the BBC would be proactive in lengthening the voting time allocated.”

I shall quote myself again -

Quote:
“it is still in their best interest to have as many of us invested enough to want to pick up the phone.”

Whether we choose to pick up the phone on any given week is unimportant, so to is the time span allowed for the vote. Some people never vote, some people vote every week, some people vote in the final only, but every step of the way, the remaining contestants comprise of those chosen by the audience at home.

You may think I overestimate the value of audience participation but I think you seriously underestimate it. Put it this way, how many would watch if we couldnt vote at all?
Gill P
09-11-2010
I only know a couple of people who vote, and I don't know anyone who would support Ann!
VintageWhine
10-11-2010
Hi folks, this is my first post in a DS forum - I saw that people were talking about the scoring system, and couldn't resist joining in!

I contributed to the BBC forums last year (using a different name), mainly on this very subject and would judge the DS discussion here to be generally a lot higher in quality (hope you don't mind my saying this).

Last year, I couldn't understand why the BBC had chosen such an inferior system, and I put forward (to no avail, of course!) another method which was similar, but which was (usually) going to preserve the greatest differentiation between worst and best. Not that it matters now, but this is what it would have meant for Saturday's results:

Current system: 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 5, 5, 4, 3

My system: 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 3, 3, 3, 2, 1

Academic, now, with no dance-off - but WHY have the BBC retained last year's scoring system, when if they really had wanted to return to the original methods (as they have said), they would have reinstated the original scoring system? Which would have yielded the following:

Original system: 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 5, 5, 2, 1

Maybe this was oversight, or maybe they realised they had in place a system which favoured the "joke" couples?

By the way, someone mentioned that the DWTS methods might be better. DON'T GIVE THE PROGRAM-MAKERS IDEAS! - there would be precious little to differentiate the top from the middle, from the bottom (especially with the judges scoring as they do - CRH excepted). What would happen would be that, not only would the middling couples be in jeopardy, but the top couples as well - so there'd be upsets galore (as has been demonstrated by DWTS results, seemingly).

On a slightly different tack, and not that this is something I'd want to happen, but I wouldn't be surprised if Ann makes it to the final (possibly winning??!), and I'm not sure that changing the scoring system would affect this anyway.
Last edited by VintageWhine : 10-11-2010 at 09:32
Leatherface!!!
10-11-2010
Originally Posted by VintageWhine:
“Hi folks, this is my first post in a DS forum - I saw that people were talking about the scoring system, and couldn't resist joining in!

I contributed to the BBC forums last year (using a different name), mainly on this very subject and would judge the DS discussion here to be generally a lot higher in quality (hope you don't mind my saying this).

Last year, I couldn't understand why the BBC had chosen such an inferior system, and I put forward (to no avail, of course!) another method which was similar, but which was (usually) going to preserve the greatest differentiation between worst and best. Not that it matters now, but this is what it would have meant for Saturday's results:

Current system: 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 5, 5, 4, 3

My system: 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 3, 3, 3, 2, 1

Academic, now, with no dance-off - but WHY have the BBC retained last year's scoring system, when if they really had wanted to return to the original methods (as they have said), they would have reinstated the original scoring system? Which would have yielded the following:

Original system: 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 5, 5, 2, 1

Maybe this was oversight, or maybe they realised they had in place a system which favoured the "joke" couples?

By the way, someone mentioned that the DWTS methods might be better. DON'T GIVE THE PROGRAM-MAKERS IDEAS! - there would be precious little to differentiate the top from the middle, from the bottom (especially with the judges scoring as they do - CRH excepted). What would happen would be that, not only would the middling couples be in jeopardy, but the top couples as well - so there'd be upsets galore (as has been demonstrated by DWTS results, seemingly).

On a slightly different tack, and not that this is something I'd want to happen, but I wouldn't be surprised if Ann makes it to the final (possibly winning??!), and I'm not sure that changing the scoring system would affect this anyway.”


They still use that orignal system, the fact was that 3 people had the same score, so they all had the same mark. If for example Gavin go one more mark then Patsey who in return got one more than felcity, the scores woudl of been: -

Gavin - 5
Patsey - 4
Felicty - 3
Scoot - 2
Ann - 1
Kmc1978
10-11-2010
Originally Posted by Leatherface!!!:
“They still use that orignal system, the fact was that 3 people had the same score, so they all had the same mark. If for example Gavin go one more mark then Patsey who in return got one more than felcity, the scores woudl of been: -

Gavin - 5
Patsey - 4
Felicty - 3
Scoot - 2
Ann - 1”

Just double checked on iplayer... scott got 4 points, ann got 3 so they're still using last years scoring system
Annsyre
10-11-2010
Originally Posted by Kmc1978:
“Just double checked on iplayer... scott got 4 points, ann got 3 so they're still using last years scoring system”

Thank you. I am still trying to comprehend it all and I just cannot understand why it so complicated.
Three Left Feet
10-11-2010
Originally Posted by Annsyre:
“Thank you. I am still trying to comprehend it all and I just cannot understand why it so complicated.”

I think it's complicated because with 10 pairs left, there are 3,628,800 potential combinations of judges' ranking and phone vote ranking and that's before you start on ties!

Be thankful, though. At the start, there were 14 couples and 87,178,291,200 potential combinations!

Only 362,880 to think through this week, though.
Kmc1978
10-11-2010
Originally Posted by Three Left Feet:
“I think it's complicated because with 10 pairs left, there are 3,628,800 potential combinations of judges' ranking and phone vote ranking and that's before you start on ties!

Be thankful, though. At the start, there were 14 couples and 87,178,291,200 potential combinations!

Only 362,880 to think through this week, though. ”

My head's just exploded
Gill P
10-11-2010
Did you take your shoes and socks off your three left feet to work that out? If not, brilliant!
Sallyforth
10-11-2010
Maths ain't my strong point so please be gentle...but I see no need to have scores (or votes) converted into points, merely placings.

Even if two or more couples are tied (and even if ties occur in more than one place on the board) what is the likelihood of the public vote in isolation producing any ties as well? Surely then the aggregate of judge and public placings should result in overall rankings without any ties at the bottom, aside from some astoundingly unlikely fluke? (or am I missing something)??? And if it did then it could surely be agreed in advance what method of splitting them?
Three Left Feet
10-11-2010
Originally Posted by Gill P:
“Did you take your shoes and socks off your three left feet to work that out? If not, brilliant!”

It's surprisingly easy...

There's 6 combinations with 3 couples (3*2*1)

24 with 4 (4*3*2*1)

120 with 5 (5*4*3*2*1)

etc.
Three Left Feet
10-11-2010
Originally Posted by Sallyforth:
“Maths ain't my strong point so please be gentle...but I see no need to have scores (or votes) converted into points, merely placings.

Even if two or more couples are tied (and even if ties occur in more than one place on the board) what is the likelihood of the public vote in isolation producing any ties as well? Surely then the aggregate of judge and public placings should result in overall rankings without any ties at the bottom, aside from some astoundingly unlikely fluke? (or am I missing something)??? And if it did then it could surely be agreed in advance what method of splitting them?”

A tie on the public vote would be very unlikely, as you'd need exactly the same number of votes, unlike ont he judges' vote where 3 of the judges basically only use the 7, 8 and 9 paddles most Saturdays.
hiawatha
10-11-2010
Most people are not asking for a dance purists competition.
However there's a lot of difference between a strictly dancing comp and the addition of comedy acts with zero dance talent at all.
VintageWhine
11-11-2010
Originally Posted by Sallyforth:
“Maths ain't my strong point so please be gentle...but I see no need to have scores (or votes) converted into points, merely placings.

Even if two or more couples are tied (and even if ties occur in more than one place on the board) what is the likelihood of the public vote in isolation producing any ties as well? Surely then the aggregate of judge and public placings should result in overall rankings without any ties at the bottom, aside from some astoundingly unlikely fluke? (or am I missing something)??? And if it did then it could surely be agreed in advance what method of splitting them?”

Well, you're absolutely right that placings are at the heart of the system, and, if you didn't have to combine a public vote with the judges placings there wouldn't be any need for "points".

But when there is a public vote to consider, you need to convert the judges' placings and the public placings into "points" in order to be able to aggregate them. And this would be totally straightforward, in the absence of tied judges' scores (you're right, the public vote is highly unlikely to yield a public tie - though the program-makers will no doubt (?!) have plans for this contingency).

Of course, all too often we do get tied judges'scores, so we need to know how to allocate points in a manner which is fair - and which preserves the power of the judges' scores.

I'll illustrate two possibilities using an extreme example. Suppose that on Saturday, nine of the ten couples got judges' scores of 30, and the other one got 16 (naming no names!). You could organise the judges' points as follows:

10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 1

or

10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 9

Now, in the first example, the range of judges' points is the full 10, while the second example is 2. Don't forget that the points represent placings, so in the second example we've reduced the number of placings to 2. I hope you can recognise that this has reduced the power of the judges by a factor of 5, and the result of the aggregation of judges' and public scores will be almost totally biased in favour of the public. And all because of tied judges' scores.

Unfortunately, it is the second method which is currently being used (because it's a hangover from when there were dance-offs - but that's another story). They should be using the first method, of course.

I mentioned the DWTS methods, and these don't have the concept of placings, just using the judges' scores and public votes. This sounds great in principle, but only if the judges' marks are as widely differentiated as they should be (i.e. using the full range from 4 to 40). And of course, they're not, and this effectively ends up with reduced judges' influence over the end result, and so would be a recipe for disahster!

By the way, in the event of a tie after aggregating judges' and public points (i.e. placings), the public vote wins the day.
VintageWhine
11-11-2010
I've just seen my last post "in the flesh", so to speak, and it doesn't 'alf look daunting! (It's not, actually.)

Please tell me if I'm being boring (or if I'm being helpful, I suppose).
<<
<
4 of 5
>>
>
VIEW DESKTOP SITE TOP

JOIN US HERE

  • Facebook
  • Twitter

Hearst Corporation

Hearst Corporation

DIGITAL SPY, PART OF THE HEARST UK ENTERTAINMENT NETWORK

© 2015 Hearst Magazines UK is the trading name of the National Magazine Company Ltd, 72 Broadwick Street, London, W1F 9EP. Registered in England 112955. All rights reserved.

  • Terms & Conditions
  • Privacy Policy
  • Cookie Policy
  • Complaints
  • Site Map