Originally Posted by D.M.N.:
“Note - for the 2010 stats, HD is excluded as one figure did not make the Top 10, ITV1 HD chart however the basis of the calculation remains the same
Looking at the respective year-on-year rises for 2010, I see the Main Show averaged 10.374m while the Results Show averaged 9.75m. The Final last year averaged 12.83m, a 23.7% increase on the average above or a 31.6% increase. However, as the Final last year was one entire show, that percentage increase is invalid, so we've got to go back to the 2009 final performance and results show to see the uplift on the Semi Finals.
The 2009 semi finals averaged 13.62m. The Main Final show averaged 16.36m, the Results show averaged 18.29m. Respectively, that is a 20.1% increase and a 34.3% increase.
Now, therefore an average increase of 21.9% and 32.95% respectively. Still with me? Good.
So far, and using the ratings posted by DS and those on the previous page, the Main Show has averaged 9.897m while the Results Show has averaged 9.39m. Overall, that is an average of 9.6435m.
I am therefore predicting for tonight:
19:00 to 21:00 - Main Show: 11.8m
21:30 to 22:00 - Results Show: 12.8m
Having done all of that, I think they'd be disappointment if the Results Show rating came in at 12.8m. What do you guys think?”
Good analysis there D.M.N.
I think that looks a little bit high for the performances and a little bit low for the results. I think we're looking at just above 11m for the performances and just above 13m for the results, peaking at ~15m. Predictions:
Football: 5.8m (overall coverage)
BGT Main Show: 11.3m
Operastar: 7.4m
BGT Results: 13.2m
SYTYCD Performances: 2.5m
Doctor Who: 4.7m
Who Dares Wins: 3.2m
Casualty: 3.5m
SYTYCD Results: 2.4m
Live At The Apollo: 2.2m
Comedy Roadshow: 4.6m (clever scheduling there)
Originally Posted by C14E:
“I think ITV will be pleased with BGT this year. The later auditions and live shows have been very similar to last year which is pretty much what I said they'd be looking for before the series. Given that some of the live shows haven't been up to much (didn't see last night but Wednesday & Thursday were poor) I think the ratings are pretty encouraging. And it seems that it's all set up should Simon leave entirely - The Hoff seems happy to take over the role of a more demanding judge. I think the 3 person panel would probably have worked quite well together this week. I still think the indications are that the week long stripped format is no longer required.”
It's been a mixed week quality wise, as Monday's show was good, Tuesday's was mediocre, whilst Wednesday's and Thursday's were pretty awful. Last night's was really good though and easily the best of the week, so it hasn't exactly been consistent. I think ITV will be happy with the week and the series overall, as unlike last year it hasn't gone down every night, and has remained consistently in the 9-10m area (bar Wednesday's results for obvious reasons). The judges have worked well and I think all 3 should return next year, and Cowell isn't really needed. They need less joke acts though, as that's been a problem for a couple of years now. The US show generally has 1-2 per show, and they have 12 acts per show rather than 8, so a few over the week would be better. The novelty has worn off the stripped format and I agree it isn't needed now (and yes I realise I keep saying that...

).
Originally Posted by D.M.N.:
“Britain's Got Talent - Overnight Final Ratings
2007 - 11.0m (44%) *peak: 12.1m (46%) and 10.6m (45%) *peak: 11.2m (49%)
2008 - 11.0m (51%) *peak: 13.0m (57%) and 13.1m (55%) *peak: 13.7m (57%)
2009 - 15.3m (71%) *peak: 18.0m (75%) and 17.3m (68%) *peak: 19.2m (72%)
2010 - 12.3m (55%) *peak: 15.0m (61%)
2007 and 2008 peak's are 15-minute; 2009 and 2010 peak's are 5-minute. Note, the overnights that come out tomorrow first thing will have the 15-minute peaks; last year's 15-minute peak was ~13.8m.”
I'll add the 5 minute peaks for 2007 and 2008:
2007 - Performances: 12.7m, Results: 11.9m
2008 - Performances: 14.0m, Results: 14.4m