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  • Britain's Got Talent
No change for Britain’s Got Talent Odds
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trevordoe
03-06-2011
Britain’s Got Talent final odds are in and tonight’s show hasn’t really changed anything with Ronan still being backed as the outright winner followed by New Bounce then Razy.

Any thoughts on the odds or who you think will win rather than who you would like to win?

Britain’s Got Talent Final Odds 2011
belfastkid
03-06-2011
Anyone who bets on this or X-Factor results are insane.

Betting is usually reserved for a chance outcome no? Not a manipulation.
threecheeses
03-06-2011
If Jai sings some really emotional song about mountains, saving the earth, the rainforest, world peace, second chances, heroes and kittens (no idea if there is such a song) he could be in with a shot, might be worth a punt.
Last Resort
03-06-2011
I want Les to win sadly not going to happen because of what we already know.
trevordoe
03-06-2011
Originally Posted by belfastkid:
“Anyone who bets on this or X-Factor results are insane.

Betting is usually reserved for a chance outcome no? Not a manipulation.”

Well I did bet on Leona in X factor and won. Forgone conclusion I know, but think you have to place your bets early to stand any chance of making any real profit.
Samthefootball
03-06-2011
Originally Posted by Last Resort:
“I want Les to win sadly not going to happen because of what we already know.”

What do we already know. That the article was made up. if you believe this you are stupid. There was also somebody on twitter who said some horrible things about ronan and his family.
cantos
03-06-2011
Jai at 7/1 looks a good bet
trevordoe
03-06-2011
Originally Posted by cantos:
“Jai at 7/1 looks a good bet”

Got to admit, he's my favourite and I was lucky enough to get 12/1 after his audition. Fingers crossed
lulu g
04-06-2011
I think the top three will be Razy, Jai, and Ronan, probably in that order.
Videostar
04-06-2011
Razy or Jean to win.

Im not backing the kid or the out of sync out of tune boy band New Bounce.
Mandark
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by belfastkid:
“Anyone who bets on this or X-Factor results are insane.

Betting is usually reserved for a chance outcome no? Not a manipulation.”

BGT often gets surprise results, especially if you bet on top 3 semi and final placings. I think Razy's general appeal across the age groups could give him the win. As others have said many people refuse to vote for child singers and we haven't had one win yet.
lovecat86
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by Mandark:
“BGT often gets surprise results, especially if you bet on top 3 semi and final placings. I think Razy's general appeal across the age groups could give him the win. As others have said many people refuse to vote for child singers and we haven't had one win yet.”

Indeed. Was Connie Talbot (YUCK!) tipped to win her year? What was the general feeling about George Sampson?
sexysusy
04-06-2011
Usually the odds are quite accurate with regards to the actual results. However I seem to remember Diversity being 16/1 the year they won so the bookies don't always get it right.
Ronan Parke is favourite at 8/11 and New Bounce second favourite at 9/2. In my opinion they have been overhyped by Simon and as they are not absolute certs I think it's worth having a bet on the likes of Jai at 13/2, Razy at 8/1 and even Les Gibson at 16/1.
Mandark
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by lovecat86:
“Indeed. Was Connie Talbot (YUCK!) tipped to win her year? What was the general feeling about George Sampson?”

Paul Potts was favourite in 2007 because of the global attention he got. Connie was his only serious threat.

Faryl was the bookies early favourite in 2008 it was only in the run up to the final that you could see happy go lucky George Sampson winning. Masses of teens were following him around. Andrew Johnston being his mate picked up some of the glory too hence third place.

In 2009 SuBo was favourite until the day of the final when the online Diversity campaigns began.

In 2010, a very poor year, Spellbound were favourites and never looked like losing.

Look at the top 3 over the years. Dancers/body performers pull in the votes more than the singers do when it comes to the favourites. It may be because singing on live TV is much riskier as it's easy to miss a note or two and it's obvious to the viewers. Dancing is easier as even if you screw up slightly most people won't notice.
2007
1. Paul Potts - singer
No other official placings.

2008
1. George Sampson - dancer
2. Signature - dancers
3. Andrew Johnston - singer

2009
1. Diversity - dance group
2. Susan Boyle - singer
3. Julian Smith - sax player

2010
1. Spellbound - acrobats
2. Twist and Pulse - dancers
3. Kieran Gaffney - drummer boy
Mandark
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by sexysusy:
“Usually the odds are quite accurate with regards to the actual results. However I seem to remember Diversity being 16/1 the year they won so the bookies don't always get it right.
Ronan Parke is favourite at 8/11 and New Bounce second favourite at 9/2. In my opinion they have been overhyped by Simon and as they are not absolute certs I think it's worth having a bet on the likes of Jai at 13/2, Razy at 8/1 and even Les Gibson at 16/1.”

I think Razy will continue the winning trend of dancers/body performers. The only problem I see is his Matrix routine is so good that it may make his final performance seem like an anti-climax. But he's so good, I think he'll pull it off. And 8-1 or so is great odds.
Black Dagger
04-06-2011
I know I'm not supposed to like failure but I'd love it if New Bounce are off tonight and come crashing down so they don't stand a chance of placing in the top 3.
joshNOM
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by Black Dagger:
“I know I'm not supposed to like failure but I'd love it if New Bounce are off tonight and come crashing down so they don't stand a chance of placing in the top 3.”

This would make my day. Wow, i'm harsh
I reckon Ronan & Razy stand the best chances of winning.
Unless someone pulls it out the bag.
Black Dagger
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by joshNOM:
“This would make my day. Wow, i'm harsh
I reckon Ronan & Razy stand the best chances of winning.
Unless someone pulls it out the bag.”

Yeah last year I thought Paul Burling had a genuine chance of being in the top 3 but his 'song' let him down and I knew that was the end for him, so I'm hoping the same happens to New Bounce tonight .
chloedancer
04-06-2011
On the advice of a friend of mine,I put 5 euros on New bounce to win at 18/1 near the end of their semi final performance.1 minute and 1 simon cowell comment full of praise later.they were 3/1......That highlights how highly bookies regard Simons ability to tell voters what to do
DinkyDee
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by belfastkid:
“Anyone who bets on this or X-Factor results are insane.

Betting is usually reserved for a chance outcome no? Not a manipulation.”

I bet on X factor and BGT. Have made a fair bit of money off each, every year. The game is to guess the manipulation. Like somebody else said - New bounce were 20/1 before their performance so I stuck some money on it, because Simon was very likely to give them good praise plus their audition seemed set-up to make them the 'comeback kids' -they were 3/1 afterwards. It's quite easy to predicte when you know the way Simon Cowell and his shows work. Last year was tricky as Spellbound were hot favourites the whole way through so I just concentrated mainly on the semi-finals. but on the whole, if you study the odds and voting trends for a while you can make a good shot at getting it right
DinkyDee
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by lovecat86:
“Indeed. Was Connie Talbot (YUCK!) tipped to win her year? What was the general feeling about George Sampson?”

I cant remember connie's year but she was very popular.

What I remember about George Sampson he was not the favourite but was around 7/1 before the finals. However when he did his final performance his odds sunk to 33/1 - a good time to stick money on him Also Signature were 25/1 during that week so another good time to put down some money. Faryl was favourite but she came 5th. (or 6th?)
Season 74
04-06-2011
66/1 for James Hobley If i was near a bookmakers i'd have a go on that. It all comes down to running order though. I'm guessing it hasn't been announced.
DinkyDee
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by Season 74:
“66/1 for James Hobley If i was near a bookmakers i'd have a go on that. It all comes down to running order though. I'm guessing it hasn't been announced.”

Yes a running order would help. Not sure how easy it will be to find out. I would imagine they will need to break up the singers so Michael Collings on early. New bounce mid-way. Ronan almost last. Razy towards the end as he was on last night he is still fresh in peoples mind so after new bounce. therfore James, as a dance act also, Id put him 3rd or 4th.
Season 74
04-06-2011
True. The problem they have this year is there are so many good acts you have to put 1 or 2 of them really early which pretty much ends their chances of winning. It'd be fairer to put Ronan early because at least he has a solid fan base already.
Butterflies
04-06-2011
Originally Posted by Season 74:
“True. The problem they have this year is there are so many good acts you have to put 1 or 2 of them really early which pretty much ends their chances of winning. It'd be fairer to put Ronan early because at least he has a solid fan base already.”

If I had it my way, I would put the people who were on Monday first and then Tuesday second and so forth - Since the people on Monday had more time to practice.
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