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New Guardian ICM Poll - Tories ahead, Labour down 3% and LDs up 4%
Interesting new poll - with surprising results.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2011/jul/18/phone-hacking-guardian-icm-poll
"The phone-hacking crisis has so far done little to shift attitudes to political leaders and their parties, a Guardian/ICM poll suggests. A small recovery in Ed Miliband's personal rating has not been matched by a rise in Labour support.
Instead, the Liberal Democrats appeared to have gained most, with party support up four points to 16%. That is the highest in an ICM poll since March, and also higher than in recent polls, whose different methodology typically shows a higher Labour and low Lib Dem share than the long-running Guardian/ICM series.
This month's rise in Lib Dem support has come at Labour's expense, with the party dropping three points to 36%.
This move, not yet confirmed by other polls, has the effect of giving the Conservatives, unchanged on 37%, a one-point lead. Only one other poll this year, also from ICM in March, has shown the Conservatives ahead. Other smaller parties are on a combined 11%."
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2011/jul/18/phone-hacking-guardian-icm-poll
"The phone-hacking crisis has so far done little to shift attitudes to political leaders and their parties, a Guardian/ICM poll suggests. A small recovery in Ed Miliband's personal rating has not been matched by a rise in Labour support.
Instead, the Liberal Democrats appeared to have gained most, with party support up four points to 16%. That is the highest in an ICM poll since March, and also higher than in recent polls, whose different methodology typically shows a higher Labour and low Lib Dem share than the long-running Guardian/ICM series.
This month's rise in Lib Dem support has come at Labour's expense, with the party dropping three points to 36%.
This move, not yet confirmed by other polls, has the effect of giving the Conservatives, unchanged on 37%, a one-point lead. Only one other poll this year, also from ICM in March, has shown the Conservatives ahead. Other smaller parties are on a combined 11%."
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The media are perpetuating the hacking for their own self publicising ends.
Currently Cameron is ahead of Miliband in the leader's ratings.........
Sorry - but can you provide some evidence for that statement- was the poll you referred to conducted in Surrey?:D
In fact there was no national poll showing the Tories ahead of Labour in the lead up to the 1997 election - instead almost every poll (including all but one out of the last 15 conducted) actually overestimated Labour's lead (by up to 10%).
http://ipsos.co.uk/newsevents/ca/93/The-Polls-and-the-British-General-Election-of-1997.aspx
Hes the most popular Leader!!!!!!!
That was before the "It's alright" incident.:o
That was 1992!
Your right, oh dear:o
Still will be interesting to see the other results.
The LDs are the only party that has consistently been hostile towards Murdoch over the last twenty years, so there could be a small bounce as a result of this.
I agree that one poll isn't really worth talking about - we need to see a trend of several polls to form an opinion.
Quote from The Independent....poll in paper 17th July....
The survey also shows that Ed Miliband has enjoyed a bounce from his handling of the scandal, with his personal rating up seven points on a month ago. The Labour leader secured four victories since the scandal erupted 10 days ago: calling for a public inquiry, demanding Rebekah Brooks's resignation, calling for the BSkyB deal to be dropped and suggesting that Rupert Murdoch apologise to Milly Dowler's family.
By contrast, David Cameron's personal rating has fallen by three points.
Labour are up three points to 40 per cent on last month's poll for the IoS, while the Conservatives are down one point at 36. The Lib Dems remain unchanged on 10 per cent.
Not quite the same as what you were stating at the beginning then MARTYM8?
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/murdoch-down-and-ed-miliband-up-in-new-opinion-poll-2315112.html
This poll does seem somewhat out-of-whack with recent surveys. And certainly very different from the COMRES poll, showing
" Labour are up three points to 40 per cent on last month's poll for the IoS, while the Conservatives are down one point at 36. The Lib Dems remain unchanged on 10 per cent"
for the same polling date.
In the case of this ICM poll there has been no gain for the Tories, simply a loss to the vote for Labour. LibDems have picked up - don't know if that's genuine or just this one poll result.
You might find it was the annual survey takers piss-up the night before the survey, and rather than actually go and do real surveys, they all stayed in bed with hangovers and faked the results.
Plus Labour are just as covered in Murdoch scandal as the Tories. If Ed Millibands ratings have gone up its because more people actually know who he is, that may not last though when people want real, quality, alternative policies to vote for.
All they have at the moment is Ed Balls policy of tax cuts, more spending and reducing the deficit slightly slower. Work that one out if you can.
Don't forget the three point margin of error.
just shows how little this media story resonates with the public.
Its the economy stuipid (Ed!)
Applies to Guardin poll as well, cancel each other out
I was merely quoting word for word from the Guardian's poll and article. I didn't add any spin at all!
Nick Griffin is probably ahead of him as well.