Originally Posted by dave01:
“I think if Merlin and Dr Who are airing on the same night we could well see Merlin pulling in higher overnight ratings than Dr Who. Merlin is capable of 6m + overnights against the X-Factor but Dr Who has been doing quite poorly in the overnights lately. I think they will both boost each other though if they are on consecutively. Also it will be good if it means Casualty gets bumped later out of the way of X-Factor. BBC1 could have 3 high rating dramas on the same evening.”
Doctor Who "does quite poorly" in the overnights because it's on in the Spring and early Summer, sometimes as early at 6pm. Its earliest start time in the last run was 6.45pm and it was regularly competing against good weather.
In the last run it managed 6m+ on three occasions and its lowest overnight was 5.05m against the Champions League final. (Yes, yes, I know it was just the build-up to the match but that game did feature Manchester United.) And the mid-season finale managed 5.5m even though ITV ran their England international straight into the BGT final without providing some filler inbetween for the benefit of the Doctor (which was just selfish


).
I predict Dr Who will be above 7m this Saturday in its 7.10pm slot, even though it's still summer (apparantly, he says, looking at the heavy, heavy rain outside.)