Originally Posted by Cornchips:
“oh no!! do it again!!!”
OK but I think I've forgotten half my arguments
Here I go.....
Faye - Although she's been tested once against Aaron I think the dynamics are so different this time around I'm not sure how much weight to give it. I think Harry being up too changes everything. In the previous vote Faye would have been most Aaron fans second choice, but I think Harry bumps her down to three for a lot of people. The Aaron/Faye relationship was viewed much more positively two weeks ago, over the last couple of weeks there will be a number of people that previously thought Faye was making Aaron's time better will have their doubts now. Her constant moods, on/off behaviour and demanding nature hasn't done her any favours. Then you add the Jem/Palmer family dynamic and a lot of Aaron fans who may have propped Faye's vote up un the past are going to turn off.
Harry - I agree week one is totally irrelevant to this weeks eviction, therefore I agree Harry is untested without the support of Aaron fans and viewer outrage. Harry seems to have decent number but they appear pretty soft to me. His support isn't nearly as vocal as his rivals, will they vote and vote hard, I'm not sure. He may pick up some votes from those who are angry at him being up this week, but that could be said for any of the four so that's a wash too. Both Harry and Faye will suffer from the fact it's just two weeks to the final and Aaron fans are going to be much less likely to want to keep one of his rivals in this time around.
Jay - He has the weakest numbers but the strongest organisation which may make all the difference. Again I agree he'll pick up the majority of the anti Aaron vote and what's left of Anton and Aden's support. I also think although slightly smaller Jay's support is much stronger than either Harry or Faye. People who like him REALLY like him, I'm not sure that could be said for either Faye or Harry. Therefore Jay has two major assets, organisation and enthusiasm, which are priceless in most elections.
So, like you I've talked myself around in circles and for the first time this year I don't know who'll be evicted.