Originally Posted by dan2008:
“So what's to say it will ever stand up on it's own 2 feet (so to speak)”
There's nothing to say for certain. But it's very rare that a show, even with TXF lead-in can get 9m+ like DA can. It suggests to me that there is a big audience out there anyway who will now actively seek out to watch DA even if there was no XF lead-in: the demographics of the two shows are quite different, which sort of would support that theory.
They've tried a couple other new dramas with TXF Sunday lead-in in the last 18 months, both of which have got about 4.5-6.5m, so nowhere near DA's level. It's not like they can put any old drama in that slot and it'll get 9m+. Put it this way: DA has been rating better than how Doc Martin, which we know can stand on its two feet, was rating with TXF lead-in a couple of years ago. My thoughts are that if DM can continue to rate highly on another day without TXF lead-in, DA probably could too (maybe with a slight drop but nothing too noticeable). But on Christmas Day, of course, it might suffer more than usual.
Originally Posted by square_eyes:
“I think only Eastenders is a potential Downton beater. Not Ab Fab or Royal Bodyguard.”
I agree about Ab Fab. It's not that big of a show, really. Its last Christmas Day special had c6m (admittedly in a late time slot) and the regular series episodes in 2003 were rating between 5-7m most of the time, which for 2003 standards isn't really that great. I think The Royal Bodyguard is more of a threat as it's an unknown quantity and could do a CFWM-style launch if in a good slot and promoted a lot.