1. Jason - he's got the ballroom dance, a classic song and if he doesn't mess up will probably get a few 10s. I don't expect it to be a perfect score though, it's too early for Craig to give a 10.
2. Chelsee - depends on the song, but I think the jive will suit her. She needs to really act it with her face though otherwise it'll feel flat no matter how energetic her dancing is. I expect she'll score around 36
3. Harry - rumba never scores highly for men, but it's a more reserved dance than the other Latin in terms of facial expressions, so I don't think he'll struggle with that. As long as he acts the passion with Aliona well enough, he should score about 34.
4. Alex - I think the AS will suit her, and she should score over 30
5. Holly - I think she could really struggle with the Paso, she doesn't seem to have shown the attack and passion that dance requires yet, and it's not really a 'wow' dance unless done very, very well, which I'm not convinced it will be. She might score about the same as Alex if she doesn't mess up.
6. Robbie - ballroom suits him better, but whether or not he'll be able to cope with a fast quickstep routine, I don't know. I'd be more convinced about him scoring highly if he had the VW, as some of them have been very slow this year already. And coming after Harry's 'wow' QS last week won't help either. I think he'll score in the high 20s if he doesn't mess up, but still end up bottom of the leaderboard.
Bottom 2 I think will be Holly and either Alex or Robbie
Eliminated: Holly - which I wouldn't be disappointed about at all, and I wouldn't really consider her a 'shock exit' as she's evidently not popular with the public.