Originally Posted by Samthefootball:
“Great Rating for BGT and The Voice. I think Both will be up next week.
As for SamuelW saying BGT and X Factor will Start to die I don't agree. BGT Got over 9m Hardly a show thats dying and X Factor hasn't even aired yet so i don't think you can say its going.”
I think The X Factor has quite a short shelf life. It's too controversial to stay around for long. Britain's Got Talent has the potential to stay around for quite a few years yet, though, as long as ITV and Syco ccept it may settle around the 6-7m mark at times rather than double digit figures.
Originally Posted by rzt:
“Based at The Sun's article (which has every 5-min breakdown graph), it looks like BGT averaged about 9.2m between 8-9pm. The 20-min clash averaged 6.7m, while the other 40 minutes in that hour got ~10.5m.
The clash seemed to dent it quite a lot more than how TXF suffers against SCD. There seems to be more of an audience crossover between BGT and TVUK than TXF and SCD, probably as SCD skews older whilst the other 3 skew young. So yep, it would only take BGT losing 0.4m next week in that 8pm hour (which has happened in the past for 2nd eps) and TVUK to gain 0.4m (it's very much possible) for the two shows to be level-pegging. It's going to be interesting...”
As you say, The Voice skews younger than Strictly hence the dent. ITV may have a bit of a problem here - if they move Britain's Got Talent later, the BBC may follow suit and move The Voice later as the night's get lighter.
That may be the one saving grace for Britain's Got Talent next week - The Voice may start low because it will still be light outside which could mean Britain's Got Talent retains the number one spot. But I think the BBC could look to move The Voice to 7.30pm from 7th April - what do they (seemingly) have to fear from a clash? It'd be hard to air both the lottery and Casualty after it admittedly; it may be worth them cutting The Voice down to 60 minutes at the same time and making the edit sharper.