[DUNDEEBOY]

Sara I am tempted to put a bet on deana scott I feel have no chance

[Master Ozzy]

I have always won quite a bit of money every year on BB. I do it by putting money on 4 or 5 of the housemates who are the outsiders with the bookies in week 1. After about week 2, it starts to become more clear who the few housemates are that the pubic really like, but at the moment it's all just warming up. Luke will not win...he's seems like his personality is on pretty much one level. I think Caroline has the potential to become quite bitchy, as does Chris. People like Scott haven't shown all they have to show yet...I get the feeling he could be quite funny with a dry sense of humour.

[stash22]

Put some money on Sara at 40/1 - think she has potential to be top female!

Shievonnes odds have shortened quite a bit now.

Lauren was second favourite at the start but do not think thats a bet worth it, her odds are already lengthening quite a bit.

Luke probably wont win BUT I think he will be in there for quite sometime as people will probably not nominate him, there are far more irritating characters.
Benedict is popular now but think he could annoy housemates with being too opinated.
Adam might be a good bet but im worried he could walk, he just seems laidback and he said he hasnt watched big brother much before and usually people have a bit of a shock if they havent seen it before.

Lydia, Victoria, Deena, Scott...no chance. Have a feeling Chris will turn into quite a bitch and unlikeable.

[bigBro2011]

ok from the below

Luke A- 6.6
Benedict- 8.6
Caroline- 8.8
Lauren- 9
Conor- 14
Chris- 15.5
Adam and Ashleigh- 18.5
Arron- 19.5
Sara and Scott- 22
Luke S- 36
Deana- 40
Shievonne- 48
Victoria- 85
Lydia- 90


you can lay Lydia,Victoria and Deana with confidence

TRADE NOW BACK Shievonne to win @ 40+ and lay it off @ 20's , she will grow in popularity

TRADE NOW chris @15.5 , LAY around 8.0 ..... a few articles tipping him up but i really cant see this tip coming off at all ......he will become too annoying and his backstabbing will become his downfall after week 4 , his game plan doesn't sit well with my analysis of his personality (he is too excitable to carry it off well)


BACK Sara @22 and be happy to trade out single figures in future (semi - confident)



thats how i see it now all small stakes really as its far to early to place a decent wager.......


1 thing to note is the age of the winners being under 30 in recent years and that would have normally made me lay 2nd fav Bene(dick) in a heartbeat but he does seem somewhat interesting ATM

the 2 against the field for outright win imo are lauren and luke A the problem is 2 fold though as they offer little value as of yet (price is about right to the actual chance of the event happening) and would like to see a few weeks of coverage and lock up some profit before i place the outright winner wager.

remember while betting any event your goal is to obtain value and waiting a few weeks is always the best advice , even if your original selection shortens you should not worry because the field will be smaller and it could just so happen that a danger to your selection could well get eliminated and the price only alter 1 point yet in your book it should have altered 1.9 points , not to mention your selection could have a bad week , some bad press, or even eliminated in week2.


its a pressure cooker in there let the dust settle and pick your spot is the best advice for outright betting without the intention of trading off in running


gl too all

edit looks like ladbrokes are closing the lauren money by going just 6/1 while she is available at 10/1 with bet365 thats a MASSIVE discrepancy but the market is week (low liquidity) but is one to consider (trading)


http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/...brother/winner

[midnite]

Awww poor lydia! tears and everything! I think she is genuine! totally! unfortnalty its not looking good for her, shes out to 80-1 to win! I only got 25-1 when i bet on her as the winner! and is 4-8 on to be evicted!

Is there not ONE other person who actually likes lydia and wants her to stay in the house?

Ok maybe she does want attention and wants the fame ect but so whats wrong in that ?? least it shows shes truthfull and genuine!

She wears her "heart on her sleeve" what u see is what u get! no bull shilt with lydia! Its a rare trait these days indeed probably why i like her!

I may be fighting a lost cause here BUT PLEASE VOTE TO SAVE LYDIA!!!! ITS ONLY 35P!

If she does go, im not going to have any other housemate that i like to talk about!!!! and i will have to leave aswell ! not that i will be missed on here anyways !

[Hedra]

Who the hell is Rebecca?

[Jon1141]

All you need to do is back Caroline to win its that simple.

[Verence]

Originally Posted by Hedra

Who the hell is Rebecca?

Rebecca is one of the wildcards and the one who will probably be going into the house tonight

[Verence]

Betfair

Lydia 1.21 or 1/5
Victoria 4.6 or 7/1
Conor 16 or 15/1

[stash22]

I hate not having livefeed, it was so useful for betting in the past as if you kept an eye on what was happening you could quickly get in before odds changed and also get a sense of peoples true characters more than just the highlights. I used to watch late night feed as that was when they groups were forming and gossiping and plotting for nominations. Its so much harder to judge now.

[Verence]

Originally Posted by stash22

I hate not having livefeed, it was so useful for betting in the past as if you kept an eye on what was happening you could quickly get in before odds changed and also get a sense of peoples true characters more than just the highlights. I used to watch late night feed as that was when they groups were forming and gossiping and plotting for nominations. Its so much harder to judge now.

Another one of the good things about having LF was nom-cam on Mondays

[oldtimer55]

Originally Posted by Verence

Betfair

Lydia 1.21 or 1/5
Victoria 4.6 or 7/1
Conor 16 or 15/1

4.6 is not 7/1. It's just over 7/2

Still looking pretty certain that Lydia will be leaving tonignt, though.

[Gusto Brunt]

I don't want to even look at those odds. They're so stupid. What are we, day 3? And they're talking about who might win.

Do me a favour. Even I couldn't predict that!

[yohinnchild]

Betfair

Lydia = 1.19 (2/11)
Victoria = 4.5 (7.2)
Conor = 16 (15/1)

[k0213818]

Looks like Luke's overplaying of his gimmick has backfired, we now have a new bookies favourite to win in the form of Benedict. Shiavonne has greatly benefitted from last night's episode and is now 4th favourite:

Bookies odds (according to Betfair):
Benedict- 6.8
Luke A- 7
Caroline- 9.8
Shiavonne- 13.5
Lauren- 15
Conor- 15.5
Chris- 16
Adam- 16.5
Sara- 17
Ashleigh- 17.5
Arron- 23
Scott- 26
Luke S- 34
Deena- 40
Victoria- 70
Lydia- 100

[oldtimer55]

Originally Posted by Gusto Brunt

I don't want to even look at those odds. They're so stupid. What are we, day 3? And they're talking about who might win.

Do me a favour. Even I couldn't predict that!

The ones I commented on are for first eviction.

[chloedancer]

is it just me or do victoria's eviction odds look amazing? conor will have women save him.lydia will have people wanting to see more of her hissy fits saving her.I cant see how victoria is going to pick up enough votes to stay.its vote to save,right?

[yohinnchild]

Originally Posted by chloedancer

is it just me or do victoria's eviction odds look amazing? conor will have women save him.lydia will have people wanting to see more of her hissy fits saving her.I cant see how victoria is going to pick up enough votes to stay.its vote to save,right?

I think this too... put a tenner on her to go

I just cant see where her votes will come from... other than possibly dog lovers

[frumpymummy]

Originally Posted by chloedancer

is it just me or do victoria's eviction odds look amazing? conor will have women save him.lydia will have people wanting to see more of her hissy fits saving her.I cant see how victoria is going to pick up enough votes to stay.its vote to save,right?

This idea of votes for hissy fits has never ever worked. More like people will vote Victoria to get her out

[bigBro2011]

looks like 2 my trades are heading the right way , just chris is my worry he will increasingly annoy people the long the show goes on ill leave for a week and trade out when possible

BENEDICT fav LOL , this has to be the biggest lay of the series so far - ~NO CHANCE HE WINS

just get the timing right to off set liability as soon as he hits 6.0 put your house up for sale and lay it big


luke a and lauren drifting to a more realistic price as i thought also , hold for 10.0 on luke and 18+ on lauren for outright wins bets (week 3)


its like shelling peas these markets

[ZicoZ]

Why would a sleazy porn star be so popular ??

[k0213818]

Originally Posted by ZicoZ

Why would a sleazy porn star be so popular ??

I think the bookies might perceive him as being similar to Aaron in terms of his looks and his personalities, and perhaps the bookies are edging their bets incase he develops an Aaron-esque following.

[Graceland]

Originally Posted by stash22

I hate not having livefeed, it was so useful for betting in the past as if you kept an eye on what was happening you could quickly get in before odds changed and also get a sense of peoples true characters more than just the highlights. I used to watch late night feed as that was when they groups were forming and gossiping and plotting for nominations. Its so much harder to judge now.

That is what Big Brother is all about watching and getting to know the housemates and getting involved with them their likes and dislikes.

We know nothing except for the the drip feed information that we get it just not enough.

[ZicoZ]

Originally Posted by k0213818

I think the bookies might perceive him as being similar to Aaron in terms of his looks and his personalities, and perhaps the bookies are edging their bets incase he develops an Aaron-esque following.

But why have the public seemingly taken to him .... as I say he's just a flaming sleaze ball porn star ..... his voice and even the things he comes out with seem forced / fake .

Just don't get it !

[Janette800]

Lydia (1/4), Victoria (7/2), Conor (20)

according to oddscheckers