[essexboyash]

Not much love for Jerry

[clivefield]

14th Johnny Ball
13th Lisa Riley
12th Michael Vaughan
11th Colin Salmon
10th Jerry Hall
9th Richard Arnold
8th Fern Britton
7th Dani Harmer
6th Sid Owen
5th Denise Van Outen
4th Nicky Byrne
3rd Kimberley Walsh
2nd Louis Smith
1st Victoria Pendleton

I think the 2 olympians will be in the final just because they are olympians and its the olympic year

[Tiger Rose]

1st Louis Smith
2nd Kimberly Walsh
3rd Nicky Byrne
4th Dani Harmer
5th Victoria Pendleton
6th Fern Britton
7th Denise Van Outen
8th Colin Salmon
9th Michael Vaughan
10th Lisa Riley
11th Johnny Ball
12th Jerry Hall
13th Richard Arnold
14th Sid Owen

[allisonbm2]

1st Nicky Byrne- Never underestimate Westlife fans,think he has it in the bag much like Harry last year

2nd - Lois Smith - The Olympics effect

3rd- Kimberley Walsh- mixture of Girls Aloud fans and the judges adoring her.

4th- Dani Hamer- Tracey Beaker fans,amongst them my youngest daughter are already priming their phones.

5th- Colin Salmon - My head says this won't happen but my heart wants this desperately..if not higher

6th-Victoria Pendleton- Depends who she gets as a partner and potential histrionics jarring on the nerves.

7th- Denise Van Outen- probably higher based on judges love for her.

8th- Sid Owen -

9th - Michael Vaughn - Although cricketers tend to do better than this I think it will be trumped by the Olympics factor unless he really can move

10th- Lisa Riley - Think she may annoy me if its all everything is soooooo fun

11th- Fern Britton - Don't think she'll get the popular vote..people still holding a grudge against her?

12th- Johnny Ball - Don't think he'll go first because he's such a lovely man

13th- Jerry Hall

14th - Richard Arnold- annoying me already.

[dondfan998]

Spoiler

I think things could change with Jerry now she's with Anton.

[dondfan998]

Originally Posted by dondfan998

14th - Jerry Hall
13th - Johnny Ball
12th - Richard Arnold
11th - Colin Salmon
10th - Fern Britton
9th - Lisa Riley
8th - Sid Owen
7th - Michael Vaughan
6th - Victoria Pendleton
5th - Dani Harmer
4th - Nicky Byrne
3rd - Denise Van Outen
2nd - Kimberley Walsh
1st - Louis Smith

Gotta change this. Kimberley 1st, Louis 2nd and Denise 3rd now.

Kimberley has ALREADY had a Good Luck twitter trend - Harry had one at this point too - I think she's got a really big fanbase and a really good chance!

[StigOfTheKrump]

I'm changing mine too. The launch show has made me re-think a little.

Original
01. Kimberley
02. Louis
03. Nicky
04. Denise
05. Dani
06. Michael
07. Fern
08. Victoria
09. Lisa
10. Sid
11. Johnny
12. Richard
13. Colin
14. Jerry

Post launch show
01. Kimberley and Pasha
02. Nicky and Karen
03. Denise and James
04. Louis and Flavia
05. Victoria and Brendan
06. Dani and Vincent
07. Lisa and Robin
08. Michael and Natalie
09. Fern and Artem
10. Colin and Kristina
11. Jerry and Anton
12. Sid and Ola
13. Richard and Erin
14. Johnny and Aliona

[yohinnchild]

Winner = Louis and Flavia
2nd = Nicky and Karen
3rd = Kimberley and Pasha

4 = Dani and Vincent
5 = Victoria and Brendan
6 = Michael and Natalie
7 = Lisa and Robin
8 = Fern and Artem
9 = Denise and James (if there are dances off then I expect her higher, but if its just public/ judges scores - shock exit)
10 = Colin and Kristina
11 = Richard and Erin
12 = Sid and Ola
13 = Johnny and Aliona
14 = Jerry and Anton

[Pet Monkey]

Gaah, can't we keep them all forever? It gets boring, imo, when there are just four or five left.

Johnny no sooner than eighth dismissal, please.
Jerry no sooner than fifth.
Colin no sooner than, I dunno, wee numbers.

[dondfan998]

Original
1st - Louis Smith
2nd - Kimberley Walsh
3rd - Denise Van Outen
4th - Nicky Byrne
5th - Dani Harmer
6th - Victoria Pendleton
7th - Michael Vaughan
8th - Sid Owen
9th - Lisa Riley
10th - Fern Britton
11th - Colin Salmon
12th - Richard Arnold
13th - Johnny Ball
14th - Jerry Hall

Post launch show
1st - Kimberley & Pasha
2nd - Louis & Flavia
3rd - Denise & James
4th - Dani & Vincent
5th - Nicky & Karen
6th - Victoria & Brendan
7th - Lisa & Robin
8th - Sid & Ola
9th - Fern & Artem
10th - Michael & Natalie
11th - Jerry & Anton
12th - Colin & Kristina
13th - Johnny & Aliona
14th - Richard & Erin

[Order]

1. Kimberley Walsh
2. Louis Smith
3. Dani Harmer
4. Nicky Byrne
5. Victoria Pendleton
6. Fern Britton
7. Denise Van Outen
8. Jerry Hall
9. Sid Owen
10. Colin Salmon
11. Johnny Ball
12. Richard Arnold
13. Lisa Riley
14. Michael Vaughan

[Tiger Rose]

Originally Posted by Tiger Rose

1st Louis Smith
2nd Kimberly Walsh
3rd Nicky Byrne
4th Dani Harmer
5th Victoria Pendleton
6th Fern Britton
7th Denise Van Outen
8th Colin Salmon
9th Michael Vaughan
10th Lisa Riley
11th Johnny Ball
12th Jerry Hall
13th Richard Arnold
14th Sid Owen

I am still mostly happy with this order with the exception of Colin sadly. With Natalie I thought he would do quite well but he & Kristina look ill matched height wise so now think he'll probably go early on.

[Steve9214]

Originally Posted by dondfan998

So, it seems like we pretty much have our 14 celebs.

Johnny Ball, 74, Mathematician
Jerry Hall, 56, Supermodel
Fern Britton, 55, TV Presenter
Colin Salmon, 49, Hollywood Actor
Richard Arnold, 42, Showbiz Reporter
Sid Owen, 40, EastEnders Star
Denise Van Outen, 38, Actress, Singer & TV Presenter
Michael Vaughan OBE, 37, Retired Cricketer
Lisa Riley, 36, Actress & Presenter
Nicky Byrne, 33, Westlife Singer
Victoria Pendleton MBE, 31, Gold Medal winning Cyclist
Kimberley Walsh, 30, Girls Aloud Singer, Model & Actress
Louis Smith, 23, Artistic Gymnast
Dani Harmer, 23, Actress, Presenter & Singer

Now, we may as well start now.

14th to 1st - get guessing!

Last year the early exits seemed to be "those who were not going to do the tour" - not suggesting any conspiracy or anything, but the first few pro's gone were also all "non-tourers".

Expect Richard Arnold (Erin) out early as daybreak is tanking so he has no fan base.

[Mystical123]

1. Louis Smith
2. Kimberley Walsh
3. Denise van Outen
4. Nicky Byrne
5. Dani Harmer (she, Kimberley and Nicky will split the younger vote, so it'll eventually cost one of them)
6. Victoria Pendleton
7. Michael Vaughan (his ballroom should be good, when he goes out will depend on what order he gets the Latin dances in I think)
8. Sid Owen (Ola almost always gets her partners further than they really should go)
9. Lisa Riley (if she and Robin gel as a partnership as they seem to, and if she takes it seriously rather than being the 'novelty' act)
10. Fern Britton (the semi-shock exit, as I don't think she's as popular as it might seem)
11. Richard Arnold
12. Jerry Hall (out on a fast Latin)
13. Johnny Ball
14. Colin Salmon (only out this early because he and Kristina are so mis-matched height-wise that I can't see either the ballroom or Latin looking great. Poor Kristina )

[Fudd]

I haven't heard any rumours about how good each person is so...

1. Dani and Vincent
2. Sid and Ola
3. Denise and James
4. Louis and Flavia
5. Fern and Artem
6. Victoria and Brendan
7. Lisa and Robin
8. Jerry and Anton
9. Johnny and Aliona
10. Nicky and Karen
11. Kimberley and Pasha
12. Michael and Natalie
13. Colin and Kristina
14. Richard and Erin

[I've Got Class]

1. Kimberley Walsh & Pasha Kovalev
2. Louis Smith & Flavia Cacace
3. Victoria Pendleton & Brendan Cole
4. Denise Van Outen & James Jordan
5. Nicky Byrne & Karen Hauer
6. Dani Harmer & Vincent Simone
7. Sid Owen & Ola Jordan
8. Lisa Riley & Robin Windsor
9. Fern Britton & Artem Chigvintsev
10. Jerry Hall & Anton Du Beke
11. Johnny Ball & Aliona Vilani
12. Colin Salmon & Kristina Rhianoff
13. Richard Arnold & Erin Boag
14. Michael Vaughan & Natalie Lowe

[*Venetia*]

Originally Posted by *Topaz*

I'm hoping that Colin Salmon will be a dark horse and doesn't have the early exit that some people are predicting here...for the very shallow reason that he's gorgeous so as long as he has some dance ability I want him to have a good run

Me too, I was very surprised to see he was taking part and really hope he has the moves, will liven up my Saturdays no end!

[Richwood]

Post launch show forecast

1. Kimberley and Pasha
2. Louis and Flavia
3. Dani & Vincent
4. Denise and James
5. Victoria and Brendan
6. Michael & Natalie
7. Fern & Artem
8. Nicky & Karen
9. Lisa and Robin
10. Jerry & Anton
11. Johnny & Aliona
12. Sid & Ola
13. Colin & Kristina
14. Richard & Erin

It’s just a feeling in my mind but I think certain pros are losers, or at least non-winners. These include Erin, Anton, Robin, James and Vincent. I think any celeb matched with them will never win. Dani might be really good but I just can’t see Vincent ever winning a series, although he did win the Christmas Special. This will also scupper Denise.
I think the out and out winners amonst the pros on the show are Pasha, Artem, Aliona, Ola and Kristina. When they get a celeb with any kind of ability any of these can go all the way. I could also see the new girl Karen being a winner.
I feel sure that only seven celebs can win. They are Kimberley, Louis, Dani, Denise, Victoria, Michael and Nicky. Fern might do quite well, especially with Artem, but I can’t see her winning

[Dilly 1]

1. Louis & Flavia
2. Kimberley & Pasha
3. Dani & Vincent
4. Nicky& Karen
5. Denise & James
6. Victoria & Brendan
7. Lisa & Robin
8. Sid & Ola
9. Jerry & Anton
10. Michael & Natalie
11. Richard & Erin
12. Fern & Artem
13. Colin & Kristina
14. Johnny & Aliona

[allisonbm2]

Post Launch:

1.Nicky & Karen
2.Dani & Vincent
3. Louis & Flavia
4.Victoria & Brendan
5.Denise & James
6.Lisa & Robin
7. Kimberley & Pasha
8. Fern & Artem
9.Michael & Natalie
10 Jerry & Anton
11. Colin & Kristina
12.Johnny & Aliona
13. Sid & Ola
14. Richard & Erin

[aimeeaimee1000]

All these assumptions surely on the night it should be the dancing ability and not the popularity it is in fact Strictly Come Dancing dancing is how they dance that is the main thing.

Also I hope they do not keep putting these long dresses on the celeb girls so that you cannot see the "Feet "

[pothuthic]

A small amount actually chose johnny

[Order]

Originally Posted by LittleMissJ

4th - Dani Harmer
3rd - Denise Van Outen
2nd - Louis Smith
1st - Kimberley Walsh

Originally Posted by kroshka

1 - Louis Smith
2 - Dani Harmer
3 - Kimberly Walsh
4 - Denise Van Outen

Originally Posted by rosco2010

4th Denise Van Outen, 38, Actress, Singer & TV Presenter
3rd Kimberley Walsh, 30, Girls Aloud Singer, Model & Actress
2nd Louis Smith, 23, Artistic Gymnast
1st Dani Harmer, 23, Actress, Presenter & Singer

Originally Posted by dondfan998

Post launch show
1st - Kimberley & Pasha
2nd - Louis & Flavia
3rd - Denise & James
4th - Dani & Vincent

Originally Posted by Richwood

Post launch show forecast

1. Kimberley and Pasha
2. Louis and Flavia
3. Dani & Vincent
4. Denise and James

All of you predicted the correct final four! Well done!

The majority of people also predicted the final four would be in the final five - so lots of great predictions in this thread!

Here's mine - pretty poor overall but it wouldn't be bad if I could get the final three correct! Although, I want Dani to win so I'd rather I was wrong :

Originally Posted by Order

1. Kimberley Walsh
2. Louis Smith
3. Dani Harmer
4. Nicky Byrne
5. Victoria Pendleton
6. Fern Britton
7. Denise Van Outen
8. Jerry Hall
9. Sid Owen
10. Colin Salmon
11. Johnny Ball
12. Richard Arnold
13. Lisa Riley
14. Michael Vaughan

[TheAuburnEnigma]

Just thought I'd find this so I could see how we did. For those of you who had 2 guesses, only your first guess will count. Kimberley and Denise will be counted as correct whether they are in 2nd or 3rd on anyone's guess.

Here's how we all did:

=1st - Val (Colin, Fern, Michael, Denise, Kimberley and Louis correct) = 6/14
=1st - Girlygiggler (Johnny, Jerry, Richard, Denise, Kimberley and Louis correct) = 6/14
3rd - Mystical123 (Fern, Michael, Denise, Kimberley and Louis correct) = 5/14
=4th - LittleMissJ (Jerry, Nicky, Dani and Denise correct) = 4/14
=4th - AuburnEnigma (Jerry, Dani, Kimberley and Louis correct) = 4/14
=4th - Damahepa (Colin, Michael, Dani and Kimberley correct) = 4/14
=4th - essexboyash (Johnny, Jerry, Sid and Denise correct) = 4/14
=4th - Clivefield (Johnny, Colin, Richard and Kimberley correct) = 4/14
=9th - IzzieStar (Jerry, Kimberley and Louis correct) = 3/14
=9th - Alli-F (Jerry, Dani and Louis correct) = 3/14
=9th - rosco2010 (Johnny, Jerry and Kimberley correct) = 3/14
=9th - needsahotty87 (Sid, Fern and Victoria correct) = 3/14
=9th - adamcm (Colin, Victoria and Denise correct) = 3/14
=9th - Tiger Rose (Dani, Kimberley and Louis correct) = 3/14
=9th - allisonbm2 (Jerry, Dani and Kimberley correct) = 3/14
=9th - Dilly 1 (Johnny, Kimberley and Louis correct) = 3/14
=17th - cantos (Victoria and Dani correct) = 2/14
=17th - Richwood (Victoria and Denise correct) = 2/14
=19th - Stig (Victoria correct) = 1/14
=19th - pothuthic (Denise correct) = 1/14
=19th - kroshka (Louis correct) = 1/14
=19th - SWRD85 (Fern correct) = 1/14
=19th - CloneClown (Denise correct) = 1/14
=19th - Fudd (Denise correct) = 1/14
=25th - 21stCenturyBoy: 0/14
=25th - yohinnchild: 0/14
=25th - ForreroRocher: 0/14
=25th - SaraV1308: 0/14
=25th - Order: 0/14
=25th - I've Got Class: 0/14

[TheAuburnEnigma]

So a very well done to Val and Girlygiggler

Taking Denise and Kimberley out of the equation, the contestant whose place was correctly guessed by someone went like this (out of a possible 30):

Louis = 9 times
Dani = 7 times
Lisa = 0 times
Nicky = 1 time
Michael = 3 times
Victoria = 5 times
Richard = 2 times
Fern = 4 times
Colin = 4 times
Sid = 2 times
Jerry = 8 times
Johnny = 5 times

So no one knew where Lisa would finish, but Louis, Jerry and Dani were easiest to predict correctly. Also a well done to essexboyash for correctly predicting the first 3 eliminees. No one managed to score a correct finishing order for the top 4 either, although dondfan998, AuburnEnigma, Girlygiggler, Tiger Rose and Mystical123 all managed to get 3 correct.