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The Ratings Thread (Part 41)
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Georged123
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by Agent F:
“To such an extent that the usual suspects are now attempting to revise history and convince themselves that The Voice was a massive success after all. ”

The statistics speak for themsleves. At least the talk about The Voice today has given some posters memories of happier times, how they must dread waking up on Sunday mornings now......
NeilVW
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by grimshaw:
“The Sunday shows at this point must be down much more than the Saturday shows year on year.”

In the consolidated figures, both the Saturday and Sunday episodes in Live Week 1 were -19.0% down on last year inc +1. In the overnights, Saturday was down -17.2% and Sunday was down -19.0%.

For Live Week 2, the overnights were down -12.1% y-on-y on Saturday and -15.7% on Sunday.

For Live Week 3 (this weekend), Saturday was -15.2% down y-on-y.
grimshaw
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by cylon6:
“The X Factor final might be the lowest we've seen in a few years, purely because I can't see it hitting those levels based on the current trend.”

One important thing? The first half on the Saturday performed unlike a finale - only slightly up on the previous week. It managed 10.6m. Sunday however was more finale like, pulling 12.9m.

But then X Factor usually pulled 11m average on a Sunday. Its now pulling 9m.

Originally Posted by NeilVW:
“In the consolidated figures, both the Saturday and Sunday episodes in Live Week 1 were -19.0% down on last year inc +1. In the overnights, Saturday was down -17.2% and Sunday was down -19.0%.

For Live Week 2, the overnights were down -12.1% y-on-y on Saturday and -15.7% on Sunday.

For Live Week 3 (this weekend), Saturday was -15.2% down y-on-y.”

Thanks for those.
Charnham
21-10-2012
right ok so here are the correct figured (including HD)

The biggest difference between X-Factor 2011 & 2012 is 3.171 million, the lowest is 1.201 million

The average of the difference is 2.21 million, no real difference

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v1...X-FactorHD.jpg

and with the correct data, the predicted ratings

Final - 9.50
Results - 11.25

a little bit healthier.
Agent F
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by Georged123:
“The statistics speak for themsleves. At least the talk about The Voice today has given some posters memories of happier times, how they must dread waking up on Sunday mornings now......”

Not all of us take television ratings so personally George.
rivkin
21-10-2012
does it matter if xfactor or strictly win ratings at least they arnt on at same time or clashing lots like last year. easy to watch both etc. two years ago and the years b4 xfactor always beat strictly still doesnt change anything and both shows still going after many many years.
cylon6
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by grimshaw:
“One important thing? The first half on the Saturday performed unlike a finale - only slightly up on the previous week. It managed 10.6m. Sunday however was more finale like, pulling 12.9m.

But then X Factor usually pulled 11m average on a Sunday. Its now pulling 9m.”

True but I can't see it jumping high because the Sunday shows aren't rising much as yet.
cylon6
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by rivkin:
“does it matter if xfactor or strictly win ratings at least they arnt on at same time or clashing lots like last year. easy to watch both etc. two years ago and the years b4 xfactor always beat strictly still doesnt change anything and both shows still going after many many years.”

Doesn't matter for us. Matters for BBC1 and ITV.
Hassaan13
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by cylon6:
“The X Factor final might be the lowest we've seen in a few years, purely because I can't see it hitting those levels based on the current trend.


It'll do much better than that with the final.


BGT had 12m for the final this year.”

It had a 12m average (including HD, official figures).

The final in 2009 for XF also performed unlike a finale, only managing 12m and 13.8m peak, but the Sunday show grew magnificently with 15m and 19.7m peak. I doubt we'll get a growth like that this year however.
andrewj123
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by Charnham:
“right ok so here are the correct figured (including HD)

The biggest difference between X-Factor 2011 & 2012 is 3.171 million, the lowest is 1.201 million

The average of the difference is 2.21 million, no real difference

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v1...X-FactorHD.jpg

and with the correct data, the predicted ratings

Final - 9.50
Results - 11.25

a little bit healthier.”

what causes the dip at Auditions 5 for both years? Is that bank holiday weekend?
jake lyle
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by Agent F:
“Not all of us take television ratings so personally George. ”

From the same poster that had an OTT rant about Robbie just a few weeks ago.
cylon6
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by Hassaan13:
“It had a 12m average (including HD, official figures).”

The BGT final? Yes it did. You were talking about the peak! I see that now!DOH! Still peaks aren't the average and won't show up in BARB's end of year chart.

Quote:
“The final in 2009 for XF also performed unlike a finale, only managing 12m and 13.8m peak, but the Sunday show grew magnificently with 15m and 19.7m peak. I doubt we'll get a growth like that this year however.”

But the Sunday X Factor ratings are similar to Saturday ratings of 10m with +1. The final will be the highest rated edition but I'm not sure it'll go as high as last year unless weather intervenes.
Joe40
21-10-2012
Facebook - Ola Jordan

Ola has flown back to Poland to be with her poorly mother. Our best wishes go to Ola & her family and wish her mother a speedy recovery.

Ola & Sid have been announced as safe. They are through to next week. Iveta will be stepping in for Ola while she is with her mum in Poland.
rivkin
21-10-2012
ratings seem down on all shows this year from dramas like new tricks and soaps etc does this mean each year there will be another drop and therefore even the soaps will only muster 5 million in a few years. xfactor being down is just the same as bgt being down on past years. even dr who this year hasnt been rating as high. seems only few shows are avoiding drops such as strictly and maybe downton. know ratings matter more for itv and other advert carrying channels but apart from olympics bbc 1 hardly had great year with ratings for main shows like eastenders and new dramas. think its just the way tv viewing is changing and more ppl on web more each year. few shows now pull in over 10 million and guess in future less and less will.
grimshaw
21-10-2012
Quote:
“xfactor being down is just the same as bgt being down on past years.”

BGT had an awesome marketing campaign, a fresh panel and great final. Its ratings were UP on 2011; helped by the things I mentioned and The Voice, although that became a lot less important as weeks went on. It held its on.

Not comparable in the slightest.

Quote:
“even dr who this year hasnt been rating as high.”

It had its highest ever overnight since 2010 actually; and every episode was above 7m. The average final was up yoy but with a different structure to the series we can't compare them without the rest of the episodes.

Quote:
“seems only few shows are avoiding drops such as strictly and maybe downton. know ratings matter more for itv and other advert carrying channels but apart from olympics bbc 1 hardly had great year with ratings for main shows like eastenders and new dramas. think its just the way tv viewing is changing and more ppl on web more each year. few shows now pull in over 10 million and guess in future less and less will.”

Strictly isn't just avoiding drops - its up year on year.
The Voice launched strongly this year, it tore itself apart at the end of its run, but launching well shows your not too right.

Eastenders and the Soaps are down because of quality.
TV has not changed massively in the last year, were seeing continued trends like iplayer (yet BBC shows usually rate pretty well anyway) and recordings which we learn more about in the finals.


X Factor is down heavily year on year. The fact BGT was up is enough; its down to the shows, not viewing habits.
RobbieSykes123
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by Fudd:
“I think it will be a Surprise Surprise if it gets more than 4m to be honest. ”

You never know. The unexpected often hits you right between the eyes.



Originally Posted by Agent F:
“The XF final is clearly not going to top last year's if the entire series is already down considerably y-o-y.”

If it airs against SPOTY, it might struggle even more than usual as I suspect there is going to be massive interest in the outcome of that in this annus mirabilis for British sport (except football).
Chris1964
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by RobbieSykes123:
“You never know. The unexpected often hits you right between the eyes.



If it airs against SPOTY, it might struggle even more than usual as I suspect there is going to be massive interest in the outcome of that in this annus mirabilis for British sport (except football).”



Im sure I read that SPOTY wont face X Factor somewhere. SPOTY rating will be yet another eagerly awaited figure in this unbelievable year.
NeilVW
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by SamuelW:
“So my prediction for tonight:
XFactor: 9.1m”

Last year's third live Sunday results episode had 9.77m (38.0%) / 10.11m (exc/inc +1) in the overnights. The first two such episodes this year were down -19.0% and -15.7% on 2011 (inc +1). If tonight's show gets 9.1m exc +1, that would be a mere -7% fall y-on-y. If it gets 9.1m inc +1, the fall would be -10%. I think ITV would be pleased with either of those, as the show would be seen to be catching up with last year. I will go for a -13% fall, which would be 8.5m (8.8m with +1).

Originally Posted by andrewj123:
“what causes the dip at Auditions 5 for both years? Is that bank holiday weekend?”

This year it was the Paralympic Closing Ceremony on Sunday 9 September which dented TXF's fifth auditions episode. Last year (Sunday 11 September) there was no obvious cause for the drop at Auditions 5, although Countryfile and George Gently both had 6m+ despite half-clashing with TXF, so perhaps it was the increased competition compared with Auditions 4 on the Saturday (when it faced Secret Fortune and the news), which outweighed the fact that there are more viewers available on a Sunday night.
rivkin
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by grimshaw:
“X Factor is down heavily year on year. The fact BGT was up is enough; its down to the shows, not viewing habits.”

if you look back before the web and before mass tv channels shows like eastender would get 18 million even with i player added it doesnt get that. think more people are playing on games on ipads etc and facebooking and are less interested in tv shows now and only royal events and sport events that get the nation together are the big hits. cant see many shows getting 10 million in 2 to 3 years when 4g takes off less ppl are intrested in tv now as there are too many options to past time mostly due to the web
ronant
21-10-2012
BBC One schedule for tomorrow night now officially updated:
8.30 Fake Britain
9.00 New Tricks
10.00 BBC News
10.35 Panorama: Jimmy Saville - What the BBC Knew
11.35 Our War

A little surprised Panorama isn't in prime time as of course now the papers will say the BBC are trying to 'bury it'. In reality it just makes scheduling sense, and there's just no where to put it in prime time.
Agent F
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by jake lyle:
“From the same poster that had an OTT rant about Robbie just a few weeks ago.”

"OTT rant"?

Well I suppose I could just make sly, personal digs at posters (with an added smiley for good measure) like yourself.
iaindb
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by rivkin:
“if you look back before the web and before mass tv channels shows like eastender would get 18 million even with i player added it doesnt get that. think more people are playing on games on ipads etc and facebooking and are less interested in tv shows now and only royal events and sport events that get the nation together are the big hits. cant see many shows getting 10 million in 2 to 3 years when 4g takes off less ppl are intrested in tv now as there are too many options to past time mostly due to the web”

Statistics show that people are watching as much TV as they ever did. However there are dozens more channels to choose from these days. A high number of sports channels or film channels or documentary channels or music channels or.....etc etc. If each channel picks up a few thousand viewers then that all adds up leaving less viewers for BBC1 and ITV1.
Glenn A
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by Joe40:
“Facebook - Ola Jordan

Ola has flown back to Poland to be with her poorly mother. Our best wishes go to Ola & her family and wish her mother a speedy recovery.

Ola & Sid have been announced as safe. They are through to next week. Iveta will be stepping in for Ola while she is with her mum in Poland.”

I like Ola and hope all the best for her.
garyessex
21-10-2012
*sigh* This thread just goes round in circles on Weekends
iaindb
21-10-2012
Originally Posted by ronant:
“BBC One schedule for tomorrow night now officially updated:
8.30 Fake Britain
9.00 New Tricks
10.00 BBC News
10.35 Panorama: Jimmy Saville - What the BBC Knew
11.35 Our War

A little surprised Panorama isn't in prime time as of course now the papers will say the BBC are trying to 'bury it'. In reality it just makes scheduling sense, and there's just no where to put it in prime time.”

It's still an earlier slot that ITV gave their Exposure programme.

edit: Will tomorrow night's Newsnight just feature the presenters and production team sitting round a TV set watching BBC1?

Newsnight leading on a report about Panorama conducting an investigation about Newsnight. "And you can see that programme now on BBC1."
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