Originally Posted by C14E:
“The pre X Factor slot on Saturday has tended to go to music specials with decreasing returns to scale - Cheryl Cole in 2009 did alright, JLS in 2010 did badly and Justin Bieber last year did dreadfully. The thing about those is that the record labels are probably paying all the production costs, ITV use their ad allowance during XF and anything that follows and the major labels probably buy a load of advertising from ITV in Q4 anyway. However, given how badly these have done it might be the case that no label is willing to repeat this for such a poor audience.
It also depends on the scheduling. If they stick with things the way they are then X Factor might not finish until 10.30pm on Saturday which closes that slot off. Chances are that the Sunday show starts at 7pm which again doesn't leave much room.
So the only major slot to be filled is the 9pm Sunday one. They've got that pilot/special for the Ashleigh & Pudsey dog show thing. Or The Spice Girls. My guess is that one of them - probably The Spice Girls - gets the 9pm-10.30pm slot and the other airs the next Saturday or Sunday.”
Strictly will probably be done by 8pm that night anyway as according to
this page The National Lottery Awards are on BBC1 on Saturday 8th December. They never rate well but they have to air them it seems. Last year's was 40 minutes long.
So XF will most likely air from 8-10pm on the Saturday. Like you said they have done music specials in the past but I haven't heard about any for this year (the Katherine Jenkins one is the week before). The Ashleigh and Pudsey thing could air there I guess though (even though it'd most likely bomb). They've got a few episodes of The Cube ready to be burned off too. Last year in the Saturday 10pm slot it was Life Stories with Peter Andre but they don't have any Life Stories episodes this year as far as I know, but I definitely don't think they should be writing it off.
The Sunday show has always aired from 7:30-9:30pm in the past and I guess they'll do the same this year (Strictly has shifted to 6:50pm that night). I guess it'll be whichever of Ashleigh & Pudsey and The Cube doesn't air on Saturday goes there with Spice Girls 9:30-11pm.
The following weekend will be hideous for them. The Saturday schedule doesn't appear to have anything and they're against Strictly/Merlin, then on Sunday BBC1 will have Strictly and Sport Personality. Could be a bit of a car crash for ITV.