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Something I noticed about the betting odds


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Old 29-10-2012, 01:56
xfactorfan01
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Alrite guys, I looked into the betting odds of contestants yesterday and normally when you bet on the 2 favourites you don't win much back, but what I noticed was that if I was to bet £20 on Ella, I'd win £44. If I bet £20 on James Arthur too, I'd win £110. So if Ella (the favourite) won, I'd be £4 up. And if James won I'd be £70 up. To me there are only 3 likely winners, Ella, Jahmene and James. So if Jahmene won I'd lose £40, but I really don't think he will. So to me it seems like a pretty safe thing to do. What do you guys think?

And please, save the negative comments about James In my opinion he's been the most consistent and is head and shoulders above the other contestants. He's in a completely different league.
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Old 29-10-2012, 01:58
xeo
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I really don't understand betting Wouldn't winning £44 on Ella put you £24 up if you placed £20?
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Old 29-10-2012, 02:04
paperplanes_
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The producers and bookies favourite seems to be Ella. However it's not often the favourite goes on to win. I'd say bet on James.

I'd bet more people thought Danyl would win in 2009, Laura in 2008 etc. Don't go for the obvious choice I'm going to stick a few quid on James myself.
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Old 29-10-2012, 02:05
xfactorfan01
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I really don't understand betting Wouldn't winning £44 on Ella put you £24 up if you placed £20?
Nope, cause the plan is to put £20 on Ella and £20 on James, so if Ella won I'd still get my money back, but if James won I'd make a profit.
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Old 29-10-2012, 02:06
SULLA
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Alrite guys, I looked into the betting odds of contestants yesterday and normally when you bet on the 2 favourites you don't win much back, but what I noticed was that if I was to bet £20 on Ella, I'd win £44. If I bet £20 on James Arthur too, I'd win £110. So if Ella (the favourite) won, I'd be £4 up. And if James won I'd be £70 up. To me there are only 3 likely winners, Ella, Jahmene and James. So if Jahmene won I'd lose £40, but I really don't think he will. So to me it seems like a pretty safe thing to do. What do you guys think?

And please, save the negative comments about James In my opinion he's been the most consistent and is head and shoulders above the other contestants.
He's head, shoulders and chest above Jahmene
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Old 29-10-2012, 02:11
xfactorfan01
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He's head, shoulders and chest above Jahmene
He really is
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Old 29-10-2012, 02:19
EdgarK
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Leaving aside my own opinion of James, I think I'd feel safer backing Ella and Jahmene. Love James or loathe him, he doesn't seem to have the sort of general popular acceptance - the bland or inoffensive quality - that's a usual characteristic of XF winners, and that's pretty vital for whoever is to pick up more than 50% of the vote against a popular rival in the final. But it's your money
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