At this stage I would LIKE the Top 3 to be

Louis & Flavia
Kimberley & Pasha
Dani & Vincent

But think it could be

Louis & Flavia
Kimberley & Pasha
Denise & James

She did do the Waltz in week two which IMO, was awful and laboured. But with their tango, i'm hoping her acting chops will pull out a really good performance and we could see fiery and dark.

This is what I mean - there's still time for a number of people to have their 'Austin' moment and/or turn into a Chris Hollins type success story.

Agree - Louis and Kimberley.

Denise may well turn out to be the best but will lose votes because of her experience. Actually her dancing is not that good, although she can always sell it. She straddled a mean chair on Halloween night but her legwork was not very good thereafter.

I would most like Victoria to win and she might do. Brendan is a "happening" partner and she has a lot of good will and may become a decent dancer. The Chris Hollins factor may also kick in, although I think she could become better than him.

Can't see anyone else winning. Dani is a good dancer but don't see Vincent as a winner. Artem is a winner and Fern a decent dancer, but too lacklustre. Nicky might be in with a shout but his pro partner Karen doesn't seem too popular (Bring on Iveta next year !) Don't think any others have the skills or the fan base to win.

Louis and Dani

Kimberley and Louis.

Louis and Kimberley
Denise has 3rd place written all over her unfortunately - like my other favourites Emma and Zoe before her

I don't know. Harry and Chelsea got to the last 2 but there was no dance-off. I think the dance-off changes the voting, with people more like to vote for the ones they see as not supported by the judges, and more likely to assume the good ones will be saved. I think at least one out of Victoria, Michael, Lisa or Nicky will come through as the underdog vote - can't call who yet. And therefore we'll get a combination of Denise, Kimberly and Louis in the b2 before the final - and I think that's the order the judges would put them in. I don't think Louis can survive a dance-off against Denise and I'm not sure against Kimberly. Darcy would probably vote for him, maybe Bruno, but Craig and Len wouldn't and Len counts for 2. I think there is a good chance that Louis will go out before the final in a Austin type shock result, or Kimberly if Louis is popular enough not to get in the b2.

I must be watching a different Strictly to you! All the Judges have done upto now is kiss Louis' ass

Craig and Len have both been pretty fierce on judging Louis, but I think they are downplaying unanimous good marks for more drama. I bet they will go at him with hammers this week.

I think people would be saying that about Austin at this stage that year and...

Well I must be watching a different one from you! Len was critical when he didn't like their salsa and scored it accordingly, and Craig didn't like his thumb on Saturday and so knocked a point off..... They haven't been favoured over anyone else as far as I can see.

Louis and Kimberley (though I keep changing my mind on the 2nd finalist.) I think Louis is a shoe in already and Kimberley could just win everybody over enough, especially if her Paso & Quickstep are signs of things to come. Both Dani and Kimberley really need a "Chelsee Quickstep" week and completely win everyone over if they're to stand a chance against Louis.

Does the Dance Off remain even in the semi finals? If so, I think Denise is highly likely as the 3rd finalist (edging out Lisa & Dani), because the judges wont let her go. However, the public vote will end up her donwfall and see her leave in 3rd place. I can see dani perhaps just gaining the advantage with the public vote over Denise & Lisa towards the end, but the judges wont save her over either.

Louis will get there as he has zero male competition. I'd say Kimberley is most likely to join him at this stage though I'm less sure about that.

Kimberley doesn't do anything for me yet, so while that can all change, I just can't see her being in the top 3 if we are to predict this early.

If Lisa can get back to her week one level, I really think she can go all the way (edit: to the final, not winning) as her heart is totally in it.

I don't know why but I have a feeling Denise may do a Scott Maslen and find herself flagging. If I am wrong and she has got the mental stamina for it, she can surely make the final as I doubt anyone but Louis would beat her in a dance off and I can't see him ever being bottom with the public and having to dance again.

Enough waffling -

Louis to win
Denise second
Lisa third

Probably Louis and Victoria, maybe Denise

Me too, Dilly.

I'd love Dani to be there, but at the moment I can't see it happening. Pity, becuase I think this is probably the closest we are likely to get to a Vincent v Flavia final.

Louis (and rightly so). And Denise.

In which case Lisa will win !!

Hope dani does make it to the final, she needs a bigger support backing her, if she entered any other year I could imagine her in the final, but this year is a strong celebrity line -up! Hope this week dani gains a lot of support and continues to build on it

Louis and Kimberley - I don't think the public as a whole likes Denise.

Yes, I'd go with that .. with Louis winning by a country mile.

At the moment I can't see anyone beyond Lisa and Louis.

Denise doesn't seem liked enough to get far (at least if we go by polls and opinions on here). And there aren't really any other males that can worry Louis.

I'm thinking Lisa and Louis too. I can't warm to Denise whatsoever.

I think Dani and Louis