I have been trying to think of a way that BBC1 can try and limit the damage from the inevitable Corrie-Downton match-up taking out/severely denting a 3 hour chunk of BBC1 opposition.
I think this could do it:
3.10 Film: Up!
4.45 BBC News
5.00 Room on the Broom
5.30 Strictly Come Dancing Christmas Special
7.00 EastEnders
7.30 Miranda
8.00 Doctor Who
9.00 EastEnders
9.30 The Royle Family
10.30 Mrs Brown's Boys
11.00 BBC News
11.10 Film: TBA
My reasoning:
- the 90 minute SCD isn't confirmed, but without it there is an obvious 30 minute gap to fill in the likely BBC1 programming line up. So I do think this could be happening. If there are 10 contestants, then it will have to be 90 mins won't it?
- if they are doing 90 mins, then it isn't just "Corrie fodder" but actually needs some careful scheduling. With SCD in great form this year, I'd get it on early and get bums on sofas and tuned to BBC1 early in the night
- for me, Broom/SCD/EE1 is a cracking teatime line up for BBC1, and a really fantastic "anchor" to the night
- DW then takes up the usual SCD slot. It looks late at 8pm, but it has aired later this year (sometimes at 7.45pm I think?) and it would give ITV a big problem I think. I doubt ITV will be very happy about the "Downton lead-in Corrie" going up against a high profile Who special, and they aren't going to give trusted DW combatants Emmerdale or ASFF that slot given that will be the Downton lead in
- and moving DA to 8pm isn't really an option, as I doubt they will want to clash Downton with Doctor Who
- similarly, splitting Corrie in 2, or airing it at 7.30 to get "the jump" on DW and dent Miranda, isn't an option because DA in airing at 8.30 would still be clashing with DW - indeed, DW has the 30 min head start
- and what do they do with Emmerdale - at 6pm, it starts 30 mins into SCD, so that's a no-no. 5.30pm is obscenely early, but I reckon they'd have to do it to keep SCD in check. Either way, at 5.30pm or out of sync with SCD, it's in trouble
- EE being split means no "all or nothing" contest with DA, and less downside risk of the anti-EE audience all jumping on Downton by default. Some will, but the prospect of a 30 min EE followed by Royles and Mrs Brown will keep millions away from Downton
- the two EE eps gives both Miranda and The Royle Family a lead in, at either end of the evening. Miranda is presumably less exposed at 7.30, against possible ITV filler, and could get a fantastic launch pad there
Against my proposed BBC1 line-up, I guess ITV would go with:
5.30 Emmerdale
6.30 ASFF (Emmerdale vs Daybreak - you'd think an EmFm lead-in/out is inevitable)
7.30 You've Been Framed at Christmas
8.00 Coronation Street
9.00 Downton
Or, if they aren't fussed about SCD:
5.30 You've Been Framed at Christmas
6.00 Emmerdale
7.00 ASFF
8.00 Coronation St
9.00 Downton
I doubt they'd play silly buggers and run an hour long Emmerdale against EE, knowing that as BBC1 usually rules the roost on Christmas Day anyway, such a tactic will backfire and they need to keep their soaps away from an EE clash.
I think it's a winning tactical line-up for BBC1 this, it works for me on many levels.
Now - can anyone spot the inevitable "check mate" I've somehow missed?