Originally Posted by Malliday:
“@norbitonite
Sorry, but my point still remains the most rational explanation.
The points in the OP were not equally true yesterday, because they were not voting for the winner. It was not an either/or choice.”
Just to clarify, the points were equally as valid on Friday after the show, yet Ashley was ahead going into the broadcast of the final which indicates that when it initially became a vote for the winner Ashley was ahead.
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“However, that does not mean that they weren't already contributing to the level of support Charlie received to get this far in the competition.
Regarding the Eastenders votes, it's fallacious to surmise that people wouldn't vote for her because of her character. The vast majority of Eastenders fans love to hate her character and actually admire her personally for her portrayal of such a vile character.”
I surmised nothing. I stated as fact that there are EE fans who voted against her because they dislike the character she plays. I also said that there are people who have admitted this on these forums, so it is in no way fallacious.
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“The percentage of people who would vote against her for that reason would be utterly miniscule.
Equally, the Pussycat Dolls' most successful album sold 1.2m copies in the UK, 7 years ago, and Ashley is quite clearly one of the least recognisable members.
Meanwhile, Eastenders is watched by between 5-10m people every other day. Ashley's support from Pussycat Dolls fans can only logically have paled in comparison to the number of Eastenders fans rooting for Charlie. ”
As I said in my post, these two things offset the EE fan vote to some extent. There is no way of knowing how much, so I don't see how you can make such catagoric assertions.
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On the question of Kiki, as you said, it's hard to judge. But I think it's again only logical to assume that the situation would have pulled at heart strings, particularly amongst female viewers. Ashley had no such emotional capital working in her favour. Nothing at all.”
As I also said, it will presumably have had a detrimental effect where some voters are concerned. Again, we have no way of knowing the net impact of one versus the other.
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“As for the casual voter voting on what they see onscreen on the night rather than 'I know her/don't know her', even if true all it'd mean is that the swinging votes weren't based on a fair representation of the two.
It'd mean they were based on highlights, designed to make the person look interesting, the final challenge and fleeting one-liners rather than the broader picture and who genuinely deserved it over the course of the three weeks. ”
If you extend that argument, only people who've watched every episode should be allowed to vote because only they would be able to form 'the broader picture and who genuinely deserved it over the course of the three weeks'.
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“That might suggest why Ashley was ahead in the votes at the start, thanks to regular viewers whose minds were already made up, and why Charlie surged through to win late on thanks to votes from casual viewers who only saw the way she was represented in the final ”
But equally, it might not. We simply don't have the data to know.
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“And finally, I think it is an absolute given that the voting public would favour the Brit, and I've read comments to endorse that assumption.”
Sadly, I have too. I must say though I find it interesting that you dismiss my observations that are based on comment I have read that endorse them with 'it's fallacious to surmise', when you are doing the same thing here.
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“I think the coup de grace is that we could not compile a similar list of contributing factors that might influence people to vote for Ashley. The single most pertinent factor in voting for Ashley was clearly the impression gained of her on the show over the last few weeks.
But apparently that's not enough. Even though that's surely what it's meant to be based on.”
But we can compile a different list of contributing factors to why Ashley was popular:
- she was acknowledged to be 'hawt'
- she got far more airtime in week one than Charlie
- she did have the 'heartstring tug' of 'my family are so far away that they can't even watch me on TV to know how I'm getting on, unlike everybody else'
- she got lots of coverage in both the main show and the spinoff due to presenters having crushes on her.
Etc, etc
Now I'm not saying that any of this is conclusive of anything. What I am saying is neither is what you have put forward.
I say again, all we know for sure is that Charlie polled the most votes. The rest is conjecture.