Originally Posted by JVS:
“Ashley was hardly shown until Helen went. Helen dominated most of every show - and over 90% of the threads on here.
I admit ITV favoured Ashley for narratives in the bush telegraph towards the end as the celebs thinned out. I suspect some of it was because she became more involved in tasks and storylines - and some because she provided good sound-bites.
IMO David and Eric deserved to finish higher than Charlie - but then I had no idea who Charlie was before.”
That's not how I recall it at all. The show was all about Helen (until she left); David, Ashley and Hugo. The rest barely got a look in - and when they did, it was negative. The meddlers task was the prime example. That sealed Ashley's popularity and there was ne'er a mention on here that her selection (and David and Hugo's) gave an unfair advantage.
I think Wonky's spot on; the focus came more on Charlie in the last few days (and only in the last few days) because she was so popular despite the lack of coverage. Also, the Kiki thing, if one was cynical, could be perceived as UNfavourable rather than favourable editing.
Originally Posted by doe_a_deer:
“What on earth is there not to like about Ashley?
I don't think we ever saw her without a smile and that is a trait that makes a human rather likeable, judging by the huge threads on here singing her praises.
Let me guess though, that makes her a fake person?
Again, not wanting to bad mouth anyone in particular on an internet forum, I'd suggest someone like Helen would be more of a 'fake' type character (all smiles and 'love you' and 'babes') when it suits her, but the jungle is more than enough to make that sort of fake smile drop over 3 weeks, which Ashley's didn't so that suggests to me it wasn't fake. Hope that makes sense.”
I thought Ashley was a lovely girl - but people who always smile never float my boat. A bit of complexity is always more attractive. I loved that Charlie was the one who demonstrated how exasperating Helen was. She reacted just as I would have -which is why I identified with her.
When people smile all the time, I find them difficult to read and relate to.
Originally Posted by doe_a_deer:
“Unfortunately, this thread seems to have gone down a 'who should have won and why' route, which I'm not really interested in and there are several other threads here already debating that.
I just can't wait to see the voting figures and whether they suggest that the child's plea had a significant impact on the result.”
Wasn't it always a 'who should have won and why' thread? I thought so.
Originally Posted by doe_a_deer:
“
Your quote is completely untrue. The bookies are the major winners but other people do win too.
You see, you're making a common mistake there. Perhaps through ignorance or perhaps through the media lumping 'gambling' all in together in the one bracket.
There are two very different types of gambling:
The first is gambling games such as blackjack, roulette, lotteries or bingo where the house (ie the casino, bookies, bingo hall, etc) has an edge and even though a player can win for a period of time or have a huge win, in the long run the house has a statistical in-built advantage and is guaranteed to make money off the players, whatever the outcome. Most of these (apart from blackjack) are solely games of luck.
These types of games should probably be illegal in my opinion, due to how addictive they are and the guarantee of losing in the long run, however I suppose there are positives when you consider the social aspects of bingo or a casino and the potential opportunities a lottery win can bring to people who otherwise would not have such opportunities.
Separate to these are forms of gambling which can be beaten using skill or knowledge. I win money at poker because despite there being luck involved, it is a game of skill in the long run. Equally, when betting on sports or events like 'I'm A Celeb...' I can use my own knowledge to select which events to bet on and which contestants, players or teams to bet on. People do 'beat the bookies' and make money by doing this. I couldn't tell you if I make money by doing this as I win some bets and lose others and don't keep track of my long term results.
In this instance, when I first thought Ashley had a chance of winning, I checked her odds and she was around 12 or 14-1. I wasn't brave enough to bet at that stage but placed several bets on her at odds of between 6-1 and 4-1. That wasn't the mistake here, given that she then came into 1-2 favourite, I was correct in thinking that 4-1 and 6-1 were good prices and betting on them.
My mistake was in not thinking Charlie could win it. If I had thought Charlie had a realistic chance, I would have (and should have) bet on her to win once we got down to the final two and therefore guaranteed myself a win either way. As I mentioned earlier, had David reached the final I would have done this as I thought he had a real chance of winning.
So, the mistake was not the placing of the initial bets, as many people seem to be suggesting.”
Speaking as someone who works beside a turf accountant's and cannot resist a tip; and has been trotting after my dad around racecourses for as long as I can remember - I couldn't disagree more with this post.
There's no such thing as a dead cert - ever. You can know every detail of every single aspect of the progeny and form of every horse in the field and back the favourite at ridiculous odds and still lose. In fact, you probably will.
That there is betting. You can never call foul when you make a bet.
Your post worries me slightly, to be honest. Never think you can beat the bookies - because you won't. If you did keep track of your wins and losses, I guarantee you - the bookies are up.
The ONLY professional gamblers who make money are poker players - because that is pure skill and the only thing that can beat you is someone who is more skillful than you.