Predict Leaderboard, Bottom Two and Evictee

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tangoqueen

13-12-2012

Originally Posted by felino:
“All these seem to assume that Lisa's (supposed) 1st or 2nd place in the public vote will hold up this week. I don't think it will: the dances will expose her cruelly, and I suspect that some of those who have voted to keep her in so far will now desist, because they recognise that the other four will provide a better final.I think she will be in the dance off and will leave, but I don't know who will be in the dance-off with her.”

I hope so, and I think that would be right, because she is the worst dancer left. Am just not sure it will happen.

I do like her though - but Denise is the best, followed by Kim and Dani, then Louis for me and they should be in the final over her.

I think the winning order though will be Louis, Kimberley, Lisa.

Jan2555*GG*

13-12-2012

Denise top of the board. Lisa bottom of the board. If there are any ties on the board then I think Lisa will avoid the bottom 2. I have a feeling Dani will be in the bottom 2 this week either against Lisa or Denise & her fate depends on which.

snogglewort

13-12-2012

Originally Posted by tangoqueen:
“Leaderboard:

1. Denise
2. Louis
3. Kimberley
4. Dani
5. Lisa

Denise and Dani in dance off - Dani out

I'd prefer the dance off to be between Louis and Lisa, with Lisa going out (although I like both)

Would like a final with the 3 girls but pigs might fly lol”

Like your thinking tangoqueen

Seems v unlikely though

The Swampster

13-12-2012

I'm surprised how few think Kimberley will be in the bottom two. She and Denise are the only two that have been there before, and her perfect score last week is as likely to hinder as help her, I'd have thought. The public may not think she needs their vote so much now. I'd be expecting a bottom two with Kim or Denise, possibly both.

Alleycat666

13-12-2012

Judges (hopefull they'll avoid a tie...):

1. Denise
2. Louis
3. Dani
4. Kimberley
5. Lisa

Viewers

1. Louis
2. Lisa
3. Dani
4. Kimberley
5. Denise

Overall (assuming no ties)

Denise - 5+1 = 6
Loius - 4+5 = 9
Dani - 3+3 = 6
Kimberley - 2+2 = 4
Lisa - 1+4 = 5

Lisa vs Kimberley in the DO, Kimberley goes through

4 best dancers are in what should then be a cracking final

But - if there are ties, or if Kim and Dani are both 4th with one set of marks and 3rd with the other (and both end up on 5 same as Lisa) then one of them will end up going home

cwickham

13-12-2012

Originally Posted by The Swampster:
“I'm surprised how few think Kimberley will be in the bottom two. She and Denise are the only two that have been there before, and her perfect score last week is as likely to hinder as help her, I'd have thought. The public may not think she needs their vote so much now. I'd be expecting a bottom two with Kim or Denise, possibly both.”

She's seemed very safe ever since she did fall into the bottom two - it's not like Rachel or Snowdonia where the only time they weren't in the bottom two was when they topped the leaderboard (and were clearly persistently unpopular with the voters). And people seem to have been warming to her a lot since.

Denise was definitely in the danger zone last week, being only just outside of bottom two with the judges and right above a celebrity perceived to be popular with the public - yet still didn't get the votes. I'd say her position is much more dangerous than Kimberley.

serafimo

13-12-2012

Yeah, it will be really interesting to see what happens with Kimberley & Pasha, particularly if she's not in the top 2 on the leaderboard. I think it's perhaps telling that even though she got the first perfect scores and did the dance of the series, all the discussion on here is still Lisa, Louis, Denise & a couple of threads about Dani. I'd guess that the reason she ended up in the bottom two was not because she's disliked, but because she wasn't that memorable - it's possible that that could happen again.

SaraV1308

13-12-2012

Originally Posted by serafimo:
“Yeah, it will be really interesting to see what happens with Kimberley & Pasha, particularly if she's not in the top 2 on the leaderboard. I think it's perhaps telling that even though she got the first perfect scores and did the dance of the series, all the discussion on here is still Lisa, Louis, Denise & a couple of threads about Dani. I'd guess that the reason she ended up in the bottom two was not because she's disliked, but because she wasn't that memorable - it's possible that that could happen again.”

could be true serafimo.

I personally don't think Kimberley's dance was the dance of the series.

BuddyBontheNet

13-12-2012

Prediction:
Dani & Vincent at the top of the LB
Lisa & Robin at the bottom of the LB
Denise and Kimberley in the DO
Kimberley goes home.

Hoping for:
Lisa and any of the other four in the DO
Lisa going home.

felino

13-12-2012

Yes, but note that Kimberley & Pasha's Appreciation thread is way ahead of even Louis's, let alone Dani's - in both posts and views. The lack of threads on the MF may be because she is a less divisive figure.

daziechain

13-12-2012

Originally Posted by felino:
“Yes, but note that Kimberley & Pasha's Appreciation thread is way ahead of even Louis's, let alone Dani's - in both posts and views. The lack of threads on the MF may be because she is a less divisive figure.”

Just what I was going to say, Kimberley's appreciation thread thrives

Jan2555*GG*

13-12-2012

I wonder if Kimberley is beginning to grow on people. I thought she was a bit bland when the series first started particularly on ITT but she has grown on me gradually, and I loved her first Ballroom Tango, if I can be turned round then perhaps others have been.

tangoqueen

13-12-2012

Originally Posted by Jan2555*GG*:
“I wonder if Kimberley is beginning to grow on people. I thought she was a bit bland when the series first started particularly on ITT but she has grown on me gradually, and I loved her first Ballroom Tango, if I can be turned round then perhaps others have been.”

she has been my favourite from the beginning and I still like her a lot - it's Dani who has grown on me (since Vincent is always one of my favourites)

SnaxMuppet

13-12-2012

Well, I like Lisa but she cannot be in the final if we are to have a cracking contest finals week.

I haven't voted so far as I am saving my votes for when it matters and so this week I shall be voting for everyone except Lisa... several times! As we can't vote the person off this is the only way I can make my vote count if I want to see Lisa out.

Sorry Lisa but it is your time to go IMO.

henrywilliams58

14-12-2012

I have revised my predictions

Code:

Week 11									
Couple---		Craig	Darcey	Len	Bruno	Points			
Denise & James	Tango	9	9	9	9	36			
Dani & Vincent	Smooth	8	9	10	10	37			
Kim & Pasha	Smooth	9	10	10	9	38			
Louis & Flavia	Ftrot	7	10	9	10	36			
Lisa & Robin	Smooth	8	7	6	7	28			


Week 11									
Couple---		Craig	Darcey	Len	Bruno	Points			
Denise & James	Rumba	10	9	10	9	38			
Dani & Vincent	ATango	10	10	10	10	40			
Kim & Pasha	C/Ton	9	10	10	9	38			
Louis & Flavia	Jive	7	9	9	9	34			
Lisa & Robin	Salsa	9	7	6	7	29			

Week 11									
Couple---	Avge	Craig	Darcey	Len	Bruno	Points	Judges	w11Vote	Total
Denise & James		9.5	9	9.5	9	37	3	1	4
Dani & Vincent		9	9.5	10	10	38.5	5	3	8
Kim & Pasha		9	10	10	9	38	4	2	6
Louis & Flavia		7	9.5	9	9.5	35	2	5	7
Lisa & Robin		8.5	7	6	7	28.5	1	4	5

So Denise and Lisa in the DO.

Lisa to go - despite Craig's efforts

Order

15-12-2012

Leaderboard:
Points - Name
5. Denise
4. Louis
3. Kimberley
2. Dani
1. Lisa

Public Vote:
5. Lisa
4. Louis
3. Kimberley
2. Dani
1. Denise

Dani vs. Denise - Dani eliminated.

TerryM22

15-12-2012

Originally Posted by henrywilliams58:
“I have revised my predictions

Code:

Week 11 Couple--- Craig Darcey Len Bruno Points Denise & James Tango 9 9 9 9 36 Dani & Vincent Smooth 8 9 10 10 37 Kim & Pasha Smooth 9 10 10 9 38 Louis & Flavia Ftrot 7 10 9 10 36 Lisa & Robin Smooth 8 7 6 7 28 Week 11 Couple--- Craig Darcey Len Bruno Points Denise & James Rumba 10 9 10 9 38 Dani & Vincent ATango 10 10 10 10 40 Kim & Pasha C/Ton 9 10 10 9 38 Louis & Flavia Jive 7 9 9 9 34 Lisa & Robin Salsa 9 7 6 7 29 Week 11 Couple--- Avge Craig Darcey Len Bruno Points Judges w11Vote Total Denise & James 9.5 9 9.5 9 37 3 1 4 Dani & Vincent 9 9.5 10 10 38.5 5 3 8 Kim & Pasha 9 10 10 9 38 4 2 6 Louis & Flavia 7 9.5 9 9.5 35 2 5 7 Lisa & Robin 8.5 7 6 7 28.5 1 4 5

So Denise and Lisa in the DO.

Lisa to go - despite Craig's efforts”

I would not disagree with this assertion unfortunately.

henrywilliams58

15-12-2012

So based on the actuals this is what I have. I see two possibilities (could be several others of course)

Denise v Dani scenario
Dani to go out

Code:

Week 11									
Couple---		Craig	Darcey	Len	Bruno	Points	Judges	Vote	Total
Denise & James		9	9.5	10	10	38.5	4	1	5
Dani & Vincent		8.5	8.5	9.5	9.5	36	3	2	5
Kim & Pasha		9.5	10	9.5	10	39	5	3	8
Louis & Flavia		8	9	8.5	9	34.5	2	5	7
Lisa & Robin		7.5	8	8	8	31.5	1	4	5

Denise v Lisa scenario
Lisa to go out

Code:

Week 11									
Couple---		Craig	Darcey	Len	Bruno	Points	Judges	Vote	Total
Denise & James		9	9.5	10	10	38.5	4	1	5
Dani & Vincent		8.5	8.5	9.5	9.5	36	3	3	6
Kim & Pasha		9.5	10	9.5	10	39	5	2	7
Louis & Flavia		8	9	8.5	9	34.5	2	5	7
Lisa & Robin		7.5	8	8	8	31.5	1	4	5

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