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Old 14-12-2012, 16:19
little-monster
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With the golden globe and SAG nominations announced, it normally gives a good clear idea on who and what will be contenders for next year's oscars

Thought for a bit of fun we could share predictions.

My first prediction is for Best Actress

It really seems like such deadlock between these five ladies

Jennifer Lawrence
Marion Cotillad
Jessica Chastain
Naomi Watts
Helen Mirren

All of them are no strangers to being nominated, with Mirren winning in 2007 and Cotillard in 2008.

My other prediction is for Best Supporting Actress

Nicole Kidman
Anne Hathaway
Sally Field
Helen Hunt
Amy Adams

Again, all these ladies have been nominated, with Sally winning two in 1979 and 1984, Helen winning in 1998 and Nicole winning in 2003.


I haven't see any of these ladies performances so I just guessing and go by what critics and insiders are predicting.
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Old 14-12-2012, 16:21
Virgil Tracy
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I would be pretty sure that Joaquin Phoenix will get the nomm for The Master .
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Old 14-12-2012, 16:26
loveloveX
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yep seems about right, i hope marion cotillard gets it but i think it might be jen lawrence or jessica chastain, they probably want to save naomi watts for her playing Princess Diana/
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Old 14-12-2012, 17:27
Mystical123
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General buzz seems to be:

Best Actor: Daniel-Day Lewis (for Lincoln)
Best Actress: either Jessica Chastain or Jennifer Lawrence (widely considered to be the most open of the acting categories this year)
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones (for Lincoln) or Philip Seymour Hoffmann (for The Master)
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway (or possibly Sally Field)

Plus Best Picture for one of Argo, Zero Dark Thirty, Lincoln or Les Mis (and maybe Django Unchained depending on how it does with the critics)

And Best Director for Ben Affleck



I'd love the Oscars to have some more interesting names making up the numbers, like Eddie Redmayne and Samantha Barks from Les Mis in the Supporting Categories. The Globes nominations were ridiculously predictable - Meryl Streep and Maggie Smith basically seem to only have to show up in a movie to get nominated. I love them both, but there are plenty of other talented actresses who deserve at least a look-in even if they're never going to win! And this says it all about the SAG Awards: "Eighteen of the 20 film acting contenders are past Academy Awards nominees and 13 have won Oscars, among them five two-time winners."

Definitely not a year of breakthrough newcomers unless the Academy decide to give Beasts of the Southern Wild a few nominations. Either way, I expect every acting category to be won by someone who's been nominated previously, and in the case of the two male acting categories, by someone who's already won.
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Old 14-12-2012, 18:24
Tyjet
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I would be pretty sure that Joaquin Phoenix will get the nomm for The Master .
I wouldn't given his comments about the Oscars a month or so ago. Plus, The Master in general is losing a lot of steam. If he does get in, he'll only just get in. I hope he doesn't as I think if he does, the one he'll knock out is Bradley and I'd like him to get a nomination

The only two sure fire nominations for best actress are JLaw and Jessica, and they're both the frontrunners atm too! I like both so I'm happy with that, but I'd rather Jennifer win because a) I like her more and b) Jessica's character apparently has very little depth in ZD30 and so I think Jen's performance would be the most deserving of the two. Although I haven't seen ZD30 yet so my opinion could change.

Best supporting actress is pretty irrelevant because Anne Hathaway might as well accept her award now.

Best supporting actor could go to anyone.
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Old 14-12-2012, 18:26
Blah123
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I think Anne Hathaway will be a shoe-in for Best supporting actress.
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Old 14-12-2012, 18:45
Virgil Tracy
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I'm amazed Silver Linings is getting so much Oscar buzz , it was a load of sh*t .

it really has been a weak year .
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Old 14-12-2012, 20:09
wildphantom!
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Django seems to be generating a lot of buzz right now and has 100% on Rotten Tomatoes as it stands. Could do well for Tarantino.
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Old 14-12-2012, 22:28
rfonzo
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Life of Pi will win best Cinematography and perhaps best adapted Screenplay. It may well be a contender for the more prestigious awards such as best Picture?
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Old 14-12-2012, 22:30
rfonzo
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I think Anne Hathaway will be a shoe-in for Best supporting actress.
You never know. She is certainly the favorite. However, the Academy Awards likes a 'come back.' I remember Gene Hackman winning for Unforgiven and given that maybe Sally Field has a chance?
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Old 14-12-2012, 22:42
Mystical123
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It may well be a contender for the more prestigious awards such as best Picture?
I think that category's too loaded already, though it may well grab a nomination if they nominate 10. I've only seen the trailer and while it looked visually stunning, it didn't make me want to rush to see it.

You never know. She is certainly the favorite. However, the Academy Awards likes a 'come back.' I remember Gene Hackman winning for Unforgiven and given that maybe Sally Field has a chance?
I think Sally Field's definitely got a chance, but Anne Hathaway ticks all the boxes in terms of an attention-grabbing performance: emotional on-screen tragedy and death, staggering weight loss, complete abandonment of vanity (chopping off her hair on camera), singing live on camera and apparently stealing the movie even though she's only in it for 20 minutes. Plus it's a complete contrast from the lighter roles that made her famous.

Two-time winner already vs a potential career-defining performance (including a complete redefinition of her character's extremely famous song) promoted to perfection - my money would be on Anne. If she doesn't win for this, I'm not sure she ever will, she couldn't do much more to get it! And I for one hope she wins.
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Old 14-12-2012, 22:44
downtonfan
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When Daniel Day Lewis does a film, no other actor stands a chance. He is the greatest.
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Old 14-12-2012, 22:59
Dizzle
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Lincoln, Zero Dark Thirty and Django Unchained seem to be leading the Best Picture Buzz at the minute. I've not seen any of them yet so can't comment. I am particularly looking forward to Zero Dark Thirty though.

The only acting role I can comment on at the minute is Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Lining Playbook. I have to say, even though I like her and think she did a good job in this film, I don't think it was good enough for an Oscar. Perhaps a nomination, but some magazines like Empire are really rating her chances, which I'm not so sure about. Bradley Cooper was good too but once I've seen all the films, I could very easily see myself forgetting about his performance completely.
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Old 15-12-2012, 08:29
PANNAL1
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Anne Hathaway and Daniel Day Lewis seem sure bets to win. Jennifer Lawrence should win best actress ,supporting actor seems an open race. Day Lewis potentially making Oscar history as the first man to win 3 best actor Oscars
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Old 15-12-2012, 08:58
Muttley76
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I think that category's too loaded already, though it may well grab a nomination if they nominate 10. I've only seen the trailer and while it looked visually stunning, it didn't make me want to rush to see it.
I'm pretty sure it will be shortlisted. The word on the film is that Lee has successfully managed to film the unfilmable, which is the kind of the thing academy loves. I think it's a shoe in for a nomination. I'm fairly sure they aren't going to revert back to proper shortlists though. I hate the 10 film shortlist, it devalues the award, imho, and also can potentially skewer the final outcome.
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Old 15-12-2012, 09:13
little-monster
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General buzz seems to be:

Best Actor: Daniel-Day Lewis (for Lincoln)
Best Actress: either Jessica Chastain or Jennifer Lawrence (widely considered to be the most open of the acting categories this year)
Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones (for Lincoln) or Philip Seymour Hoffmann (for The Master)
Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway (or possibly Sally Field)

Plus Best Picture for one of Argo, Zero Dark Thirty, Lincoln or Les Mis (and maybe Django Unchained depending on how it does with the critics)

And Best Director for Ben Affleck



I'd love the Oscars to have some more interesting names making up the numbers, like Eddie Redmayne and Samantha Barks from Les Mis in the Supporting Categories. The Globes nominations were ridiculously predictable - Meryl Streep and Maggie Smith basically seem to only have to show up in a movie to get nominated. I love them both, but there are plenty of other talented actresses who deserve at least a look-in even if they're never going to win! And this says it all about the SAG Awards: "Eighteen of the 20 film acting contenders are past Academy Awards nominees and 13 have won Oscars, among them five two-time winners."

Definitely not a year of breakthrough newcomers unless the Academy decide to give Beasts of the Southern Wild a few nominations. Either way, I expect every acting category to be won by someone who's been nominated previously, and in the case of the two male acting categories, by someone who's already won.
I agree with you there

The Golden Globes adore Meryl and as much as I love her, her performance in Hope Springs really wasn't award worthy at all.
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Old 15-12-2012, 09:14
Blah123
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I think Sally Field's definitely got a chance, but Anne Hathaway ticks all the boxes in terms of an attention-grabbing performance: emotional on-screen tragedy and death, staggering weight loss, complete abandonment of vanity (chopping off her hair on camera), singing live on camera and apparently stealing the movie even though she's only in it for 20 minutes. Plus it's a complete contrast from the lighter roles that made her famous.

Two-time winner already vs a potential career-defining performance (including a complete redefinition of her character's extremely famous song) promoted to perfection - my money would be on Anne. If she doesn't win for this, I'm not sure she ever will, she couldn't do much more to get it! And I for one hope she wins.
Exactly. I love Sally Field, but it definitely is career-defining - to go from the Princess Diaries via smooshy crappy rom coms like Love and Other Drugs to this is pretty awesome. I really hope she does win - purely cause I wanna see her acceptance speech, she always comes across as a lovely person but I predict a CRIER!
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Old 15-12-2012, 09:46
Sez_babe
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I'd like to see Bradley Cooper get an Oscar nom for Silver Linings. I haven't seen any of the other films that are in the running so can't comment on anyone else yet
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Old 15-12-2012, 10:46
PANNAL1
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kathryn bigelow could win a second Oscar but would love to see Tarantino win director.Oh and rooting for Philip Seymour Hoffman to win again. A great actor.
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Old 15-12-2012, 12:32
little-monster
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I watched Lincoln last night and Sally field does a good performance, but would I give her an oscar, not really. This could be Anne's year, or or Amy Adams year. But like someone said before, this is likely Anne's only chance. She is a good actress but her films have let her down and do not allow her performances to come out well and I can't ever see her doing such a unique role like she has with Le Mis
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Old 15-12-2012, 13:31
downtonfan
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I'd like to see Tarantino win Best Director. It's his time.
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Old 15-12-2012, 14:09
Johnny Clay
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A weak crop perhaps, but look at the expectations we had earlier in the year. It looks like Hobbit, The Master & Les Mis aren't quite the critical wows many thought they'd be, and we may be adding Django to that list as well, apparently. Not to mention Gatsby shunted into next summer.

I know the buzz surrounding Zero Dark Thirty is immense, but were I to gamble, I'd have money on Lincoln. Already a big critical and public hit in the US, but only released end of Jan/early Feb internationally, this cinematic history lesson could prove a good PR coup for more than just the Academy. Best film/director/actor. Worth a punt.
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Old 15-12-2012, 15:04
CJClarke
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A weak crop perhaps, but look at the expectations we had earlier in the year. It looks like Hobbit, The Master & Les Mis aren't quite the critical wows many thought they'd be, and we may be adding Django to that list as well, apparently. Not to mention Gatsby shunted into next summer.
On the contrary, i think that this years potential list of Best Picture nominations is looking much stronger than the comparatively weak bunch from last year. I mean, last year even 'Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close' got a nomination

For Best Picture, my money is on either Lincoln (the Academy loves historical epics) or Argo (the Academy also loves movies about the industry), but i wouldn't be surprised to see Zero Dark Thirty cause somewhat of an upset. As for Best Director, i'm hoping for either Ben Affleck or QT, but i think Affleck will get it.
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Old 15-12-2012, 15:04
theonlyweeman
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I'd like to see Tarantino win Best Director. It's his time.
Have you guys even seen Django Unchained? How do you know it's not awful...
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Old 15-12-2012, 15:06
CJClarke
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I've not seen Django Unchained, but based on Inglorious he doesn't deserve it.
Eh? So you're saying Tarantino doesn't deserve the award, having not seen Django yourself, and instead judging him on his last film? Yeah...makes sense
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