I know it's early but hey-ho.


1st) Beth and Daniel: 21.0
2nd) Shayne and Maria: 18.5
3rd) Lauren and Michael: 18.0
4th) Matt and Brianne: 17.5
5th) Samia and Sylvain: 17.0
6th) Luke and Jenna: 16.0
7th) Pamela and Matt: 15.0
8th) Oona and Mark: 13.0
9th) Anthea and Andrew: 12.5
10th) Gareth and Robin: 11.0
10th) Keith and OIga: 11.0
12th) Joe and Vicky: 10.5


Skate off: Keith and Olga and Anthea and Andrew
Eliminated: Keith and Olga

Keith's little clip shows him to be quite a promising skater.

And women tend to struggle in the earlier rounds. My tip is Oona, Pamela or Samia.

[LIST=1][*]Shayne & Maria - 20.5[*]Beth & Daniel - 18.5[*]Luke & Jenna - 17.0[*]Matt & Brianne - 16.0[*]Oona & Mark - 15.5[*]Samia & Sylvain - 14.5[*]Pamela & Matt - 14.0[*]Keith & Olga - 12.5[*]Lauren & Michael - 12.0[*]Gareth & Robin - 11.0[*]Joe & Vicky - 9.5[*]Anthea & Andrew - 8.0[/LIST]
Skate off - Gareth & Robin vs. Anthea & Andrew
Eliminated - Anthea & Andrew

1.Shayne & Maria - 19.5
2.Matt & Brianne - 16.5
3.Beth & Daniel - 16.0
4.Samia & Sylvain - 15.0
= Pamela & Matt - 15.0
6.Luke & Jenna - 14.5
7.Keith & Olga - 13.5
8.Oona & Mark - 13.0
9.Lauren & Michael - 12.5
10.Anthea & Andy - 10.5
= Gareth & Robin - 10.5
12.Joe & Vicky - 9.0

Skate-off

Lauren & Michael Vs Anthea & Andy

Anthea out

Knowing that Jason is back on the panel, I think people are being a tad generous with their scores

1 = Beth and Daniel = 18.0
2 = Shayne and Maria = 17.5
3 = Matt and Brianne = 17.0
4 = Samia and Sylvain = 14.5
4 = Luke and Jenna = 14.5
6 = Lauren and Michael = 13.5
7 = Pamela and Matt = 12.0
8 = Gareth and Robin = 11.5
9 = Oona and Mark = 10.5
10 = Anthea and Andrew = 10.0
11 = Joe and Vicky = 8.0
12 = Keith and Olga = 7.0

Maybe a little harsh but Jason can be quite tough and who knows what the new judge will be like.

Matt and Brianne = 18.0
Shayne and Maria = 16.5
Beth and Daniel = 15.0
Luke and Jenna = 14.5
Lauren and Michael = 13.5
Samia and Sylvain = 13.0
Pamela and Matt = 11.5
Anthea and Andrew = 10.5
Gareth and Robin = 9.5
Oona and Mark = 8.5
Joe and Vicky = 7.5
Keith and Olga = 7.0

I think we should all redo our scores now we know there will be 4 judges, and there's a split, but two questions get in the way...

Who's skating in week 1 and will they award half-marks?

i’ve done my scores under the impression that there will be half marks AND everyone will skate in week 1

1) Beth 30.5
2) Samia 29.0
3) Matt 27.5
4) Shayne 27.0
5) Pamela 26.5
6) Gareth 25.5
7) Oona 24.5
8) Anthea 24.0
9) Lauren 23.0
10) Luke 20.5
11) Keith 13.5
12) Joe 13.0

SKATE OFF: Oona and Keith

Keith eliminated

Will they each be marking out of 7.5 this time?

i seriously doubt it, that would be a very odd and confusing number to mark out of. I hope not cos it doesn’t make any sense.

It makes sense in that whether we've had 5 or 3 judges the scores have always been out of 30.

My predictions, now we know who's skating week one.

1st) Pamela and Matt (25.5)
2nd) Samia and Sylvain (25.0)
3rd) Beth and Daniel (23.5)
4th) Shayne and Maria (23.0)
5th) Matt and Brianne (22.0)
6th) Keith and Olga (14.0)

Assuming that the marks are out of 10 with half marks

1. Shayne & Maria 24
2. Beth & Dan 22.5
3. Matt & Brianne 21
4. Samia & Sylvain 20.5
5. Cheggers & Olga 18
6. Pamela & Matt 16.5

That's funny, I've predicted Pamela top, you've predicted her bottom!

Mine was really based on the fact that she was pretty ropey on Dancing With The Stars. Not sure she'll be much better on the ice

Twitter fanbase (followers)
Lauren - 1,134,127
Pamela - 735,157
Shane - 201,012
Gareth - 132, 405
Samia - 131,030
Keith - 112, 905
Beth - 50,592
Matt - 42,903
Luke - 29,940
Anthea - 5,989
Oona - 12,109
Joe - 5,894

Interesting...I reckon Joe, Oona and Anthea will be first out based on this just a prediction.

How depressing that Lauren has by far the most twitter followers.

But I think that with all these shows the correlation between twitter followers & phone votes cast is very small.

Plus in theory a large % of Pamela's followers will be American or Canadian who in theory would not be able to vote in the show anyway so her follower numbers may not be an indicator of how successful she will be.

Also bear in mind that most of the pros also have their own fanbases as well so people will vote for them regardless of who they are partnered with. Take Heather Mills for example she was one of the most reviled people in the country and everyone thought she would go early but she was teamed with Matt and did fairly well and yes while its possible a lot voted on the basis of her disabilty and how well she did with that a lot will have voted purely to keep Matt in the show.

Beth and Daniel: 25.5
Shane and Maria: 24.0
Samia and Sylvain: 21.5
Pamela and Matt: 20.0
Matt and Brianne: 19.0
Keith and Olga: 16.5

I have high expectations for Beth and Shane, so hope they deliver!

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Well I think we can put the twitter debate to bed. Have always felt it has limited impact in these shows & the 2 people with by far the highest number of followers were voted out first.